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Search: Posts Made By: myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures 19 Hours Ago
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
Just sold the LCM C128 and the LCQ C128 ...

Just sold the

LCM C128 and the
LCQ C128

for $400-420 each during the limit-up phase. Yesterday the LCQ C123 had settled at $400 - this is 5 points lower. I assume regular trade tomorrow (no...
Forum: Options on Futures 23 Hours Ago
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
Made strangles out of my LH puts by selling the...

Made strangles out of my LH puts by selling the LHM C80 and the LHQ C84.

Added to my Natural Gas position, selling the strangle NGU P2.6/C4.25 .

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading Yesterday
Replies: 113
Views: 3,605
Posted By myrrdin
Are you expecting lower NG prices to add some...

Are you expecting lower NG prices to add some puts later ?

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures Yesterday
Replies: 5,930
Views: 622,950
Posted By myrrdin
Ron and myself checked a lot of other...

Ron and myself checked a lot of other commodities. But we did not find even one that allows for being short options (calls or puts) more or less permanently.

I sell a lot of options, but I...
Forum: Options on Futures Yesterday
Replies: 5,930
Views: 622,950
Posted By myrrdin
All of out concepts to sell puts change over...

All of out concepts to sell puts change over time, as we learn based on experience. You can follow this process in this thread and in "Diversified Option Selling Portfolio".

My current concept is...
Forum: Options on Futures Yesterday
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
There will be times when you find more trades,...

There will be times when you find more trades, and others where it is difficult to find good trades. For option sellers it is important to have a large percentage of winners. Thus, being coutious is...
Forum: Options on Futures April 26th, 2017
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
Currently I hold the following positions in the...

Currently I hold the following positions in the short options portfolio:

LHM P66
LHQ P64
Longterm trades.

KWN P4.1
Took profit on the last trade around 50 %, and re-entered. (Third entry,...
Forum: Options on Futures April 26th, 2017
Replies: 5,930
Views: 622,950
Posted By myrrdin
When talking about the low volatility of the ES...

When talking about the low volatility of the ES we should be aware of the fact that the actual volatility indeed is very low. The VIX closed at 10.76 yesterday. But the volatility for the July or...
Forum: Options on Futures April 25th, 2017
Replies: 5,930
Views: 622,950
Posted By myrrdin
Volatility has demonstrated in recent years that...

Volatility has demonstrated in recent years that it can be low for weeks and months. Yes, it will rise again some day. But during the phase of low volatility you can make enough money to compensate...
Forum: Options on Futures April 25th, 2017
Replies: 5,930
Views: 622,950
Posted By myrrdin
I fully agree. I am not good in timing entry and...

I fully agree. I am not good in timing entry and exit of a trade, and that is why I sell options. Whenever I tried to find a good timing for an entry I failed in more than 50 %, and, thus, lost...
Forum: Options on Futures April 25th, 2017
Replies: 5,930
Views: 622,950
Posted By myrrdin
I took profit on several ES put positions...

I took profit on several ES put positions yesterday and today at 50 %, and replaced them.

Ron99's information that the size of the downwards move after the most recent government shutdown in 2013...
Forum: Options on Futures April 24th, 2017
Replies: 5,930
Views: 622,950
Posted By myrrdin
ron99: How large do you think will be a move...

ron99: How large do you think will be a move downwards of the S&P in case of a government shutdown this week ?

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures April 24th, 2017
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
Rare event: I received a fill (unfortunately only...

Rare event: I received a fill (unfortunately only one) for 1 KCZ C230 at 1.1 today at the open. Current theoretical price is 0.71 .

I had placed the order some days ago to be filled on a strong...
Forum: Options on Futures April 24th, 2017
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
I buy options very rarely, and this is the reason...

I buy options very rarely, and this is the reason why I cannot answer the part of your question regarding buying options.

Selling options before an event is risky. I prefer to sell options just...
Forum: Options on Futures April 24th, 2017
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
A currency trader - I am not one of them - might...

A currency trader - I am not one of them - might think about the idea to wait for a bounce of the Euro after the (second) election in France, if it occurs. And then sell Euro calls. Often political...
Forum: Options on Futures April 23rd, 2017
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
1. I rarely sell options on currency futures. I...

1. I rarely sell options on currency futures. I am not successful in this business (see some of my older posts.).

2. I definitely would not sell Euro calls before the French elections. (The final...
Forum: Options on Futures April 23rd, 2017
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
Yes, I do not buy additional data from MRCI. And...

Yes, I do not buy additional data from MRCI. And I do not use their consulting services.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures April 23rd, 2017
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
I use MRCI data for many years, and these data...

I use MRCI data for many years, and these data help me a lot. In addition to seasonals for outrights and spreads they show seasonals for volatility, which is essential for option sellers.

Others...
Forum: Options on Futures April 21st, 2017
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
This information is part of professional...

This information is part of professional services, eg. Hightower Report.

If you want to receive it free of charge use Google. The first two links in my list:
...
Forum: Options on Futures April 21st, 2017
Replies: 5,930
Views: 622,950
Posted By myrrdin
No, I do not like this kind of trade for several...

No, I do not like this kind of trade for several reasons:

1. I succeed more often than not in predicting what happens medium- and longterm to commoditiy prices, using seasonal charts, COT data or...
Forum: Options on Futures April 21st, 2017
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
Asian first quarter cocoa grindings were 19.2 %...

Asian first quarter cocoa grindings were 19.2 % above year ago level, trade was looking for a 10 % increase.

Northern America grindings came in roughly in-line with trade estimates.

Interesting...
Forum: Options on Futures April 20th, 2017
Replies: 5,930
Views: 622,950
Posted By myrrdin
Do not forget: This weekend is only the first...

Do not forget: This weekend is only the first round of French election. The final and decisive round will be later.

And there are a lot of other political issues around in Europe (eg. second round...
Forum: Options on Futures April 20th, 2017
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
To be honest: No. But I assume it has to do...

To be honest: No.

But I assume it has to do with technical traders or with supply. It is not as easy to get supply information for cocoa as for grains or beans.

Or someone knows something about...
Forum: Options on Futures April 20th, 2017
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
Plans for seasonal trades in the upcoming weeks: ...

Plans for seasonal trades in the upcoming weeks:

I intend to sell coffee calls on a move upwards to approx. 150 for the KCN.

And I have a look at selling cotton calls on a further small move...
Forum: Options on Futures April 20th, 2017
Replies: 749
Views: 36,181
Posted By myrrdin
Sold the CCU P1600 today for 42. Grinding...

Sold the CCU P1600 today for 42.

Grinding for Asia was stronger than expected. Grinding for Northern America will be published after the close.

I assume that volatility will be reduced after...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 824

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