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Search: Posts Made By: Aufidius
Forum: Commodities April 20th, 2016, 09:11 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
When is the last time you saw a move like this on...

When is the last time you saw a move like this on a smaller than expected inventory increase?

My point is that we seems to have a bias to the upside. almost all news is being taken as positive...
Forum: Commodities April 20th, 2016, 01:56 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
Leading up to the Doha talks oil goes up Doha...

Leading up to the Doha talks oil goes up
Doha talks fall through, no agreement is reached to cutback output, oil goes up
Kuwait oil workers stop strike , increasing oil supply, oil goes up
Oil...
Forum: Commodities March 2nd, 2016, 07:52 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
The last few months of inventory reports well...

The last few months of inventory reports well over estimates have all caused a rally. people are buying on bullish and bearish news. Even rumors of a deal cause spikes.
Forum: Commodities February 17th, 2016, 08:07 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
oil just gapped up.. i have no idea why.. ...

oil just gapped up.. i have no idea why..

either way i'm happy i am long (for the moment)

http://i.imgur.com/AgiQHXK.png

:crazy_pilot:
Forum: Commodities February 7th, 2016, 01:26 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
Saudi, Venezuela Oil Ministers Hold ?Successful?...

Saudi, Venezuela Oil Ministers Hold ?Successful? Talks on Market - Bloomberg Business (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-07/saudi-venezuela-oil-ministers-hold-successful-talks-on-market)...
Forum: Commodities February 6th, 2016, 06:10 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
Looking at COT data ...

Looking at COT data
http://i.imgur.com/sKTaMre.png

last time Money Manager Shorts this high prices had a steep decline

http://i.imgur.com/UZFmrAx.png


*note time scale for both charts...
Forum: Commodities February 4th, 2016, 03:15 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
maybe it was inferred from ...

maybe it was inferred from ...
Forum: Commodities February 4th, 2016, 10:03 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
Oil bears closing of $600 million triple-short...

Oil bears closing of $600 million triple-short fund bet seen adding to tumult | Reuters (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-oil-futures-etf-idUSKCN0VD0D7)





40k contract trade size... i'd...
Forum: Commodities February 4th, 2016, 12:33 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
Is it just me or are the margin requirements the...

Is it just me or are the margin requirements the same now as they were when oil was $100?
Forum: Commodities February 3rd, 2016, 11:05 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
Oil inventory up 7.8 Million analyst estimate was...

Oil inventory up 7.8 Million analyst estimate was 4.8 ..

Interesting quote from the EIA inventory report

".....Reserve) increased by 7.8 million barrels from the previous week. At 502.7...
Forum: Commodities January 31st, 2016, 04:46 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
a look at weekly US Crude oil stocks (blue) and...

a look at weekly US Crude oil stocks (blue) and production (green) ...

http://i.imgur.com/a52hlrW.png


Crude oil prices weekly for the same time frame, not adjusted for inflation or...
Forum: Commodities January 29th, 2016, 01:16 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
Looking at the daily chart we seem to have a...

Looking at the daily chart we seem to have a shooting star.

http://i.imgur.com/i3TFlej.png
Forum: Commodities January 28th, 2016, 01:19 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
http://i.imgur.com/in22WS0.png

http://i.imgur.com/in22WS0.png
Forum: Commodities January 26th, 2016, 11:05 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
Inventory Report tomorrow.. and

Oil sheds gains after big inventory build (http://www.cnbc.com/2016/01/25/us-crude-drops-back-below-30-as-iraq-adds-record-output.html)
Forum: Commodities January 26th, 2016, 01:15 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
last week crude rally on hopes of stimulus ...

last week crude rally on hopes of stimulus
Today we get a rally on hopes of a OPEC deal

fundamentals still show a massive glut of oil that is growing.

short squeeze anyone?

A Constant...
Forum: Commodities August 20th, 2015, 04:12 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
Took some profit but I am still in holding a few...

Took some profit but I am still in holding a few contracts at 41.63

on an unrelated note I had a 30% gain in my trading account today. First time I had a crazy day like this.. feels good.
Forum: Commodities August 20th, 2015, 12:39 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,663
Posted By Aufidius
my first short was at 42.43 and I'm adding to...

my first short was at 42.43 and I'm adding to that now. I think predicting where it will stop is like picking tops and bottoms so I avoid it. I'll ride this until it is over...if it is 30 or 40...
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