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Search: Posts Made By: SMCJB
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading Today, 11:19 AM
Replies: 1,980
Views: 159,905
Posted By SMCJB
Headline is :- Traders Think Hedge Funds Are...

Headline is :- Traders Think Hedge Funds Are Missing a Trick With Oil
Story Is :- "Physical differentials are improving across the world.
...
Forum: Bonds and Interest Rates Trading July 23rd, 2017, 03:00 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 98
Posted By SMCJB
Mostly NG & CL & a little GE

Mostly NG & CL & a little GE
Forum: Bonds and Interest Rates Trading July 22nd, 2017, 04:48 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 98
Posted By SMCJB
I don't trade ICS specifically but I do trade a...

I don't trade ICS specifically but I do trade a lot of CME spreads and since nobody else has replied yet I'll take a stab.

Looking at Interest Rate Products at...
Forum: Cryptocurrency Trading July 22nd, 2017, 09:59 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 1,006
Posted By SMCJB
https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Address A Bitcoin...

https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Address
A Bitcoin address, or simply address, is an identifier of 26-35 alphanumeric characters....

There are currently two address formats in common use:
Common P2PKH...
Forum: Options on Futures July 21st, 2017, 01:29 PM
Replies: 1,029
Views: 49,180
Posted By SMCJB
Like the way you line those up year by year....

Like the way you line those up year by year. Still amazed how most high end software can't get seasonal charts right.
Forum: Cryptocurrency Trading July 21st, 2017, 12:09 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 1,006
Posted By SMCJB
Well said. I agree. With regards to...

Well said. I agree.

With regards to Blockchain/The technology 'Raoul Pal' has an interesting theory that it will become a commoditized product and pricing will eventually go like cloud computing...
Forum: Traders Hideout July 20th, 2017, 03:27 PM
Replies: 564
Views: 24,702
Posted By SMCJB
Impact on London will be horrendous.

Impact on London will be horrendous.
Forum: Cryptocurrency Trading July 20th, 2017, 10:44 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 1,006
Posted By SMCJB
Obviously not all crypto's are the same, but with...

Obviously not all crypto's are the same, but with the current crypto's inorder for Grandma to use it for her groceries, the demand for the currency will have exploded, and since they can't just...
Forum: Cryptocurrency Trading July 20th, 2017, 10:29 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 1,006
Posted By SMCJB
If price is dependent upon supply and demand...

If price is dependent upon supply and demand aren't cryptocurrencies in some ways more like commodities than a currency?
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading July 19th, 2017, 11:31 AM
Replies: 1,980
Views: 159,905
Posted By SMCJB
Reuters :- U.S. uncompleted well backlog hangs...

Reuters :- U.S. uncompleted well backlog hangs over oil market: Kemp

U.S. oil and gas exploration and production companies are drilling new wells faster than they can be fractured and hooked up to...
Forum: Emini Index Futures Trading July 19th, 2017, 09:57 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 162
Posted By SMCJB
Ahhh I understand now. When we talk about things...

Ahhh I understand now. When we talk about things like QM (Crude Mini), the liquidity is there but it doesn't trade at every tick like CL, hence the advice is often to chart CL but trade QM basis that...
Forum: Emini Index Futures Trading July 18th, 2017, 10:31 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 162
Posted By SMCJB
Are you implying there was a 20 tick arb between...

Are you implying there was a 20 tick arb between CME and ICE. I would be willing to bet that wasn't/isn't the case. I'd be amazed if its more than a tick. I'm sure CME is letting 'liquidity...
Forum: Traders Hideout July 16th, 2017, 12:59 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,265
Posted By SMCJB
Well said

Well said
Forum: Traders Hideout July 16th, 2017, 10:49 AM
Replies: 301
Views: 15,022
Posted By SMCJB
Your saying that in the "all-inclusive Europe"...

Your saying that in the "all-inclusive Europe" where the European court can and does force countries to do things that they don't want in the name of whats best for Europe, that individual cities...
Forum: Traders Hideout July 16th, 2017, 09:12 AM
Replies: 301
Views: 15,022
Posted By SMCJB
https://www.edmunds.com/fuel-economy/heres-why-rea...

https://www.edmunds.com/fuel-economy/heres-why-real-world-mpg-doesnt-match-epa-ratings.html
Forum: Traders Hideout July 15th, 2017, 11:38 PM
Replies: 301
Views: 15,022
Posted By SMCJB
Very surprised that the GM & Daimler developments...

Very surprised that the GM & Daimler developments are not news in the US.
Forum: Traders Hideout July 15th, 2017, 06:45 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,265
Posted By SMCJB
I agree. Well said. Part of the issue is that...

I agree. Well said.
Part of the issue is that edge and expectancy mean different things to different people, and in many cases aren't transferable.
To HFT it might be speed.
To Kevin it may be...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 15th, 2017, 05:55 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 3,071
Posted By SMCJB
Okay some stats for those that might be...

Okay some stats for those that might be interested.

Some Key Metrics

Number of Systems :- 799
Number of Swing Systems :- 328 (41.1%)
Number of IntraDay Systems :- 471 (58.9%)
Number of...
Forum: Traders Hideout July 14th, 2017, 10:24 AM
Replies: 218
Sticky: The Tax Thread
Views: 39,082
Posted By SMCJB
Yes & Contact Sent

Yes & Contact Sent
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading July 14th, 2017, 10:23 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 179
Posted By SMCJB
In the last 10 years, the day after a full moon I...

In the last 10 years, the day after a full moon I show corn on average DROPS .381% while on other days on average it RISES by .03%

SHOW
t+1: percent_move from today to 1 day later of C ...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 13th, 2017, 12:06 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 3,071
Posted By SMCJB
82% of the systems that have been tracked live...

82% of the systems that have been tracked live for at least a year and have a positive PnL are equity systems and you know what they say about people who make money in a bull market and think they...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 12th, 2017, 09:31 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 3,071
Posted By SMCJB
and... ...

and...

https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=237780
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 12th, 2017, 09:27 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 3,071
Posted By SMCJB
Not the best of formats, but usable. So this...

Not the best of formats, but usable.

So this is the 10 Systems I quickly picked. Haven't done any portfolio optimization at all at this point, just constructed a portfolio that trades one lot of...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 12th, 2017, 07:13 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 3,071
Posted By SMCJB
Turns out that if you plot the R Squared in an...

Turns out that if you plot the R Squared in an excel chart and you set the intercept to zero, then the R Squared is ALWAYS wrong. I found this is out when I did the chart below and it gave me a...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading July 12th, 2017, 11:32 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 80
Posted By SMCJB
There's a "Bonds and Interest Rates Trading"...

There's a "Bonds and Interest Rates Trading" forum. While it's not the most active forum at futures.io you'll probably get a better response there than in the Commodities Futures Trading forum.
...
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