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Search: Posts Made By: bob666s
Forum: Commodities December 15th, 2022, 12:44 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 86,659
Posted By bob666s
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=32...

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=328447
implied NG fair value wrt a basket of local hub basis' is at 5.8~/mmbtu
Forum: Commodities October 13th, 2021, 11:15 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 86,659
Posted By bob666s
Short term outlook based on COT positions, EIA...

Short term outlook based on COT positions, EIA storage, CPI, is currently fairly bullish into the next month or 2. Though I'm pretty sure we probably didn't need any numbers to be bullish this...
Forum: Commodities September 12th, 2021, 12:09 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 86,659
Posted By bob666s
Tried to run a valuation estimate with COT...

Tried to run a valuation estimate with COT positions and storage, using neural networks. The output came out still close to the earlier estimates, around high 3's for the next couple of months. It...
Forum: Commodities September 11th, 2021, 06:41 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 86,659
Posted By bob666s
noted with thanks

noted with thanks
Forum: Commodities September 10th, 2021, 06:03 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 86,659
Posted By bob666s
what are some of the incentives for nymex to...

what are some of the incentives for nymex to increase margin req? could it be due to one sided positions getting heavy?
Forum: Commodities September 5th, 2021, 01:13 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 86,659
Posted By bob666s
yeah i keep an eye on that too. latest estimate...

yeah i keep an eye on that too. latest estimate based on that settlement is at 3.84~ for NGx21
Forum: Commodities September 1st, 2021, 01:23 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 86,659
Posted By bob666s
I got 3,524~ for end of season storage estimate,...

I got 3,524~ for end of season storage estimate, and Nov.21 fair value at about 3.8~
Details, graphs related to the estimate, calculations are posted here...
Showing results 1 to 7 of 7

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