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Search: Posts Made By: SidewalkAerobics
Forum: Traders Hideout March 13th, 2019, 07:58 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 315
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
The difference between trading your own capital...

The difference between trading your own capital (independent trade) and trading for a salary (at a firm) is based on your personal style.

-Do you need a paycheck?
-Are you capitalized to handle...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 13th, 2019, 11:04 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 64
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Best wishes with your research. You may...

Best wishes with your research.

You may want to consider testing a longer time frame for your strategy. 6 months of hourly bars does not give a full test for varied market conditions.
Forum: Psychology and Money Management March 11th, 2019, 01:30 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 484
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
My first trade left me with sweaty palms, a...

My first trade left me with sweaty palms, a queasy stomach, and blood pressure so high it made my face bright red. I could see my pulse in my temples. My whole body went into shock. All this for...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 10th, 2019, 11:41 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 251
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
I had to look up the definition of expectancy: ...

I had to look up the definition of expectancy: Expectancy = (Probability of Win * Average Win) (Probability of Loss * Average Loss)

Expectancy = $1,204

What is a good target for expectancy?
Forum: Traders Hideout March 10th, 2019, 11:09 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 251
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Great question! Accuracy (for me) = Number...

Great question!

Accuracy (for me) = Number of Wins/Number of losses.

Of course, this number is meaningless without know the size of the wins VS the size of the losses.

A "good" system...
Forum: Beginners and Introductions March 10th, 2019, 11:02 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 86
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Wishing you well with your calculations. ...

Wishing you well with your calculations.

IMO back testing is studying causes for effect. Here are a few things to consider as you search for cause and effect.

Causes:
A change in ATR may...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 10th, 2019, 10:44 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 251
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
A poor entry point indeed! My system predicted a...

A poor entry point indeed! My system predicted a downturn, thus the short entry.

What would cause the market briefly increase before the major price decrease. If I can identify the cause of the...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 10th, 2019, 10:40 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 251
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
G=1:2 is correct for this signal. In your...

G=1:2 is correct for this signal.

In your opinion can a 1:2 work?

This is a back test that I'm considering for live trading. That was the worst trade out of sample.
Forum: Traders Hideout March 10th, 2019, 10:38 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 251
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
The trading methodology predicts entry and exit...

The trading methodology predicts entry and exit with over 70+% accuracy. Some trades will loose. This one missed my stop by pips.

My guess is the system was correctly short, but the entry was...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 8th, 2019, 11:22 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 251
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Would you have stayed in this trade? (picture attached)

What do you think of this swing trade?
Forum: Traders Hideout March 6th, 2019, 12:18 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 63
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Above is a curve from back testing in...

Above is a curve from back testing in TradeStation. TradeStation outputs a report. I copy the tradelist into Excel. Then use a fomula in excel to compound the number of contracts traded.

The...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 6th, 2019, 01:26 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 63
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Yes, compounding brings growth. Here is an...

Yes, compounding brings growth. Here is an example of 2 curves that start with only enough equity for one contract. Over time you can see the benefit of compounding.
...
Forum: MTPredictor March 5th, 2019, 02:03 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 567
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Spot on! I'd rather be flat for 6 months than...

Spot on! I'd rather be flat for 6 months than take the draw down.

A compounding system can 1)identify the begin inning of a draw down 2) stay flat (or reduce contracts) only tracking trades...
Forum: EasyLanguage Programming March 2nd, 2019, 04:25 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 105
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
You can create a variable, Keep2, to store a...

You can create a variable, Keep2, to store a value. Clear it before 1055, then set it at 1055 if your condition occurs. At 1145, you will know if the condition occurred at 1055. Perhaps this could...
Forum: Traders Hideout February 26th, 2019, 08:20 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 204
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Yes, I used the Monte Carlo worksheet. Thanks to...

Yes, I used the Monte Carlo worksheet. Thanks to Kevin for the free worksheet.

My risk tolerance is less than the Monte Carlo predicted. So, following the advice of an old trader, I created my...
Forum: EasyLanguage Programming February 25th, 2019, 06:06 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 107
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Here is a line of code for an EasyLanguage entry...

Here is a line of code for an EasyLanguage entry at noon for the prior high +.01.

It assumes you are using 60 minute bars. Easy language will only trade on the "next bar". So this code...
Forum: TradeStation February 23rd, 2019, 07:59 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 208
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
In addition to the above comment about a limit...

In addition to the above comment about a limit order. Here are a few reasons TradeStation stategy did not fill an or for me with a strategy automation.

Reached my stop or limit before entry due...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management February 22nd, 2019, 04:24 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 146
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
An automated strategy lets me bypass stages 1...

An automated strategy lets me bypass stages 1 (not exiting a looser) and stage 2 (exiting to soon missing profit).
What can be done to mitigate stages 3, 4, and 5?

1. Denial (This trade will...
Forum: NinjaTrader February 22nd, 2019, 02:35 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 297
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Let us also consider the Highest Highs and Lowest...

Let us also consider the Highest Highs and Lowest Lows as they do provide some information. I find them to be a confirmation rather than a signal. I don't find the value of the high or low has...
Forum: NinjaTrader February 19th, 2019, 10:53 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 297
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
It's great to see another swing trader! My...

It's great to see another swing trader!

My best advice is to keep in mind that 1 or 2 points do not make a trend. A trend may have outliers (highest high, lowest low) that skew a strait line in a...
Forum: Emini Index Futures Trading February 19th, 2019, 08:23 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 153
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Thank you for the re-direct. I am...

Thank you for the re-direct.


I am converting from the Big S&P with a full service broker (phone call ) to the E-mini (automation entry).

The commission is less! But the slippage is...
Forum: Emini Index Futures Trading February 18th, 2019, 05:50 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 153
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Advice on Entering Multiple ES Contracts

Do you have any advice about entering multiple ES contracts?

So far, I have experience with up to 10 contracts. What could I expect with entering 20, 100, or more contracts?

My signal to...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management February 15th, 2019, 10:51 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 418
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Try simulated trades on the other side of the...

Try simulated trades on the other side of the market. Either you will be successful and therefore excited or you will see your system needs correction and therefore work on your system. Either way...
Forum: Traders Hideout February 15th, 2019, 10:23 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 204
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
I appreciate your help. Thank you for the...

I appreciate your help.

Thank you for the domain correction.
Forum: Traders Hideout February 15th, 2019, 09:54 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 204
Posted By SidewalkAerobics
Thanks! I watched the Kevin Davey video (good...

Thanks! I watched the Kevin Davey video (good video) and he said to email him for the worksheet.

Email to kdavey@tradingsystems.com bounced.

Does Kevin Davey have a new email?
Showing results 1 to 25 of 48

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