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Search: Posts Made By: myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures Yesterday, 07:35 AM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
Before my retirement a major reason was that the...

Before my retirement a major reason was that the main trading hours in the US are when I came home from work, and end when I go to bed.

Furthermore, commodities have a much higher trading volume,...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading October 17th, 2017, 02:29 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 138
Posted By myrrdin
I am trading CC, but in a longer time frame. I...

I am trading CC, but in a longer time frame. I bought futures many months ago, and sell calls above them every two months.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures October 15th, 2017, 08:59 AM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
As I trade US contracts I pay attention to US...

As I trade US contracts I pay attention to US fundamentals and to fundamentals of countries of world-wide importance. USDA covers the other countries as well, as far as grains and beans are...
Forum: Options on Futures October 14th, 2017, 04:32 AM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
The Climate Prediction Center has increased the...

The Climate Prediction Center has increased the probability of La Nina in the coming months to 67 %.

La Nina would bring cold weather to the US and dry weather to the South of Brazil, where most...
Forum: Options on Futures October 13th, 2017, 02:54 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 199
Posted By myrrdin
I use the Zaner360 platform. It is certainly not...

I use the Zaner360 platform. It is certainly not what I would like to have, but for option selling it is ok. Some weeks ago they included the Greeks to their option chains which helps.

Carley is...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading October 12th, 2017, 02:08 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,577
Posted By myrrdin
Monthly report on fundamentals of softs for...

Monthly report on fundamentals of softs for October:
...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading October 12th, 2017, 07:23 AM
Replies: 83
Views: 4,067
Posted By myrrdin
In my opinion the main risk for this trade is La...

In my opinion the main risk for this trade is La Nina. The probability is currently estimated at 60 %. In this case the seasonals for CL show upwards towards the end of the year.

For this reason I...
Forum: Options on Futures October 12th, 2017, 01:58 AM
Replies: 6,353
Views: 705,366
Posted By myrrdin
I am also watching coffee to sell OTM calls, but...

I am also watching coffee to sell OTM calls, but will not do it at current prices and until there is more certainty about La Nina.

There was some dryness during the blooming period which might...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading October 12th, 2017, 01:43 AM
Replies: 83
Views: 4,067
Posted By myrrdin
Yes, it is the AUD:CAD cross. I do not trade...

Yes, it is the AUD:CAD cross. I do not trade Forex, thus I trade it via futures.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: German Traders October 11th, 2017, 11:10 AM
Replies: 129
Views: 6,985
Posted By myrrdin
Gerne. Mit besten Grüßen, Myrrdin

Gerne.

Mit besten Grüßen, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading October 11th, 2017, 10:54 AM
Replies: 83
Views: 4,067
Posted By myrrdin
If your request is regarding charts, including...

If your request is regarding charts, including support, resistance etc, I have to apologize. I know a lot about fundamentals, but am not a good chartist. But if one of the visitors hear has...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading October 11th, 2017, 10:24 AM
Replies: 83
Views: 4,067
Posted By myrrdin
There is an interesting seasonal trade, suggested...

There is an interesting seasonal trade, suggested by MRCI until end of October.

Buy ADZ / sell CDZ .

The daily chart follows the seasonal chart quite well for all of 2017.

Average Profit is...
Forum: Options on Futures October 10th, 2017, 12:17 PM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
No, usually I do not buy protection in the meat...

No, usually I do not buy protection in the meat markets.

There is a very small number of very large gaps, mainly caused by deseases. The problem in the meat markets is significant trends, that can...
Forum: Options on Futures October 9th, 2017, 01:18 PM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
The reason is the long time until expiration and...

The reason is the long time until expiration and the many things that can happen until then. The hogs that will be sold against the April contract are not yet born.

I was able to sell them at 1.12...
Forum: Options on Futures October 9th, 2017, 05:06 AM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
I use delayed data (from Trade Navigator) for the...

I use delayed data (from Trade Navigator) for the chart. To enter the trade, there is the following possibility for customers of DeCarley (and perhaps other brokers): If you enter the option as a buy...
Forum: Options on Futures October 8th, 2017, 09:58 AM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
If you sell the LHZ future you sell hogs at the...

If you sell the LHZ future you sell hogs at the expiry date of this future some time in December.

If you sell hogs cash you sell them today.

"cash is weak" means that the chart of the cash...
Forum: Options on Futures October 8th, 2017, 06:59 AM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
Further considerations regarding short options: ...

Further considerations regarding short options:

In my opinion and according to seasonals, wheat will move sidewards / downwards for a couple of months. There is a lot of wheat around world-wide. I...
Forum: Options on Futures October 8th, 2017, 06:45 AM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
Currently I hold the following positions in the...

Currently I hold the following positions in the short option portfolio:

LHZ C62
LHG P60
LHJ C80
Longterm. The February contract looks undervalued, although it might see the 60 again before...
Forum: Options on Futures October 7th, 2017, 10:47 AM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
The risk regarding CL (and NG) is La Nina. If you...

The risk regarding CL (and NG) is La Nina. If you look at a seasonal chart only inluding years with La Nina since 1990, it is clearly bullish from October until January, whereas in "normal" years it...
Forum: Options on Futures October 6th, 2017, 03:40 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 199
Posted By myrrdin
Regarding option selling, I work with DeCarley...

Regarding option selling, I work with DeCarley for two reasons: Carley has a positive attitude towards option selling, and she offers the best service I ever received from a broker.

Best regards,...
Forum: Options on Futures October 6th, 2017, 07:08 AM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
To say "Thank you" please only press the...

To say "Thank you" please only press the "Thanks"-Button. This keeps the thread short.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures October 5th, 2017, 09:49 AM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
I prefer to discuss here, as there is a larger...

I prefer to discuss here, as there is a larger number of contributors.

And I prefer to discuss in the English speaking section for the same reason. I am sure our colleagues from the US will accept...
Forum: Options on Futures October 5th, 2017, 09:29 AM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
When hog prices test their lows you could...

When hog prices test their lows you could consider selling LHG puts. They seem to be undervalued from a S&D Point of view.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures October 5th, 2017, 09:27 AM
Replies: 1,155
Views: 58,894
Posted By myrrdin
Yes, to me it seems that LHZ7 are overvalued from...

Yes, to me it seems that LHZ7 are overvalued from a S&D point of view. I would sell these options at current prices. LHZ should test contract lows in November.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures October 4th, 2017, 11:43 AM
Replies: 6,353
Views: 705,366
Posted By myrrdin
As you are from Europe as myself: Never sell ES...

As you are from Europe as myself: Never sell ES options before the open of the New York Stock Exchange at 15.30 (Central European Time).

Best regards, Myrrdin
Showing results 1 to 25 of 1059

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