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Search: Posts Made By: RielA

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

November 3rd, 2016, 03:49 PM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

my settings for my profile and subsequently my...

my settings for my profile and subsequently my value areas, poc, and vwap start Jan 1 2016.
as of the moment..

HVN for the year is at 162 21/32
current DVAH is around 170 17/32
DVAL at 157 5/32...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

November 2nd, 2016, 01:57 PM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

We've reached that level i've spoken of earlier...

We've reached that level i've spoken of earlier (right around the HVN of the year). If prices can hold under the yearly VWAP and last months POC (Black box on TPO chart), we could see a flush under...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

October 27th, 2016, 09:24 AM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

We've seen prices reach the Annual VWAP and trade...

We've seen prices reach the Annual VWAP and trade within the Monthly DVA in that area. Expecting some back and forth but it was important that the MDVA Highs held and they did. Now we're seeing a...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

October 4th, 2016, 10:55 PM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

My trading is all done day to day, I don't even...

My trading is all done day to day, I don't even have a chart on my screen when trading haha! I've never been very good at meshing my analysis and my trading so I keep my directional market biases...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

October 4th, 2016, 04:43 PM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

This is what I am seeing with Bonds for the rest...

This is what I am seeing with Bonds for the rest of the year..

1) We had that rotation I spoke about to the high of the monthly DVA and a nice rejection of that area. Now it does appear prices are...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

September 23rd, 2016, 08:27 AM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

We'll likely finish the week somewhere above Y...

We'll likely finish the week somewhere above Y Low and below LM Low.

Id like to see LM Lows trade as that would pretty much finish the rotation from the Monthly DVAL > DVAH. As another bullish...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

September 21st, 2016, 08:39 AM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

I think Treasuries/Bonds have priced in that the...

I think Treasuries/Bonds have priced in that the FED wont raise rates. So if that is the outcome, from a TA standpoint i am seeing prices to move higher from here. But all depends on what is said at...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

September 9th, 2016, 09:22 AM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

Out of interest lets use some of those statistics...

Out of interest lets use some of those statistics to determine the likelihood of today moving higher. Ultimately, there's no real news going on today, I think it'll be slow and we'll likely just see...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

September 8th, 2016, 01:08 PM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

We saw prices trade up to that MCPOC of 170'12...

We saw prices trade up to that MCPOC of 170'12 and get rejected to the tick, not even a double test and now we are back at the lows of this monthly range we've been stuck in. There is a lot of...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

September 8th, 2016, 09:40 AM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

There is an excellent webinar here done by...

There is an excellent webinar here done by FuturesTrader71 about using statistics to develop and edge, so all credit goes to him. I basically used the same methods only using OHLC data from the RTH,...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

September 8th, 2016, 09:36 AM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

So far this week I'm seeing this POC from most of...

So far this week I'm seeing this POC from most of August of 170'12 as a kind of Over/Under line. Prices have opened this week below it, shot up right over the HVN and traded above and now we've...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

September 3rd, 2016, 10:19 AM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

Thats part of the issue, I dont know how I would...

Thats part of the issue, I dont know how I would exactly define it so that it could be consistently tested! haha

I'd probably say that a swing high/low is in place after a minimum 50% retracement...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

September 2nd, 2016, 10:51 AM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

If we end this week closing under 169 19/32 (prev...

If we end this week closing under 169 19/32 (prev days VA and within todays -100% IB extension) its a bit bearish! But if we see a bit of a bounce and close somewhere above that, it might just be...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

September 2nd, 2016, 10:26 AM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

I am using US NYSE Core Trading Hours for Bonds...

I am using US NYSE Core Trading Hours for Bonds as my RTH

RTH = 7:00 am- 4:00 pm
OR = 7:00 - 7:05 am
IB = 7:00 - 8:00 am
ON = 4:00 pm - 6:59 am
Time in CST

I used to use 7:20 but since the...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

August 31st, 2016, 04:16 PM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

Thanks! My OR is the standard first five min...

Thanks!

My OR is the standard first five min from the open. I give it three ticks of wiggle room just out of discretion. I'd like to find a way of testing a opening swing and see the difference. ...

Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds

August 31st, 2016, 02:21 PM

Replies: 465

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Views: 123,523

Posted By RielA

I've been doing some quick studies to help myself...

I've been doing some quick studies to help myself with determining some probable outcomes for the market day to day. This is the results I've come across when studying the ZB!

Overnight Data
ON...

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