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Forum: Traders Hideout

April 16th, 2020, 11:02 AM

Replies: 42

Shhh don't say the "R" word

Views: 11,044

Posted By SMCJB

https://nexusfi.com/elite-circle/52458-recession-d...

https://nexusfi.com/elite-circle/52458-recession-depression-bailout-29.html#post797640

Forum: Traders Hideout

August 28th, 2019, 03:39 PM

Replies: 42

Shhh don't say the "R" word

Views: 11,044

Posted By SMCJB

Yes. Brain fart on my behalf. I was looking at...

Yes. Brain fart on my behalf. I was looking at absolute levels not the spread.

Forum: Traders Hideout

August 28th, 2019, 12:17 PM

Replies: 42

Shhh don't say the "R" word

Views: 11,044

Posted By SMCJB

I agree with your chart, and have seen something...

I agree with your chart, and have seen something similair elsewhere. (also the 2/10 is sending a similar message). Problem is this shows 1y3m as being negative. At least in the US that's not the...

Forum: Traders Hideout

August 27th, 2019, 02:02 PM

Replies: 42

Shhh don't say the "R" word

Views: 11,044

Posted By SMCJB

So that we are all talking about the same thing....

So that we are all talking about the same thing. A recession is defined usually as

"a contraction in the GDP for six months (two consecutive quarters) or longer."

It's not stock market...

Forum: Traders Hideout

August 27th, 2019, 01:59 PM

Replies: 42

Shhh don't say the "R" word

Views: 11,044

Posted By SMCJB

It's not the media (or their alleged politics!)....

It's not the media (or their alleged politics!). The Bond Market has an inverted yield curve and Eurodollar Futures are trading at multi year highs. These are all reliable predictors for a slow down...

Forum: Traders Hideout

August 27th, 2019, 12:41 PM

Replies: 42

Shhh don't say the "R" word

Views: 11,044

Posted By SMCJB

Great poll question but bad answer options. You...

Great poll question but bad answer options. You need to have answers that are mutually exclusive (ie 1,5,6 could be the same thing!)

I think for Europe, Yes, and for US, Probably and if the US...

Showing results 1 to 6 of 6

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