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Search: Posts Made By: kevinkdog
Forum: Trading Journals April 26th, 2014, 10:23 AM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Thanks for your comment. I appreciate it. A...

Thanks for your comment. I appreciate it.

A "day of the week" can be useful, if you have enough data backing it up, and you actually test the idea from the start. What many people do, though, is...
Forum: Trading Journals August 15th, 2013, 01:52 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
TST Webinar Tomorrow

LEARN HOW A PROFESSIONAL TRADER RECOVERED FROM A CLOSE CALL IN THE COMBINE

Tomorrow, August 16, we're spotlighting an important webinar from award-winning private futures trader, Kevin Davey....
Forum: Trading Journals August 5th, 2013, 04:45 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
The individual performance reports are attached. ...

The individual performance reports are attached. The backtest historical equity curves, created using walkforward analysis, can be found in an earlier post. So the performance reports include all...
Forum: Trading Journals August 5th, 2013, 09:12 AM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Some More Results

Here are walkforward backtest and incubation results for strategies 1 & 2, based on DAILY results.

The info below contains most of the data I need to answer the question: "should I start trading...
Forum: Trading Journals August 5th, 2013, 08:22 AM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
I can provide that data. Would you like to see...

I can provide that data. Would you like to see each strategy separately, and the strategies combined into daily results? The latter might be more meaningful, but it depends on what you want to look...
Forum: Trading Journals August 5th, 2013, 08:19 AM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Yes, you have restated the psychological...

Yes, you have restated the psychological "dilemma" well.

I brought up the scenario because I see many traders do this - jump in and start trading a new strategy at an equity peak, only to...
Forum: Trading Journals August 4th, 2013, 07:12 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Strategy Updates

From the beginning of Combine #1 (which I did not pass, but qualified for a rollover) and Combine #2 (which I did not pass, but also qualified for a rollover), in the back of my mind I always thought...
Forum: Trading Journals July 30th, 2013, 11:39 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Thanks for the question, @Pinot. For...

Thanks for the question, @Pinot.

For winning percentages, I have never really cared about it. It is only important for psychology, because a string of losers, even small ones, can be...
Forum: Trading Journals July 29th, 2013, 06:26 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Great question, I appreciate you asking, Pedro40....

Great question, I appreciate you asking, Pedro40.

Most of the strategies I trade live are swing strategies, lasting a few days to weeks. Also, most have larger stops than would be appropriate for...
Forum: Trading Journals July 29th, 2013, 12:03 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Combine #3

I just received official word that I indeed qualified for a Combine rollover, so now I can address this question...



2. Am I going to do another Combine, since I may qualify for a free one via...
Forum: Trading Journals July 28th, 2013, 12:27 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Great question Gary. Thanks for asking it. ...

Great question Gary. Thanks for asking it.


Here is my thinking...

When I got to breakeven, I looked at how many days I had left possible to trade in the Combine. It was 17, if I traded...
Forum: Trading Journals July 26th, 2013, 05:47 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Yes, I have plenty of experience with the "dark"...

Yes, I have plenty of experience with the "dark" side of trading...

Too many people out there make trading sound like the land of milk and honey - it is definitely not!
Forum: Trading Journals July 26th, 2013, 04:50 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Final Results, Combine #2

https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=119846


I will be doing a webinar at TopStepTrader on Friday August 16th at Noon CT. It is through topsteptrader.com website.

The topic:...
Forum: Trading Journals July 26th, 2013, 09:58 AM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
The graph above is "perfect" performance, not...

The graph above is "perfect" performance, not actual. Also, it does not include strategy #4.
Forum: Trading Journals July 26th, 2013, 08:40 AM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
1. Am I ready to start trading strategies 1, 2...

1. Am I ready to start trading strategies 1, 2 and 3 with my own money?

Here is the latest performance chart (based on Tradestation performance report) for Strategies 1, 2 and 3. Just to remind...
Forum: Trading Journals July 26th, 2013, 07:19 AM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
I don't see it that way (both of these special...

I don't see it that way (both of these special situations were in fact part of the plan - the latter technique was also used on the last Combine too), but I understand your thinking.

I'll try to...
Forum: Trading Journals July 25th, 2013, 06:21 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Combine, Days 19 and 20

Day 19 is in the books - it was a nice little winner with 10 contracts. That put me positive, FINALLY!

So, Day 20 (Thurs night / Friday) is going to be a simple 1 contract in and out trade. ...
Forum: Trading Journals July 24th, 2013, 04:59 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Getting Closer To Breakeven

https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=119679
Forum: Trading Journals July 18th, 2013, 08:02 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Undecided, probably because I still have to...

Undecided, probably because I still have to qualify for a rollover first, before that becomes an option...
Forum: Trading Journals July 18th, 2013, 08:00 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Not sure I understand. If you mean "trade 3...

Not sure I understand. If you mean "trade 3 contracts all the time" I could easily do that, but I'd have zero chance of passing the Combine. I probably would not fail the Combine either, though.
...
Forum: Trading Journals July 18th, 2013, 07:47 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
4 contracts in 1 trade today. 4-6 tomorrow...

4 contracts in 1 trade today. 4-6 tomorrow likely. At this point, I am aiming to get positive, and then probably put this Combine out of its misery...
Forum: Trading Journals July 18th, 2013, 07:17 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Day 17

https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=119198
Forum: Trading Journals July 17th, 2013, 06:29 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
As to why 10 contracts, and not 15, since I was...

As to why 10 contracts, and not 15, since I was "going for broke..."

The daily loss limit is calculated intratrade (I think), but max drawdown is on closed trades. So, going to 15 instead of 10...
Forum: Trading Journals July 17th, 2013, 06:05 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
For the first trade, I started about $150 above...

For the first trade, I started about $150 above the max drawdown. Meaning, a closed trade loss greater than $150 meant certain failure. Since my stop for even 1 contract is $425, I had nothing to...
Forum: Trading Journals July 17th, 2013, 05:39 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 68,150
Posted By kevinkdog
Stay

Granted a temporary stay of execution from the governor's office. Still on Death Row, though...


https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=119087
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