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Search: Posts Made By: SpeculatorSeth

Forum: Psychology and Money Management

February 18th, 2021, 06:42 PM

Replies: 74

What is the best Risk Reward Ratio? But is that the right question?

Views: 17,805

Posted By SpeculatorSeth

Ok so now we're getting the standard guru...

Ok so now we're getting the standard guru platitudes. People just don't understand and only the truly enlightened will join me! He's even making specific performance claims without posting broker...

Forum: Psychology and Money Management

February 16th, 2021, 09:57 PM

Replies: 74

What is the best Risk Reward Ratio? But is that the right question?

Views: 17,805

Posted By SpeculatorSeth

I don't think you understand what I'm saying at...

I don't think you understand what I'm saying at all. I didn't say that an optimal ratio doesn't exist. I'm saying the question doesn't make any mathematical sense. It's like saying optimize the...

Forum: Psychology and Money Management

February 16th, 2021, 05:40 PM

Replies: 74

What is the best Risk Reward Ratio? But is that the right question?

Views: 17,805

Posted By SpeculatorSeth

So then just admit you're talking about total net...

So then just admit you're talking about total net profit? Why is that so hard? Or is it because you know that it just leads us down the same path?

For instance, what if I decided to make my...

Forum: Psychology and Money Management

February 16th, 2021, 03:49 PM

Replies: 74

What is the best Risk Reward Ratio? But is that the right question?

Views: 17,805

Posted By SpeculatorSeth

Right so let me try this again. You have to...

Right so let me try this again. You have to define optimal. Without a strict definition of what qualifies as optimal there's nothing to prove or disprove because you don't have a full theory. ...

Forum: Psychology and Money Management

February 16th, 2021, 02:12 PM

Replies: 74

What is the best Risk Reward Ratio? But is that the right question?

Views: 17,805

Posted By SpeculatorSeth

That depends on your definition of "optimal". ...

That depends on your definition of "optimal". Optimal total net profit? Optimal max drawdown? Optimal Sharpe ratio?

Which just proves my point. Optimal all depends on what you're trying to...

Forum: Psychology and Money Management

February 16th, 2021, 12:20 PM

Replies: 74

What is the best Risk Reward Ratio? But is that the right question?

Views: 17,805

Posted By SpeculatorSeth

In other words, the optimal win loss ratio...

In other words, the optimal win loss ratio depends on the signal itself. It's also going to depend on your own goals. This is where other metrics become necessary. What was the max drawdown of the...

Forum: Psychology and Money Management

August 3rd, 2020, 06:19 PM

Replies: 74

What is the best Risk Reward Ratio? But is that the right question?

Views: 17,805

Posted By SpeculatorSeth

You'll never get a humble reply to the criticisms...

You'll never get a humble reply to the criticisms of such a strategy. The reason such traders employ these strategies is because it's too much for their ego to regularly take losses. There's...

Forum: Psychology and Money Management

August 3rd, 2020, 02:56 PM

Replies: 74

What is the best Risk Reward Ratio? But is that the right question?

Views: 17,805

Posted By SpeculatorSeth

I think I understand exactly how it works, and...

I think I understand exactly how it works, and it's something that I've seen countless times before. They're always so confident that it's a workable strategy, but they always come back and admit to...

Forum: Psychology and Money Management

August 3rd, 2020, 12:54 PM

Replies: 74

What is the best Risk Reward Ratio? But is that the right question?

Views: 17,805

Posted By SpeculatorSeth

That's what we call curve fitting. Adjusting to...

That's what we call curve fitting. Adjusting to fit the data that happened in the past tells you nothing about how it will handle data in the future. We can't really even tell if the system has any...

Forum: Psychology and Money Management

July 27th, 2020, 01:28 PM

Replies: 74

What is the best Risk Reward Ratio? But is that the right question?

Views: 17,805

Posted By SpeculatorSeth

If you make your target and stop variables in the...

If you make your target and stop variables in the strategy you can have ninjatrader iterate across the different combinations to find the best one. Of course, this is curve fitting, but it's still...

Showing results 1 to 10 of 10

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