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Search: Posts Made By: Chubbly
Forum: Options October 18th, 2015, 03:53 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
I agree with you. I just tossed that out for...

I agree with you. I just tossed that out for some discussion

CNBC and MarketWatch are the 2 worst websites for constant doom and gloom headlines. I try to restrict my viewing of them to just...
Forum: Options October 17th, 2015, 05:06 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
The 100 Put gave back a strange curve of peaking...

The 100 Put gave back a strange curve of peaking for only 1 day which was several days after the crash. It didn't give much protection but only cost $7.5
Forum: Options October 17th, 2015, 05:02 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
This is what a return would look like if you had...

This is what a return would look like if you had bought 850 days out, the 500 Put on Aug 17. It cost $150 and gave back a return max of $350
Forum: Options October 17th, 2015, 04:56 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
Unfortunately I don't have access to historical...

Unfortunately I don't have access to historical OI data. I can't see the advantage of buying Puts that far OTM and so far out in the future


Although this article suggests put buying is peaking...
Forum: Options October 17th, 2015, 03:54 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
There are some people betting on a total market...

There are some people betting on a total market crash. Look at all the Open Interest in to 100-500 Puts on SPX in Dec 2017
Forum: Options October 17th, 2015, 09:17 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
The nice thing about hindsight is that it is...

The nice thing about hindsight is that it is always 20/20. The problem is that nobody knows the future.
Nobody knew the VIX would have a nice stable drop over 2 months. Nobody knew that at the...
Forum: Options September 29th, 2015, 08:35 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
If anyone is interested in VIX hedging the CBOE...

If anyone is interested in VIX hedging the CBOE has a ticker VXTH which is a hypothetical portfolio that buys VIX calls when it reaches certain levels. I know some people like to buy Calls in VIX...
Forum: Options September 22nd, 2015, 02:00 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
Backtesting Options Strategies

Like many of you I had some losses on Aug 24. I have been manually backtesting different ideas to help avoid or at least partially mitigate the loss without costing me a large % of profits. I...
Forum: Options September 9th, 2015, 12:38 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
Along the same lines as what ron99 posred. The...

Along the same lines as what ron99 posred. The swings in prices are way out of normal ranges

The S&P 500*Hasn't Seen This Many 'All or Nothing Days' Since 2011 - Bloomberg Business...
Forum: Options September 9th, 2015, 08:56 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
That other service also had a bad May 2010 ...

That other service also had a bad May 2010

index etf credit spread iron condor option advisory options trading system service using puts and calls, spreads and condors trader strategies...
Forum: Options September 9th, 2015, 08:26 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
Yes, a 69% loss could be the type of loss that...

Yes, a 69% loss could be the type of loss that ends your trading career.
I would say this reinforces the need to be mechanical in your stops with Options, although not always possible in a true...
Forum: Options September 6th, 2015, 04:54 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
I do not advocate or endorse either of these 2...

I do not advocate or endorse either of these 2 websites. I am merely posting for comparison.

I just did some quick searching around to see if I could find anyone else posting results that were...
Forum: Options September 6th, 2015, 03:45 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
That strategy lost -56% in Oct 2008. I hope they...

That strategy lost -56% in Oct 2008. I hope they have modified it since then a that seems excessive
Forum: Options September 6th, 2015, 11:59 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
Select that little Globe and Paper clip Icon...

Select that little Globe and Paper clip Icon under the smiley face and insert your link. (I will do it)...
Forum: Options September 5th, 2015, 05:08 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
Ok thanks, that makes more sense. On Aug 31 my...

Ok thanks, that makes more sense. On Aug 31 my chart shows OVX opened at 52 went up spiked at 74 then closed at 49
Forum: Options September 5th, 2015, 07:51 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
I was looking a bit farther out at the Nov-Jan...

I was looking a bit farther out at the Nov-Jan months but at 10-15 delta. I just noticed the OVX (CBOE CRUDE OIL VOLATILITY) was spiking up at 74 which is extremely high.
Forum: Options September 4th, 2015, 08:08 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
Anyone else try trading /CL last 2 days? It...

Anyone else try trading /CL last 2 days? It seemed like the B/A spreads were wider than usual.
Forum: Options September 1st, 2015, 08:30 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
After exiting my CL position on Monday I have not...

After exiting my CL position on Monday I have not sold anymore Options until the premium price reflects the risk that I am taking on. I looked at CL option chain yesterday and I felt it was still 2...
Forum: Options August 28th, 2015, 08:53 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
Although the article doesn't state how much he...

Although the article doesn't state how much he lost before the big win this week.....


Nassim Taleb's Universa Investments crushed it - Business Insider...
Forum: Options August 27th, 2015, 01:32 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
Can one of you pretend to be an investor and ask...

Can one of you pretend to be an investor and ask for her track record
Forum: Options August 27th, 2015, 12:44 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
I know she has said they only go out a max of 52...

I know she has said they only go out a max of 52 days from expiry. I had 10 delta IC's on expiring Sept, Oct, Nov and Dec in my paper accounts and I was watching them during the crash. The Sept,...
Forum: Options August 26th, 2015, 07:46 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
True, I assume he has his algorithms scan for...

True, I assume he has his algorithms scan for option chains that are at extreme leptokurtic so that any increase in volatility is likely to have a bigger impact
Forum: Options August 26th, 2015, 07:39 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
I guess anyone following the Nicholas Taleb style...

I guess anyone following the Nicholas Taleb style of trading would have made off like a bandit. I would have to assume you would need a very large capital to even think of trading that style
Forum: Options August 26th, 2015, 07:11 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
I can't believe it....... I was actually going...

I can't believe it....... I was actually going to buy cheap VIX calls a couple weeks ago when VIX was at 10.... I would have made like 5000% :faint:
...
Forum: Options August 25th, 2015, 10:50 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,952,177
Posted By Chubbly
Just because you have more margin to play with...

Just because you have more margin to play with doesn't mean you should
Showing results 1 to 25 of 55

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