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Search: Posts Made By: SMCJB
Forum: Options on Futures Today, 10:04 AM
Replies: 7,112
Views: 934,677
Posted By SMCJB
Greetings yurahoang and Welcome. While this...

Greetings yurahoang and Welcome.

While this thread is about selling options on futures as you are probably aware it is heavily concentrated on selling ES options (primarily puts). With the recent...
Forum: Off-Topic Yesterday, 09:50 AM
Replies: 186
Views: 6,396
Posted By SMCJB
This is an excerpt from this months police chiefs...

This is an excerpt from this months police chiefs community newsletter/email where I live.

The testing of a single Automated License Plate Reader (ALPR) system has been working very well. The...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index Futures Trading June 14th, 2019, 09:53 AM
Replies: 353
Views: 47,829
Posted By SMCJB
Similar situation today 57k ES spreads and only...

Similar situation today 57k ES spreads and only 11 MES spreads. In fact right now at 8:51 ESM9/U9 is 395/400 (57k/38k) and MESM9/U9 is 400/410 (177/200) so basically 400 choice!
Little surprised...
Forum: Trading Journals June 14th, 2019, 01:12 AM
Replies: 140
Views: 10,447
Posted By SMCJB
Finally something predictive? So this is the...

Finally something predictive?

So this is the distribution of the 22597 samples of twelve months of tracked data versus the backtest, for systems that are still active.
Only approximately 9.5% of...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index Futures Trading June 13th, 2019, 11:10 AM
Replies: 353
Views: 47,829
Posted By SMCJB
Interesting observation at 10:07 on June 13th ...

Interesting observation at 10:07 on June 13th
ESM9 Volume 698558
ESM9/U9 Spread Volume 123921 which is 17.7% of the outright volume

MESM9 Volume 110362
MESM9/U9 Spread Volume 7 which is 0.0% of...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index Futures Trading June 13th, 2019, 11:06 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 463
Posted By SMCJB
I just checked at the Globex Product Specs...

I just checked at the Globex Product Specs Spreadsheet (https://www.cmegroup.com/confluence/display/EPICSANDBOX/GCC+Product+Resources) as I was curious as to whether they have a matching algorithm...
Forum: Trading Journals June 12th, 2019, 07:29 PM
Replies: 140
Views: 10,447
Posted By SMCJB
Should add, none of those charts include June,...

Should add, none of those charts include June, and both systems are up in June pretty big.

Also all the Google systems are by the developer Investmood. I searched around and found their website...
Forum: Trading Journals June 12th, 2019, 05:43 PM
Replies: 140
Views: 10,447
Posted By SMCJB
One of the drawbacks of the way isystems work is...

One of the drawbacks of the way isystems work is that it's impossible to use a walkforward development. While not everybody uses walkforward I do believe it's more common than not with successful...
Forum: Traders Hideout June 12th, 2019, 02:55 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 228
Posted By SMCJB
A lot of very sensible advice in that webinar,...

A lot of very sensible advice in that webinar, and very little sales pitch.
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading June 12th, 2019, 09:58 AM
Replies: 2,282
Views: 255,793
Posted By SMCJB
Five weeks later and this is being reversed....

Five weeks later and this is being reversed. Effective COB Today/12th member Margin for Tier 1, Jul'19, increasing $300 from $3150 to $3450.
Non-member rates will be 110% of that
Forum: Trading Journals June 11th, 2019, 09:39 PM
Replies: 140
Views: 10,447
Posted By SMCJB
In the last several posts I've talked a lot about...

In the last several posts I've talked a lot about "out of backtest" performance versus in sample. Obviously this is also highly related to my initial (failed) hypothesis that systems that perform...
Forum: Currency Futures June 11th, 2019, 09:15 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 64
Posted By SMCJB
Agreed but if you ignore currency effects...

Agreed but if you ignore currency effects wouldn't everybody prefer to own a US 2% rather than an ECB 0%?
Forum: Currency Futures June 11th, 2019, 04:49 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 64
Posted By SMCJB
Kinda strange that US Treasuries, which I believe...

Kinda strange that US Treasuries, which I believe are considered the safest credit risk, yield 2% but European Bonds are flat/negative!

Regarding Eurodollars spot is 97.55 while March is the peak...
Forum: Trading Journals June 11th, 2019, 04:42 PM
Replies: 140
Views: 10,447
Posted By SMCJB
Thank You KillerJukeBox This looks very...

Thank You KillerJukeBox


This looks very similair to what I was saying to InvestorZ.

Here's your system. As you can see unless June is at our above average performance it will already be out...
Forum: Off-Topic June 11th, 2019, 11:23 AM
Replies: 186
Views: 6,396
Posted By SMCJB
Initially it may be a choice, short convenient...

Initially it may be a choice, short convenient line, or long slow line, but eventually TSA could (probably will) mandate it. Then your choice becomes to fly or not to fly!

On a similar subject...
Forum: Trading Journals June 10th, 2019, 06:39 PM
Replies: 140
Views: 10,447
Posted By SMCJB
If you pick the right systems it's profitable,...

If you pick the right systems it's profitable, but if you pick the wrong one's it's obviously not. Obviously if it was easy everybody would be doing it. I think I have shown in this thread that...
Forum: Traders Hideout June 10th, 2019, 12:56 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 1,228
Posted By SMCJB
None of the Above.

None of the Above.
Forum: Trading Journals June 7th, 2019, 01:13 AM
Replies: 140
Views: 10,447
Posted By SMCJB
Couple more. First (Profit Factor) looks a lot...

Couple more.
First (Profit Factor) looks a lot like the Sharpe chart. The second is interesting but overall ugly.

https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=266634...
Forum: Trading Journals June 6th, 2019, 11:29 PM
Replies: 140
Views: 10,447
Posted By SMCJB
Replace charts in previous deleted charts with...

Replace charts in previous deleted charts with ones that show results of trading both best and worst system.

https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=266631

Remember Maximum PnL...
Forum: Off-Topic June 4th, 2019, 09:00 AM
Replies: 186
Views: 6,396
Posted By SMCJB
https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=266...

https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=266524
Forum: Trading Journals June 2nd, 2019, 10:55 PM
Replies: 140
Views: 10,447
Posted By SMCJB
Here's a second charting function I finished...

Here's a second charting function I finished which gives a slightly wider perspective on "21265".
https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=266477
It's not so much the "since tracked" data...
Forum: Traders Hideout June 2nd, 2019, 09:32 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 982
Posted By SMCJB
I have no experience with the other cities you...

I have no experience with the other cities you mentioned but Zurich is gorgeous but expensive!
The leaving and re-entering thing is completely legal and I know people who have done it although not...
Forum: Off-Topic June 2nd, 2019, 09:15 PM
Replies: 186
Views: 6,396
Posted By SMCJB
If people really cared about these types of...

If people really cared about these types of privacy issues they would delete things like Facebook off their phones, but they don't because it's more important to have Facebook. Sure some people might...
Forum: Trading Journals June 2nd, 2019, 01:01 AM
Replies: 140
Views: 10,447
Posted By SMCJB
It's interesting rereading this thread, that a...

It's interesting rereading this thread, that a lot of my losses I experienced with isystems were mostly due to equity systems getting destroyed in the December '18 equity market route. License fees,...
Forum: Traders Hideout June 1st, 2019, 07:48 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 623
Posted By SMCJB
Excellent explanation ocpb. Thank You

Excellent explanation ocpb. Thank You
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