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Search: Posts Made By: myrrdin
Forum: Commodities December 11th, 2020, 06:19 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
An interesting seasonal trade at this time of the...

An interesting seasonal trade at this time of the year is the RB-HO.

MRCI recommends the March contracts, which were profitable between middle of December and Christmas in each of the most recent...
Forum: Commodities May 25th, 2020, 09:12 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
Being careful never is wrong ...

Being careful never is wrong ...
Forum: Commodities May 24th, 2020, 12:28 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
Thank you for your advice. I will be careful. ...

Thank you for your advice. I will be careful.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities May 20th, 2020, 10:49 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
After taking profit - the NGU future was as high...

After taking profit - the NGU future was as high as $ 2.5 short time ago - I am long this future again. Ma target is again $ 2.5 .

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities April 27th, 2020, 02:09 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
Unfortunately, I did not re-enter the RB-HO...

Unfortunately, I did not re-enter the RB-HO spread aroud -50 - would have been a nice profit ...

My only position in the energies is some NGU futures. I expect a reduction of the production of...
Forum: Commodities February 27th, 2020, 03:20 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
I bought a first small position of CLN-CLZ today,...

I bought a first small position of CLN-CLZ today, and will add to this position at lower prices.

Seasonals suggest this trade.

Best regards, Myrrdin

PS: Liquidated the position.
Forum: Commodities February 27th, 2020, 03:19 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
I liquidated some of the RB-HO spreads (very)...

I liquidated some of the RB-HO spreads (very) profitably (May contract), and added new positions recently (July contract).

It looks like spring is approaching, and there will not be very cold...
Forum: Commodities December 23rd, 2019, 07:27 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
The only position I hold in the energies is the...

The only position I hold in the energies is the seasonal trade RB-HO. I am currently in the May contracts.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities August 18th, 2019, 01:22 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
I do not have an opinion on this spread, and I...

I do not have an opinion on this spread, and I currently do not hold any position in CL.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities August 16th, 2019, 10:00 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
According to the seasonal charts, the spread...

According to the seasonal charts, the spread should move downwards. But it has not followed the seasonals nicely in recent months.

COT data is neutral.

I do not see a good reason to enter this...
Forum: Commodities August 6th, 2019, 12:27 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
I started buying some relatively cheap NGH C3...

I started buying some relatively cheap NGH C3 options.

Winter is far away, and temperatures in December / January / February are unknown today. But there were many years when NGH moved above 3.0...
Forum: Commodities July 12th, 2019, 10:43 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
I had sold some NGV put spreads (NGV P2.05-1.8,...

I had sold some NGV put spreads (NGV P2.05-1.8, P2-1.75 and P1.9-1.65) some weeks ago, and added the short NGV C2.9-3.2 to form a strangle.

I intend to buy back the puts with around 75 % and the...
Forum: Commodities July 12th, 2019, 10:38 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
I also hold this spread, based on seasonal...

I also hold this spread, based on seasonal charts.

Additionally I just closed some RBV-CLV spreads profitably.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities June 5th, 2019, 04:34 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
After liquidating my CL and NG option positions...

After liquidating my CL and NG option positions soon after entry, I do not hold any position in the energies.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities May 22nd, 2019, 06:38 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
The only trade I hold in the energies is a Crude...

The only trade I hold in the energies is a Crude Oil short option spread:

CLU +P43 -P47 -C76 +C82

I used the higher volatility in early My to sell this strangle.

I intend to take a long...
Forum: Commodities November 13th, 2018, 01:43 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
According to seasonal charts, the RB-HO spread...

According to seasonal charts, the RB-HO spread should be interesting at this time of the year.

I was stopped out of this trade twice recently with a loss.

The current cold weather made the...
Forum: Commodities October 13th, 2018, 09:26 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
In the energies I currently hold the following...

In the energies I currently hold the following positions:

RBG-HOG
This trade is favored by the seasonal charts. I was stopped out of this trade with a loss some time ago, and re-entered...
Forum: Commodities August 14th, 2018, 12:17 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
I never traded gasoil. Best regards, Myrrdin

I never traded gasoil.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities August 3rd, 2018, 10:24 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
I currently hold the following positions in the...

I currently hold the following positions in the energies:

Long CLZ P70.
I intend to hold this position longterm for seasonal reasons and as a hedge for long stock positions.

RBG-HOG.
I intend...
Forum: Commodities February 19th, 2018, 10:28 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
It is interesting to note that the NGN-NGJ spread...

It is interesting to note that the NGN-NGJ spread never had its Best Equity Amount between 10th of February and 1st of March in the most recent 15 years. As in 2018 the best equity amount did not...
Forum: Commodities February 18th, 2018, 11:37 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
I still hold the positions mentioned above. Both...

I still hold the positions mentioned above. Both trades usually move upwards at least until some time in March.

I added the NGX-NGK some time ago. This trade also is a suggestion of MRCI. The...
Forum: Commodities January 22nd, 2018, 05:44 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
I currently hold the following positions: ...

I currently hold the following positions:

RBN - HON

NGN-NGJ

Both trades are based on seasonal considerations. The lows for the year seem to be in. I was surprized that the cold blast in...
Forum: Commodities January 5th, 2018, 07:55 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
"Bear spread" is a spread where you are short the...

"Bear spread" is a spread where you are short the leg expiring first. These spreads usually work when the price of the underlying falls.

I am short NGJ (April contract) and long the NGN (July...
Forum: Commodities January 4th, 2018, 09:44 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 24,645
Posted By myrrdin
Energies

From a far away perspective (in Austria) it looks like the cold blast in the US is coming to an end. I am surprized that the NGH futures did not move further and are far away from taking out the...
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