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Search: Posts Made By: cunparis
Forum: Traders Hideout October 24th, 2009, 04:42 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
Hi AFei, I'm sorry you found the thread after I...

Hi AFei, I'm sorry you found the thread after I decided to stop. To be honest I haven't been doing a lot of swing trading, I'm focusing on day trading because it has a lot more risk and because...
Forum: Traders Hideout October 3rd, 2009, 05:40 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
The past few days we've seen major selling. ...

The past few days we've seen major selling. Climax down days. All these shares being sold are being bought by someone and I'm not sure who. We hit the next target which is support around 1013. A...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 28th, 2009, 01:11 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
after reading my last post I thought I'd clarify...

after reading my last post I thought I'd clarify something: I wasn't going to exit my position at the target. The possibility was to take off a portion and ride the rest. But we made it down so...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 26th, 2009, 11:30 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
Not much to say, the drop was expected but the...

Not much to say, the drop was expected but the speed wasn't. ES came within 1 pt of my first target. I wasn't here when it happened and it had already pulled back by the close. The volume on...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 25th, 2009, 08:30 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
The real issue isn't the participation, it's that...

The real issue isn't the participation, it's that I'm changing my mind about the whole idea of an outlook. I think it sets up a bias and the possibility to want to be right. What if I say "I think...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 24th, 2009, 04:22 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
All I can say is "WOW!". Well that's not all but...

All I can say is "WOW!". Well that's not all but you get the idea.

I thought we'd have a pullback to 1035 and then make another attempt at the high. However the last two days were very strong...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 24th, 2009, 12:58 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
I took the first trade on Sunday based on the HVC...

I took the first trade on Sunday based on the HVC and bearish divergences, it looked low risk and good for me. I didn't think of the FOMC statement and the impact that can have. This goes to show...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 23rd, 2009, 03:54 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
Ok I really didn't intend this to be a journal...

Ok I really didn't intend this to be a journal but.. I liked the price action (i'm a bear) so I put in a sell stop 1 tick under today's low thinking it'd get hit overnight. I was surprised that it...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 23rd, 2009, 02:32 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
Well I didn't count on the Fed FOMC news this...

Well I didn't count on the Fed FOMC news this week but it sure ruined my trade. Went up enough to stop me out.

In hindsight I should have exited at breakeven on Monday's reversal. that was a...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 21st, 2009, 01:09 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
I'm in at 1059. I debated on waiting for the day...

I'm in at 1059. I debated on waiting for the day session but if other traders arrived at the same conclusion it could gap down and lock out the shorts. The risk of entering on globex session is...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 20th, 2009, 03:44 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
Last week I thought we'd head lower and it turns...

Last week I thought we'd head lower and it turns out we didn't. However I didn't see anything meriting a trade so no harm done.
...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 12th, 2009, 02:37 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
I quoted a few parts of last weeks update. We...

I quoted a few parts of last weeks update. We broke 1016 and went up above 1038.75 where we ran into some selling pressure. We went above the broken trendline so if we continue above it then it...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 6th, 2009, 04:27 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
I quoted a few relevant parts from last week when...

I quoted a few relevant parts from last week when I clearly stated "I have no idea". Well I never expected that we'd break our trendline on very large volume! That was a big surprise. I read on...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 1st, 2009, 04:27 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
I posted a daily chart in the Volume thread with...

I posted a daily chart in the Volume thread with a little analysis based on the volume. Looks bearish to me.

https://nexusfi.com/5338-post30.html
Forum: Traders Hideout September 1st, 2009, 11:23 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
the dollar is up today and that could be why the...

the dollar is up today and that could be why the indexes are down. I read on bloomberg that if the dollar goes up the traders have to sell their securities held/purchased with US dollars to avoid...
Forum: Traders Hideout August 30th, 2009, 03:31 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
Due to lack of activity and me being busy on...

Due to lack of activity and me being busy on other things, this week's outlook is going to be very short. Basically I don't have any idea what's going to happen!

The commercial traders started...
Forum: Traders Hideout August 23rd, 2009, 04:03 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
Weekly outlook for August 24

The combined COT report for all indexes showed the commercials were pretty much unchanged from the prior week. The prior weeks before that the commercials were selling. The explosive rally on...
Forum: Traders Hideout August 16th, 2009, 04:24 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
Outlook for the week of August 17-21

The S&P is right in line with the possibilities I posted previously.

.

I previously said I was looking for a lower low (below 990) and then a lower high. It looks like we might have had the...
Forum: Traders Hideout August 14th, 2009, 12:04 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
Can you post a screen shot? Sounds interesting.

Can you post a screen shot? Sounds interesting.
Forum: Traders Hideout August 13th, 2009, 04:34 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
A coworker asked me if in the first chart I used...

A coworker asked me if in the first chart I used fibonacci for the levels in the lines I draw on the chart. One could use fibonacci extensions & retractments for that and an excellent book on the...
Forum: Traders Hideout August 12th, 2009, 01:52 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
Arthur Hill gave two possible wave counts in his...

Arthur Hill gave two possible wave counts in his last update so I thought I'd share them here. I'm not that big on Elliot Wave cause it's very subjective and difficult to do in real time. For...
Forum: Traders Hideout August 12th, 2009, 01:39 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
1st chart: We hit 990 which acted as support. ...

1st chart:
We hit 990 which acted as support. Bears would like to see this small support taken out and the bulls would like to see it hold. The market is oversold and due for a bounce but may go a...
Forum: Traders Hideout August 10th, 2009, 03:58 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
Sorry but I didn't have time to do my usual...

Sorry but I didn't have time to do my usual weekly analysis. Not that I didn't have time to post it, I didn't do it at all. :( Been too busy working on a swing trading strategy. However my...
Forum: Traders Hideout August 7th, 2009, 05:33 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
I haven't completed my analysis for this week but...

I haven't completed my analysis for this week but there are some interesting developments. Today gapped up but closed in the middle on higher volume, this indicates supply. The high of today on ES...
Forum: Traders Hideout August 7th, 2009, 01:19 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 28,244
Posted By cunparis
letter from Paul Tudor Jones

I thought this was interesting to share. Paul Tudor Jones is one of the few "wizards" who is still active. He just sent out a letter to his shareholders. His assessment sums it up well for what I...
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