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Forum: Commodities December 18th, 2020, 04:09 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
From Crude Thread.

From Crude Thread.
Forum: Commodities December 11th, 2020, 10:50 AM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
Bloomberg:- The Essex Boys Who Rode Oil’s Crash...

Bloomberg:- The Essex Boys Who Rode Oil’s Crash to a $660 Million Profit
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2020-12-10/the-essex-boys-who-made-660-million-from-oil-s-crash-video
...
Forum: Commodities November 25th, 2020, 05:55 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
Interesting. The most eye opening thing to...

Interesting.

The most eye opening thing to me was that 31.1% of all May contracts traded on Apr 20 were TAS, and that over 11000 TAS traded at limit down (-10c) compared to just 164 contracts in...
Forum: Commodities November 25th, 2020, 03:16 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
CFTC Interim Report on the May Crude contract...

CFTC Interim Report on the May Crude contract trading negative is out. Full report can be downloaded from the link at the bottom of the press release. I haven't read it yet).

CFTC :- CFTC Staff...
Forum: Commodities September 7th, 2020, 06:30 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
As always they will be the ones to profit the...

As always they will be the ones to profit the most on this situation.
Forum: Commodities August 20th, 2020, 10:06 AM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
.

.
Forum: Commodities August 6th, 2020, 02:43 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
I think we're addressing different things. Time...

I think we're addressing different things. Time Negative vs Time of Reversal Bar.

It didn't trade positive again until 7pm at night, after the reopen.
So it was negative for the last 3hrs on the...
Forum: Commodities August 6th, 2020, 01:42 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
And what we are talking about was what, 5 hours?

And what we are talking about was what, 5 hours?
Forum: Commodities August 6th, 2020, 12:48 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
That happened a lot. Millions and Millions of...

That happened a lot. Millions and Millions of Barrels. But WTI delivered to Cushing OK doesn't have any deep water ports. You have to send it down pipelines to Houston and Corpus Christi, but those...
Forum: Commodities May 15th, 2020, 09:38 AM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
Yeah I quoted a lot of it in the post before...

Yeah I quoted a lot of it in the post before yours! The exchanges and FCMs could have done things to reduce this, but thats easy to say in hindsight.

Interesting chart from Kemp/Reuters. I'm not...
Forum: Commodities May 14th, 2020, 11:04 AM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
I agree with SunTrader. One of the interesting...

I agree with SunTrader. One of the interesting things about the surge in onshore fracking is the debt level associated with many of the drillers. I believe that a lot of the break even fracking cost...
Forum: Commodities May 13th, 2020, 03:29 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
Nobody wants the same thing to happen with...

Nobody wants the same thing to happen with June...

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=299061
Forum: Commodities May 10th, 2020, 07:26 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
Well they are accountable to themselves and their...

Well they are accountable to themselves and their shareholders and they are accountable to the exchange in that they have a margin and credit obligation. But they only have an accountability to the...
Forum: Commodities May 9th, 2020, 10:31 AM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
Yes that's them. You can also sign up for all...

Yes that's them. You can also sign up for all margin change announcements. Additionally you can also sign up for Global Command Center messages. GCC sent a message at 12:06 (Central) on Monday April...
Forum: Commodities May 9th, 2020, 10:23 AM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
Wants somebody to blame! Mine to. I don't...

Wants somebody to blame!


Mine to. I don't think it was as nefarious as some suggest. I think things got out of control, people thought it can't get any worse than it already is, and then...
Forum: Commodities May 9th, 2020, 12:35 AM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
Two thoughts here. The first is if it's...

Two thoughts here.

The first is if it's casino why do you play. The odds in Casino's are stacked against you. Unless you have an edge you will lose.

Second is the deeper idea of speculation in...
Forum: Commodities May 8th, 2020, 07:45 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
I didn't but I also wouldn't expect to, FCMs...

I didn't but I also wouldn't expect to, FCMs don't set the rules, the exchange does. My FCM doesn't send me notifications of margin changes either. The exchange does. The announcements I expect from...
Forum: Commodities May 8th, 2020, 06:53 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
I disagree. They explicitly documented the...

I disagree. They explicitly documented the availability of negative pricing and the terms and conditions of the website specifically says they are under no obligation to update the Website.
Forum: Commodities May 8th, 2020, 03:08 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
WOW! Then came what looked like the deal of a...

WOW!
Then came what looked like the deal of a lifetime: buying 212 futures contracts on West Texas Intermediate for an astonishing penny each.

...

At midnight, Shah got the devastating news:...
Forum: Commodities May 8th, 2020, 01:17 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
wow. Great news for you guys.

wow. Great news for you guys.
Forum: Commodities April 29th, 2020, 01:13 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
June at 1587. 1/ M/N trading -341 which is...

June at 1587.

1/ M/N trading -341 which is +185 on the day.
Really? Suspect this is the post- "every oil etf and commodity index roll" bounce.

2/ 1600/1700 Put Spread is 44/49 and 1500/1600...
Forum: Commodities April 29th, 2020, 10:02 AM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
Yes its a thin field. Several of the so called...

Yes its a thin field. Several of the so called 'pro' systems do not have S2F connectivity and virtually non of the retail FCMs do.
Forum: Commodities April 27th, 2020, 10:34 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
ICE/WebICE just enabled negative strikes on WTI...

ICE/WebICE just enabled negative strikes on WTI and Brent as well. Obviously ICE WTI not as liquid as NYMEX CL but should be something tehre?
Forum: Commodities April 27th, 2020, 10:25 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
You being an energy guy know that there's lots of...

You being an energy guy know that there's lots of energy products that trade negative, especially Gas Basis. So any platform with access to ICE S2F is almost guaranteed to offer it.
Forum: Commodities April 27th, 2020, 10:24 PM
Replies: 260
Views: 56,065
Posted By SMCJB
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Trading Technologies
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