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Search: Posts Made By: myrrdin
Forum: Commodities July 18th, 2022, 11:29 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
Currently, I stay away from trading Natural Gas....

Currently, I stay away from trading Natural Gas. There are too many uncertainties to feel comfortable.

The few related stock positions I hold are long term hedges for German stock positions.
...
Forum: Commodities November 13th, 2021, 11:35 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
The amount of Natural Gas transported via ships...

The amount of Natural Gas transported via ships world-wide is significantly larger than some years ago.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities October 6th, 2021, 01:55 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
Yes, definitely. Here the interest of the US...

Yes, definitely. Here the interest of the US (independence from Russia, help for Ukraine) is different from the interest of Germany (Natural Gas).
Forum: Commodities October 6th, 2021, 01:44 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
NG price came down significantly when Mr. Putin...

NG price came down significantly when Mr. Putin stated that he will send enough Natural Gas to Europe. It is a political game that has nothing to do with temperatures etc.
Forum: Commodities October 6th, 2021, 04:33 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
I would like to add that nobody here in Austria...

I would like to add that nobody here in Austria discusses a shortage of Natural Gas for this winter. Everybody complains about the high price, but they are convinced that there is enough gas around....
Forum: Commodities October 1st, 2021, 06:01 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
Regarding the situation in Europe, it is my...

Regarding the situation in Europe, it is my opinion that Russia reduced supplies to Europe in recent months to put pressure on negotiations regarding the pipeline Northstream 2.

It is interesting...
Forum: Commodities July 8th, 2021, 01:43 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
I am investing in stocks for approx. 30 years,...

I am investing in stocks for approx. 30 years, and I am trading futures and options for 15 - 20 years. Yes, I am teaching myself, and I am permanently learning. My professional background is...
Forum: Commodities July 6th, 2021, 09:52 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
Support / Resistance. My time horizon is weeks or...

Support / Resistance. My time horizon is weeks or months, thus, my stopps are quite wide.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities July 6th, 2021, 09:15 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
I prefer mental End of Day-Stopps compared to...

I prefer mental End of Day-Stopps compared to intraday stopps.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities February 19th, 2021, 09:54 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
MRCI suggests entering the NGX-NGK and the...

MRCI suggests entering the NGX-NGK and the NGZ-NGM spreads in the second half of February or first half of March, respectively.

There is a good relation between "Best Equity Amount" and "Worst...
Forum: Commodities February 17th, 2021, 04:29 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
It looks like investment in infrastructure...

It looks like investment in infrastructure companies currently is a good idea. On the one hand, Mr. Biden intends to start a huge package to finance improvements of infrastructure, on the other hand...
Forum: Commodities February 16th, 2021, 10:42 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
Thank you for the information. Are there...

Thank you for the information.

Are there reasonable amounts of NG traded at this price ? I would assume that most users of NG have longterm contracts.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities August 5th, 2020, 05:15 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
Weather is the major influence on Natural Gas...

Weather is the major influence on Natural Gas prices. It is used for heating as well as for cooling.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities August 5th, 2020, 04:48 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
Price is moving upwards because of higher...

Price is moving upwards because of higher temperatures, more exports and lower production. Each of these effects does not seem dramatic to me, but in sum they move the price.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities November 8th, 2019, 03:59 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
I sold my speculative long NGH C3 this week with...

I sold my speculative long NGH C3 this week with a nice profit, and joint MRCI buying the (bearish) NGH-NGF spread. As a principle, I do not sell NG options in the Z, F, G, and H contracts.

Best...
Forum: Commodities March 3rd, 2019, 07:22 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
I do not think it is possible to give an easy...

I do not think it is possible to give an easy answer, eg. "yes" or "no".

My trading is mostly based on fundamental information. My interest is more towards growing commodities (eg. corn, wheat,...
Forum: Commodities January 6th, 2019, 03:27 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
Should not the relatively high price of HO...

Should not the relatively high price of HO compared to RB be a motivation for more imports and a higher production of HO over the next couple of months ?

Or is it reasonable that the RBK-HOK...
Forum: Commodities January 5th, 2019, 11:45 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
It is interesting to note that - whereas the NG...

It is interesting to note that - whereas the NG market is saying winter is over - the RB-HO market is still in winter mode. The prices for these spreads are still significantly below average for...
Forum: Commodities December 28th, 2017, 11:27 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
Still hold my long NGH C4. Will liquidate half of...

Still hold my long NGH C4. Will liquidate half of them at 0.5 (currently 0.42), when profit is 100 %, and, thus, I would get a free trade for the rest of the options.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities December 15th, 2017, 12:52 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
Today from Dave Hightower: "The US Climate...

Today from Dave Hightower:

"The US Climate Prediction Center increased the La Nina probability to 92 % from 73 % for the December - February timeframe ... "

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities December 15th, 2017, 04:45 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 88,818
Posted By myrrdin
The NGJ-NGH spread is called widow maker for good...

The NGJ-NGH spread is called widow maker for good reason. Usually it works, but if there is a cold blast at the wrong time it can be terribly expensive to be on the wrong side.

I bought some cheap...
Showing results 1 to 21 of 21

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