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Search: Posts Made By: MXASJ
Forum: Psychology and Money Management April 2nd, 2011, 04:09 AM
Replies: 204
Views: 48,632
Posted By MXASJ
I think we are mixing apples and oranges here. ...

I think we are mixing apples and oranges here.

For the fair coin example, strings or the number of prior samples is irrelevent as the outcome is not serially dependent on history. Its a straight...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management April 1st, 2011, 11:53 AM
Replies: 204
Views: 48,632
Posted By MXASJ
With a fair coin, what is the chance of a HHHT...

With a fair coin, what is the chance of a HHHT pattern? 1 in 16.

All heads? (HHHH) 1 in 16.

All tails? (TTTT) 1 in 16.

All possibilities are equal

HHHH
HHHT
Forum: Psychology and Money Management April 1st, 2011, 11:40 AM
Replies: 204
Views: 48,632
Posted By MXASJ
This would change the odds and the outcome...

This would change the odds and the outcome dramatically? Only of your account, not the result of the coin toss. The coin doesn't care and has no memory.
Forum: Psychology and Money Management March 31st, 2011, 05:56 AM
Replies: 204
Views: 48,632
Posted By MXASJ
Give me a few hours (dinner time here) and I'll...

Give me a few hours (dinner time here) and I'll update the old R thread or start a new one.
Forum: Psychology and Money Management March 31st, 2011, 05:41 AM
Replies: 204
Views: 48,632
Posted By MXASJ
Fat Tails R is worth checking out. Its free, the...

Fat Tails R is worth checking out. Its free, the community is growing, and there are some great packages for it. There is a learning curve, but that is OK as you don't have pay for it every time...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management March 30th, 2011, 11:57 PM
Replies: 204
Views: 48,632
Posted By MXASJ
Histogram of the daily log returns of the S&P 500...

Histogram of the daily log returns of the S&P 500 for the past 10 years, as well as a QQ plot. Created using NT7, the ExportData stratgey, the LogReturns indicator, and R:
...
Showing results 1 to 6 of 6

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