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Search: Posts Made By: manuel999
Forum: Options March 6th, 2018, 07:56 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
According to the Moore Seasonal Patterns report...

According to the Moore Seasonal Patterns report the High for cotton is between Mar-May.
The report only goes to 2008 though.
Did the seasonal pattern in CT change in the last 10 years?
Forum: Options February 22nd, 2018, 11:30 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
the multiplier with my broker is 400. That is,...

the multiplier with my broker is 400.
That is, you multiply the premium per option by 400
However, the LEJ8 C128 cost around 2 right now for me.
So I assume Hightower multiplied the option price...
Forum: Options February 19th, 2018, 10:49 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Do you calculate your stop as a percentage of the...

Do you calculate your stop as a percentage of the option price?
The price of Wheat itself is still so far away from 600.

Thanks.
Forum: Options February 19th, 2018, 08:29 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Why did you closed that position already? Is...

Why did you closed that position already?
Is it already clear that supply of Wheat will be bad by the end of the year?
Forum: Options February 5th, 2018, 10:50 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Haha, I was already wondering. (I use the ZW...

Haha, I was already wondering.
(I use the ZW for wheat)
Forum: Options February 5th, 2018, 10:26 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Is WZ the Zloty?

Is WZ the Zloty?
Forum: Options February 2nd, 2018, 10:18 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Some time back a negative correlation between...

Some time back a negative correlation between Stock and Bonds was perceived as a given, though?
Forum: Options February 2nd, 2018, 09:38 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
I am surprised that almost every future is today...

I am surprised that almost every future is today negative. ES, ZB, GC &c.
Is this by chance, or does is everything is positively correlated now (via the USD)?
Forum: Options January 31st, 2018, 03:59 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
True, lot size is very important. For the...

True, lot size is very important.

For the first year of my option trading, I traded the smallest lot possible (1), and only used small deltas, about 2 or 3.
Just to get my feet wet.
For the...
Forum: Options January 30th, 2018, 10:39 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Did you do it with stock options or future...

Did you do it with stock options or future options (in case of tastytrade that would be the ETF)?
I find it easier to use future options, since they are less erratic that single stock options....
Forum: Options November 9th, 2017, 03:53 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Could you explain that a bit? Thanks.

Could you explain that a bit?
Thanks.
Forum: Options November 8th, 2017, 09:38 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Natural Gas anyone?

What is your opinion on NG?

I am planning to use the current spike to sell NGH8 (Feb 26) Calls, which are quite expensive.
I have my eye on the 6,25 call with a delta of 5.
Forum: Options October 30th, 2017, 07:16 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
I tried it in the beginning. But buying options...

I tried it in the beginning. But buying options was always a loss, and I quickly switched to only selling.
Even if I was right i almost always lost with buying options.
Forum: Options October 21st, 2017, 01:18 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Thanks. My CL call is somewhat protected as a...

Thanks.
My CL call is somewhat protected as a spread, so I do not worry too much. It also has almost reached it target anyway.

You are also not comfortable with selling Puts during the La Nina...
Forum: Options October 21st, 2017, 10:10 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Here is an interesting article from Art Berman's...

Here is an interesting article from Art Berman's blog, an expert in the oil drilling industry:
Art Berman Higher Oil Prices Are Likely in Early 2018 - Art Berman...
Forum: Options October 20th, 2017, 12:59 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Same here. Much more volume in the US trading.

Same here. Much more volume in the US trading.
Forum: Options October 10th, 2017, 11:39 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
In the meat markets, do you ever consider buying...

In the meat markets, do you ever consider buying higher Calls for protection, as in CL?
E.g. in our example, buying the LH C90 for maybe 0.150 if you can get it for that price?

Thanks.
Forum: Options October 10th, 2017, 11:23 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
I used today's spike to sell for 0.950

I used today's spike to sell for 0.950
Forum: Options October 9th, 2017, 10:18 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
I noticed the LHJ C80 is very expensive (about...

I noticed the LHJ C80 is very expensive (about 0.900).
Is that normal because it is so far out in DTE? Otherwise it looks quite overvalued, as it is close to the seasonal low then.

Thanks.
Forum: Options October 7th, 2017, 10:07 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Yes I agree on CL My CLF8 C65 Calls are close...

Yes I agree on CL
My CLF8 C65 Calls are close to the target area.
I will most likely sell new Calls when I close those.
Forum: Options October 6th, 2017, 09:30 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
I closed the GC G8 Call today at 80%. I expected...

I closed the GC G8 Call today at 80%. I expected some weeks ago that the Put will be decay earlier, but it was the other way round. All tension seems to be out of world politics.
The Put is still...
Forum: Options October 5th, 2017, 10:07 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
OK, suits me also better. Thanks.

OK, suits me also better.

Thanks.
Forum: Options October 5th, 2017, 09:42 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Many thanks. BTW, do you prefer discussions...

Many thanks.

BTW, do you prefer discussions here or on the FB group, or both?
Forum: Options October 5th, 2017, 08:56 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
What do you think about selling LHZ7 calls? ...

What do you think about selling LHZ7 calls?

According to Zaner, the December contract is overvalued in comparison to the cash market.

Ron's seasonal data is mixed (below). last year October was...
Forum: Options October 2nd, 2017, 12:02 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 280,477
Posted By manuel999
Many thanks for the advice. Yes, I see this as...

Many thanks for the advice.
Yes, I see this as a bit risky and will risk not more than 0,5% of the account, with ample margin.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 109

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