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Search: Posts Made By: xplorer
Forum: Traders Hideout January 9th, 2016, 09:55 AM
Replies: 47
Views: 23,414
Posted By xplorer
Well we can disagree on that then :wink:

Well we can disagree on that then :wink:
Forum: Traders Hideout January 9th, 2016, 09:08 AM
Replies: 47
Views: 23,414
Posted By xplorer
Thanks grausch - a theme indeed seems to be...

Thanks grausch - a theme indeed seems to be emerging, which is that systems - if and when they work - are based on skillful/experienced implementation.

Being that the case, we should be able to...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 9th, 2016, 05:20 AM
Replies: 47
Views: 23,414
Posted By xplorer
Thanks, GFIs1. What I meant to...

Thanks, GFIs1.





What I meant to say was, a loaded coin with 90% probability is either hugely unfavourable or hugely favourable. It all depends on which side of the bet you are! (I am...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 8th, 2016, 02:16 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 23,414
Posted By xplorer
Right, but isn't the loaded coin comparable to a...

Right, but isn't the loaded coin comparable to a strategy that does not generate profits?

I.e. if I used that loaded coin to perform my backtest I could see that by betting 100$ per toss I would...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 8th, 2016, 01:26 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 23,414
Posted By xplorer
I suppose - just to dumb it down to the simplest...

I suppose - just to dumb it down to the simplest level - the question I am asking is, if a system has shown to be reliable (say profitable 50-60% of the time or even higher), why not load up with as...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 8th, 2016, 01:24 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 23,414
Posted By xplorer
Understood. Let me reveal what that 'strategy' I...

Understood. Let me reveal what that 'strategy' I used was firstly. It was a really, really simple "when price crosses below lower-bound Bollinger band then buy at next bar". Reverse for sells.
The...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 8th, 2016, 12:55 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 23,414
Posted By xplorer
Thanks Kevin. As I understand, the chart you...

Thanks Kevin. As I understand, the chart you attached provides an example similar to what I described earlier and what I struggled with.

Here is a graph that shows hypothetical returns over a 3...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 8th, 2016, 11:49 AM
Replies: 47
Views: 23,414
Posted By xplorer
Interesting chart. Is this equity curve an...

Interesting chart. Is this equity curve an 'actual' record of somebody's (e.g. yours) trading activity? Or is it the profit curve generated by the conditions above?
Forum: Traders Hideout January 8th, 2016, 10:36 AM
Replies: 47
Views: 23,414
Posted By xplorer
This thread ...

This thread (https://nexusfi.com/psychology-money-management/24458-luck-skill-untangled-science-success.html)delves quite deeply into the relationship between luck and skill
Forum: Traders Hideout January 8th, 2016, 10:33 AM
Replies: 47
Views: 23,414
Posted By xplorer
hi trendisyourfriend - to me what you describe is...

hi trendisyourfriend - to me what you describe is more akin to a skill to be learned.

I too had the patience problem and I have become better at it. Still working on improving it further.
Forum: Traders Hideout January 8th, 2016, 10:30 AM
Replies: 47
Views: 23,414
Posted By xplorer
My point exactly. It's good to...

My point exactly.





It's good to see that some people disagree, I think it can generate an interesting debate.

It would also be useful to have one or more of the pro-mechanical forum...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 7th, 2016, 12:25 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 23,414
Posted By xplorer
I've come to believe trading to be a skill...

First off, I was surprised to find relatively little on this site in terms of topics about trading skills (11 results with 'skill' keyword, 3 to 4 relevant ones). The reason I say this is, I would...
Showing results 1 to 12 of 12

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