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Search: Posts Made By: SMCJB
Forum: Traders Hideout May 15th, 2023, 10:08 AM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
In case you don't know, Kevin Davey = kevinkdog

In case you don't know, Kevin Davey = kevinkdog
Forum: Traders Hideout May 11th, 2023, 04:21 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
I looked at it recently. ICE ended TT's access to...

I looked at it recently. ICE ended TT's access to their S2F markets. For a period it looked like CQG could be a replacement but apparently ICE wouldn't allow CQG to access S2F either. So DMA became...
Forum: Traders Hideout May 10th, 2023, 09:45 AM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
I was a CQG user almost 30 years ago, when it was...

I was a CQG user almost 30 years ago, when it was just a charting software package (it's competitors at the time were things like Reuters, Telerate, Knight Ridder & Bridge). It's charting was so good...
Forum: Traders Hideout May 9th, 2023, 11:51 AM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
One more question. What software is that? My...

One more question. What software is that? My limited systematic trading experience is limited to Tradestation.
Forum: Traders Hideout May 9th, 2023, 11:34 AM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
Interesting Thank You. That makes sense. As you...

Interesting Thank You. That makes sense. As you say the higher the number of trades (for remove to neutral) the greater the confidence system is valid. Almost like a confidence test.
Forum: Traders Hideout May 9th, 2023, 11:13 AM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
CannonTrading I'm not familiar with "remove to...

CannonTrading I'm not familiar with "remove to neutral" and a google search doesn't return much. Could you explain?
Forum: Traders Hideout May 9th, 2023, 10:21 AM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
Repeating myself, I think the opposite. A lot of...

Repeating myself, I think the opposite. A lot of traders focus on it but its actually a meaningless statistic without win/loss ratio.
Forum: Traders Hideout May 3rd, 2023, 09:37 AM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
I was watching a video recently that had this...

I was watching a video recently that had this disclaimer displayed
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=331363

"78.2% of retail accounts lose money when trading with this provider"
Forum: Traders Hideout March 1st, 2023, 09:04 AM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
Again this is a meaningless statistic without...

Again this is a meaningless statistic without win/loss ratio. kevinkdog did a great video on trading stats a couple of weeks ago which included this great chart, which illustrates nicely the...
Forum: Traders Hideout February 28th, 2023, 05:08 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
Risk Reward is a meaningless statistic without...

Risk Reward is a meaningless statistic without win/loss ratio.
Forum: Traders Hideout February 6th, 2023, 04:19 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
I know jstnbrg answered this, but would point out...

I know jstnbrg answered this, but would point out that if an order was shown to the pit, by the time that order was relayed to an upstairs trader (hand signals to clerk on phone) and that upstairs...
Forum: Traders Hideout February 6th, 2023, 03:17 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
It's artemiso. You both spelt it wrong!

It's artemiso. You both spelt it wrong!
Forum: Traders Hideout January 30th, 2023, 05:07 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
Agreed kevinkdog especially this bit When...

Agreed kevinkdog especially this bit

When markets went electronic, most floor traders tried to transition to "upstairs" but most could not. Advantages a) b) and c) all went away with move...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 30th, 2023, 01:46 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
Floor traders made money because they had a) an...

Floor traders made money because they had a) an informational advantage, b) an execution speed advantage and c) they could legally take advantage of off floor orders. That still exists today but its...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 30th, 2023, 11:43 AM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
Something about very good, or even maybe elite,...

Something about very good, or even maybe elite, traders!
Forum: Traders Hideout January 29th, 2023, 09:19 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
Ahh yes the 'Spread Professor'. He'd be a good...

Ahh yes the 'Spread Professor'. He'd be a good addition to futures.io. He'd get treated a lot better here than he does over at that other toxic trading site he is on. Ex-NYMEX local I believe. Met a...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 29th, 2023, 07:14 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
While I clearly am on the same page as you with...

While I clearly am on the same page as you with this I'm not sure I agree with your characterization of (at least all) conders. We would agree that if I have an ABC butterfly on its generally...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 29th, 2023, 07:06 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
Mathematically Pascals Triangle is coefficients...

Mathematically Pascals Triangle is coefficients in the expansion of any binomial expression. Each number is the sum of the numbers above it.

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=329452...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 29th, 2023, 05:24 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
Wow your just going to give away all the best...

Wow your just going to give away all the best secrets in trading for free in a short post like that and not charge anybody anything? For what its worth, assuming we are talking about the same thing....
Forum: Traders Hideout January 27th, 2023, 01:08 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
I'm not making the 'you need a pro to manage your...

I'm not making the 'you need a pro to manage your money argument'. The point of the stock market is to allocate capital to companies. Good companies should get capital at cheaper rates than bad ones....
Forum: Traders Hideout January 27th, 2023, 12:51 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
For over a decade now active management has been...

For over a decade now active management has been destroyed by passive/index investing (excluding fees). I subscribe to the school of thought that the implications of that are bad for the market. We...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 21st, 2023, 12:31 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
I'm sure the discussion I'm thinking of happened...

I'm sure the discussion I'm thinking of happened here at nexusfi.com but I can't find it. I did find these though....


with additional explanation...


and the following qualification
Forum: Traders Hideout January 20th, 2023, 12:22 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
Regarding Joseph Connors comment that this all...

Regarding Joseph Connors comment that this all comes from a single 1990's study, I believe that many FX shops are required to report how many of their accounts make money, and if I recall correctly...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 2nd, 2023, 06:43 PM
Replies: 398
Views: 115,530
Posted By SMCJB
Great Post Kefkas Laugh. (Needed more than just a...

Great Post Kefkas Laugh. (Needed more than just a Thank You button)
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