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Search: Posts Made By: Trailer Guy
Forum: Commodities May 30th, 2020, 01:52 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Saw that "Hermit Investors" (reclusive rich...

Saw that "Hermit Investors" (reclusive rich people) bought about half of the tanker armada oil headed for China as an investment and will put it in land based storage. Around 50 million barrels.
...
Forum: Commodities May 8th, 2020, 12:11 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
What I have experienced. (Stay with me here) My...

What I have experienced. (Stay with me here) My wife is active in a charity run and staffed by volunteers, mostly retired and all women. They are having to make decisions about reopening their...
Forum: Commodities May 7th, 2020, 12:42 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Read on the internet (so it must be true) that...

Read on the internet (so it must be true) that Monday IF there are still 50,000 open contracts in the June delivery it is going to be another ugly ugly end to the contract as there just isn't enough...
Forum: Commodities April 11th, 2020, 03:21 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Thanks for your input. I was involved in tanker...

Thanks for your input. I was involved in tanker stocks many years ago. I greatly admire the way "the pirate" John Fredriksen, also know as "The Viking King" treated his shareholders. Assuming his...
Forum: Commodities April 11th, 2020, 01:48 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
A couple of years ago "they" pointed out the...

A couple of years ago "they" pointed out the drilled uncompleted wells as an indicator of future production. At the time fracking was a lot more money than drilling so the thought was spending the...
Forum: Commodities April 9th, 2020, 12:23 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
So do you have an opinion on the tanker stocks as...

So do you have an opinion on the tanker stocks as big winners theory being pushed on the internet?
Forum: Commodities March 2nd, 2017, 07:05 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Ron, Thanks for that. Orangutan Trading at...

Ron,
Thanks for that. Orangutan Trading at seeking alpha does a free post after every IEA report. He points out that US exports are up 81% so it makes it look like OPEC has really cut. Waiting to...
Forum: Commodities March 2nd, 2017, 03:30 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Totally agree but Platts was using wiggle words...

Totally agree but Platts was using wiggle words and talking about contracted cargoes. We have read that OPEC December production was a record and agreeing to it then requires loading and transport,...
Forum: Commodities March 2nd, 2017, 02:11 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Ron: Platts is out with a report claiming that...

Ron:
Platts is out with a report claiming that the import numbers are due to contracts signed prior to the OPEC production cut, claiming the travel time from the gulf confuses things. I would have...
Forum: Commodities January 19th, 2017, 04:59 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
For years some of the pro's have played the Brent...

For years some of the pro's have played the Brent WTI spread. Ever since US was allowed to export crude the price differential has gotten a lot closer to the cost of transport from the gulf to...
Forum: Commodities January 5th, 2017, 04:42 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Gotta love it. Right on schedule (well actually a...

Gotta love it. Right on schedule (well actually a little late) Saudi starts dropping production as the serious traders say they do every winter. Initial report was it was in response to decreasing...
Forum: Commodities December 22nd, 2016, 12:15 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
What is a poor algo to do. Clipper Data free...

What is a poor algo to do.
Clipper Data free blog showed a 4 month high in crude sitting in the Gulf waiting to unload. The weekly 5 year average shows we are ready for the winter noose dive in...
Forum: Commodities December 20th, 2016, 05:04 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Ron, Thanks for looking that up. It took...

Ron,
Thanks for looking that up. It took forever for the first export train to get built. They have several more permitted here and in Canada. I saw somewhere that Sabine has at least one more...
Forum: Commodities December 20th, 2016, 10:48 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Nat Gas is being exported as well. Some think we...

Nat Gas is being exported as well. Some think we are reaching a long term bottom. I think problem is that the upside is capped as more and more seaborn gas becomes available.

Clipper Data says 4...
Forum: Commodities December 19th, 2016, 12:33 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Gutsy play. I am waiting for some early January...

Gutsy play. I am waiting for some early January inventory numbers to panic the hedge funds along with a media barrage about possible cheating.
Forum: Commodities December 18th, 2016, 04:56 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Well they are sounding a trumpet for the big...

Well they are sounding a trumpet for the big trading houses to take things down, aren't they. Those big old alligators can see when everyone is on the same side of the boat.

If it was me I would...
Forum: Commodities December 10th, 2016, 05:13 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Drill baby drill. Shale narritive is that their...

Drill baby drill. Shale narritive is that their costs keep plunging. They claim they can make money at 50. Certainly rig count turned around this summer. Press says half the rigs are running in the...
Forum: Commodities November 30th, 2016, 05:38 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
There is an oil version of VIX and I assume a...

There is an oil version of VIX and I assume a bunch of other derivatives. I posted the comment as I thought it may keep some lambs away from the slaughter, as in a real pro saying stay away from...
Forum: Commodities November 30th, 2016, 03:59 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Well the point he was making is when we hit peak...

Well the point he was making is when we hit peak summer demand there are a lot of contracts out there in that 50 to 55 range so the odds of them being losers have gone up big time. So a lot of...
Forum: Commodities November 30th, 2016, 03:08 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
If you want another view of the deal Oil Going...

If you want another view of the deal
Oil Going To $70 By July (Video) | EconMatters (http://www.econmatters.com/2016/11/oil-going-to-70-by-july-video.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter)
...
Forum: Commodities November 29th, 2016, 04:23 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
Hot tip today from twitter handle, oil merchant @...

Hot tip today from twitter handle, oil merchant @ energy Rosen

He suggests that in these news heavy OPEC sessions you can not trade oil. So he suggests instead trading volatility products.

Not...
Forum: Commodities November 16th, 2016, 07:51 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,147
Posted By Trailer Guy
I occasionally put up my mostly worthless...

I occasionally put up my mostly worthless comments on energy on a different forum where I hang out during the day. Crude Oil has given me some very expensive lessons in the past so I handle it with...
Showing results 1 to 22 of 22

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