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Search: Posts Made By: ron99
Forum: Options May 26th, 2020, 11:14 AM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
You may want to consider exiting short options...

You may want to consider exiting short options before expiration. Waiting for the last little bit of premium in these extremely volatile times is very risky without much reward. Studies have been...
Forum: Options January 15th, 2020, 01:32 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
Sorry for not answering question sooner. The...

Sorry for not answering question sooner.

The increased volume of NG able to be transported via pipeline means that when there is a need in an area the ability to meet that need is easier because...
Forum: Options January 7th, 2020, 11:40 AM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
The difference between 2015-2016 and now is that...

The difference between 2015-2016 and now is that there are many new very large pipelines supplying the market. They can supply NG to areas in need at a much greater volume than 4 years ago. Thus the...
Forum: Options January 6th, 2020, 09:07 AM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
Here is monthly temperature data in both map and...

Here is monthly temperature data in both map and numerical form from NOAA.
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/
(Sometimes the website is slow to load or won't load. Just try again another time.)

Here...
Forum: Options December 6th, 2019, 09:18 AM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
A shortage of high quality arabica coffees has...

A shortage of high quality arabica coffees has boosted spot prices in Central America, Colombia and Brazil, catching speculators who bet on falling futures prices by surprise....
Forum: Options October 23rd, 2019, 01:53 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
I sold NGzc330c400 spreads on Oct 4 for 0.021....

I sold NGzc330c400 spreads on Oct 4 for 0.021. Exited today at 0.011. That's a monthly ROI of 7.1% when using 6xIM.
Forum: Options September 19th, 2019, 11:54 AM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
They haven't produced at the same level....

They haven't produced at the same level. Production was higher except for 2016 and first half of 2017. 2015 NG production was much higher than 2014. 2018 & 2019 NG production was much higher YoY. But...
Forum: Options August 7th, 2019, 09:19 AM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
You're welcome. Good job reading both...

You're welcome.

Good job reading both threads. You will probably have much success as a trader because you put in the effort to research. research, research. There are no shortcuts to being...
Forum: Options July 31st, 2019, 01:35 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
The 5yr avg summer injection through July 19 is...

The 5yr avg summer injection through July 19 is 1,085 Bcf. In 2019 injection is 1,462. Much higher. That is why price is where it is even though inventory lower vs 5 yr.

In March the 2019...
Forum: Options July 27th, 2019, 05:17 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
DeCarley has no fee to wire in. Only out....

DeCarley has no fee to wire in. Only out. DeCarley does not offer ACH.

My bank charges me $25 to wire in and out.
Forum: Options July 27th, 2019, 04:14 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
IB will also automatically exit you from...

IB will also automatically exit you from positions at market price (bad for options) if you hit margin call with their ever moving margin rate.
Forum: Options July 27th, 2019, 04:10 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
On short options IB is 3-4x or higher than SPAN...

On short options IB is 3-4x or higher than SPAN margin. IB may be higher on futures too. DeCarley is always at SPAN margin levels. Do a search on this thread or the Selling options thread for IB. You...
Forum: Options July 27th, 2019, 04:02 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
The money you save at IB in commissions and wire...

The money you save at IB in commissions and wire fees (how often do you move money?) will be more than made up by being able to do more trades because of the vastly lower margin requirements at...
Forum: Options May 31st, 2019, 12:57 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
With the current volatile and extremely...

With the current volatile and extremely unpredictable trading environment it's hard to sell far OTM options safely.
Forum: Options January 5th, 2019, 10:26 AM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
I reposted my seasonal trade post in the Seasonal...

I reposted my seasonal trade post in the Seasonal Trades thread.

Sorry myrrdin I didn't look hard enough to find it.
Forum: Options January 2nd, 2019, 09:41 AM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
Here are the results of my seasonal trades (one...

Here are the results of my seasonal trades (one contract per trade. $4,000 stop loss). It is only 4 months in 2016.

https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=260759...
Forum: Options October 29th, 2018, 10:02 AM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
US changes time Sunday Nov 4th.

US changes time Sunday Nov 4th.
Forum: Options September 7th, 2018, 04:39 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
The last issue of the DeCarley Prospective talks...

The last issue of the DeCarley Prospective talks about NG.
https://madmimi.com/p/659fcc?fe=1&pact=1332891-147063354-4688552938-2288b52fe583a50db5ee6a0a74f869ab6e0c216a

She is saying "Natural gas...
Forum: Options August 21st, 2018, 01:19 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
To be fair, I hope you will give examples of the...

To be fair, I hope you will give examples of the losing trades too.

Selling options that go ITM and then hoping they end up being profitable doesn't sound like a great way to trade. Numerous...
Forum: Options August 17th, 2018, 10:13 AM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
I don't understand selling options so close to...

I don't understand selling options so close to ITM, which are now ITM. You might as well do futures. The chances of those trades being losers is so much higher than further OTM options.
Forum: Options August 9th, 2018, 04:06 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
Thanks for showing us how it is going. I...

Thanks for showing us how it is going.

I suspect the price of the NG spreads was 0.017 not 0.0017 and 0.014 and not 0.0014.
Forum: Options June 30th, 2018, 12:30 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
I like selling NG calls about now. Maybe when it...

I like selling NG calls about now. Maybe when it looks like the weather forecast is showing the heat wave will end.

I'm not sure about selling Jan 2019 calls at 180 DTE. From May 21 to June 29 the...
Forum: Options June 26th, 2018, 11:43 AM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
Cordier loves to sell options that are 200+ DTE....

Cordier loves to sell options that are 200+ DTE. Don't do it. Price erosion is very slow that far DTE. That leaves you holding the option for a very long time when possibly the market could turn...
Forum: Options June 12th, 2018, 03:44 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
Oct NG futures for 2015-2017 were between 2.60...

Oct NG futures for 2015-2017 were between 2.60 and 3.11 all 3 years for June, July and Aug.

https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=250725
...
Forum: Options June 7th, 2018, 03:10 PM
Replies: 1,560
Views: 153,484
Posted By ron99
Assuming 3000 strike (you need to include strike...

Assuming 3000 strike (you need to include strike price in your posts) the exchange minimum IM is $1,392.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 204

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