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Search: Posts Made By: Oysteryx
Forum: Commodities October 3rd, 2014, 07:38 PM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
Indeed. The DXY USD index is up 8.6% since July...

Indeed. The DXY USD index is up 8.6% since July 1st. Brutal.
Forum: Commodities October 2nd, 2014, 10:38 PM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
Same answer applies. Look at this:...

Same answer applies.

Look at this: Treasuries, LIBOR and Yield Curve (http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/treasuries.aspx)

And this (eurodollar Dec14 futures):...
Forum: Commodities October 2nd, 2014, 09:49 PM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
Interest rates have been going down, decreasing...

Interest rates have been going down, decreasing the cost of carry, increasing backwardation along the curve, and thus increasing the spreads.
Forum: Commodities September 30th, 2014, 06:34 PM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
indextrader7 94.80 sharp before a 3.5% drop ......

indextrader7
94.80 sharp before a 3.5% drop ... Hats off!

I bought 91.70, got ran over, bounced, closed for a 20 ticks loss. Much later I bought 91.20, made 30 ticks. Quite miserable. Expected...
Forum: Commodities September 8th, 2014, 12:12 PM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
Introduce yourself first. Give some background....

Introduce yourself first. Give some background. Otherwise my conversation with you is done, and you may interact with others. You wrote you are participating in a forum actively for the first time....
Forum: Commodities September 8th, 2014, 11:53 AM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
Must say you write arrogantly for being anonymous...

Must say you write arrogantly for being anonymous and uninformed about who you are interacting with. At least introduce yourself before patronizing strangers. Already gave you a date and time frame....
Forum: Commodities September 8th, 2014, 11:42 AM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
Thanks but no thanks. Just look at relative...

Thanks but no thanks. Just look at relative implieds and you have your answer.
Forum: Commodities September 8th, 2014, 09:51 AM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
Former statement is a fact. Nothing to test...

Former statement is a fact. Nothing to test there.

Of course. Not very often. Don't trade CL often. Last time was in June on the ISIS breakout. Daily chart. Swing trade.

oceanbreeze: just...
Forum: Commodities September 7th, 2014, 06:33 PM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
For me: 1. Different macro story and...

For me:

1. Different macro story and drivers. I'm an economist and very macro guy.
2. CL behaves very different than ES and euro. Its much less liquid. Has a tendency for violent breakouts. And...
Forum: Commodities September 6th, 2014, 03:41 PM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
BTR411 what indicator is the divergence against?...

BTR411 what indicator is the divergence against? Thanks!
Forum: Commodities September 5th, 2014, 03:28 PM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
Well I don't use CD divergences for trading, I...

Well I don't use CD divergences for trading, I just follow it for context. The way I see it CD divergences can be rationally interpreted both ways, eg, in a rising market, CD moving higher than price...
Forum: Commodities September 5th, 2014, 11:02 AM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
Charting platform not working today, what a great...

Charting platform not working today, what a great day for this to happen. So watching on the sidelines.

Wanted to mention that the CD divergence I posted about may have not existed. I asked in the...
Forum: Commodities September 3rd, 2014, 03:43 PM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
So shorted at 95.8 (previous close) for a 25 pip...

So shorted at 95.8 (previous close) for a 25 pip gain on a 1:1 RR trade. Not great. That said, its the first time I comment about a trade, and don't think an intraday trade of this sort adds value to...
Forum: Commodities September 3rd, 2014, 02:07 PM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
About to fade this move up depending on how it...

About to fade this move up depending on how it gets to the 95.4-95.5 area.

Edit: too much strength. Staying put.
Forum: Commodities September 3rd, 2014, 11:00 AM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
In my case I had become dependent on an edge I...

In my case I had become dependent on an edge I lost. Used to work on FX & Commodities Inst Sales for a big bank and had access to privileged info (such as flow, market maker's views, etc ... pls do...
Forum: Commodities September 3rd, 2014, 10:17 AM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
Picked up CL a year ago after many years trading...

Picked up CL a year ago after many years trading FX and gold spot. Given my limited CL experience, don't want to say much to influence any new CL traders.

All I'll say is compared to FX and ES, CL...
Forum: Commodities September 2nd, 2014, 12:59 PM
Replies: 227
Views: 49,869
Posted By Oysteryx
CD divergence

I find today's cumulative delta divergence quite odd. See the attached CLV14 60minute chart. Not an expert on the field.
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