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Search: Posts Made By: SMCJB
Forum: Commodities October 5th, 2022, 04:59 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=32...

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=327361
Forum: Commodities July 31st, 2022, 04:49 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=32...

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=326200
Forum: Commodities May 17th, 2022, 03:11 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
Thanks Schnook, just signed up. Another...

Thanks Schnook, just signed up.

Another daily newsletter that used to be free but now is like $65/year I think is the daily livestock report. Obviously meats centric rather grain centric but I...
Forum: Commodities April 12th, 2022, 01:56 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
WSJ :- A Market Mystery: The ?Wheat Whale? That...

WSJ :- A Market Mystery: The ?Wheat Whale? That Came Out of Nowhere
Who was behind the surge of trading in wheat futures last month? Some point to a group of Reddit users who mobbed an E.T.F....
Forum: Commodities March 7th, 2022, 06:41 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
Wheat going to be limit up again, 3rd day in a...

Wheat going to be limit up again, 3rd day in a row, +130 to 1424.
Forum: Commodities March 1st, 2022, 12:11 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
Wrong way meaning I'm losing money, expecting it...

Wrong way meaning I'm losing money, expecting it to revert.
Forum: Commodities March 1st, 2022, 11:56 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
The thing you have in your favor is time. That...

The thing you have in your favor is time. That Dec22 is 8ish months from expiration. The big issue with the CL trade I posted (which I have one the wrong way around) is that expiry is only 3 months...
Forum: Commodities March 1st, 2022, 11:40 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
That chart I showed above. Settle last night was...

That chart I showed above. Settle last night was $4.27. Current bid/ask is $8.20/8.25. So the butterfly that has a 30 year range of -$4 to +$4 has moved $4 this morning! I'm sure that liquidations is...
Forum: Commodities March 1st, 2022, 11:30 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
All I know is the oil market is doing things...

All I know is the oil market is doing things never seen before, so wouldn't be surprised if the same is happening in other markets. For example...
...
Forum: Commodities March 1st, 2022, 11:09 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
Not a grain guy, so just thinking out loud. What...

Not a grain guy, so just thinking out loud. What would happen if the Russian/Ukraine 2022 crop was not planted/ruined/sanctioned but the 2023 was back to normal? Wouldn't that cause Z22 to spike vs...
Forum: Commodities March 1st, 2022, 10:58 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
Just saw this... related? ...

Just saw this... related?
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=322485
Forum: Commodities December 8th, 2021, 10:55 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
Thanks Schnook very interesting. You don't...

Thanks Schnook very interesting. You don't realize how connected everything is. (Little like AWS's outage yesterday taking down so many businesses!).

I wonder how much producers hedge some of this...
Forum: Commodities December 7th, 2021, 02:42 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
Any update on this? South American...

Any update on this?


South American Soybean Futures

For the Soybean traders out there. Not sure if the new South American contract will trade but the following video could be...
Forum: Commodities November 19th, 2021, 05:54 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
I've been meaning to revisit this trade for...

I've been meaning to revisit this trade for months but never seem to get around to it. Then yesterday I was doing some tax planning and my attention was drawn to the small sub account with the small...
Forum: Commodities November 3rd, 2021, 11:21 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
Interesting. Would like to see that chart as a...

Interesting. Would like to see that chart as a ratio so you can see the relationship better.

With regards to Ammonia...

it contributes significantly to the nutritional needs of terrestrial...
Forum: Commodities July 2nd, 2021, 12:14 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
That myrrdin guy is a wealth of knowledge in many...

That myrrdin guy is a wealth of knowledge in many commodities.
Forum: Commodities June 29th, 2021, 12:59 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
That I also agree with!

That I also agree with!
Forum: Commodities June 29th, 2021, 11:13 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
Hiraphor why did you delete your message. I...

Hiraphor why did you delete your message. I thought you made an interesting point.
Forum: Commodities May 19th, 2021, 10:13 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
From another thread - there's an attached 20 page...

From another thread - there's an attached 20 page report.
Forum: Commodities May 14th, 2021, 11:17 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
Bloomberg: Over 700 Barges Stuck in Mississippi...

Bloomberg: Over 700 Barges Stuck in Mississippi River From Bridge Crack
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-12/grain-barges-line-up-after-bridge-crack-shuts-mississippi-river

A crack...
Forum: Commodities May 14th, 2021, 09:56 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
Oil demand is changing the dynamics of the...

Oil demand is changing the dynamics of the soybean trade

As the energy market transitions to less fossil fuel-based products, biofuels and hydrogenated vegetable oil (HVO) are becoming part of the...
Forum: Commodities May 6th, 2021, 01:06 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
Next day (4th) I added to the positions at better...

Next day (4th) I added to the positions at better prices (-40.375, +13.67 & +18). This is very typical for me on a mean reversion trade, to layer into a position. As the position gets close to my...
Forum: Commodities May 3rd, 2021, 01:32 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
Finally enabled CBOT data, a $120/month cost for...

Finally enabled CBOT data, a $120/month cost for me, and did my first ever Ags trade*. While I enjoy discussing trades and ideas I generally avoid discussing specific trades for several reasons** but...
Forum: Commodities April 30th, 2021, 01:15 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
I know this is kind of out of nowhere, but...

I know this is kind of out of nowhere, but anybody have any opinions on the Soybean Jan-Mar Spread? Seems to be trading at very elevated levels while spreads like Nov-Jan and Mar-May are trading...
Forum: Commodities October 14th, 2020, 12:49 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,955
Posted By SMCJB
If your anxious, why not just move up to a single...

If your anxious, why not just move up to a single regular contract first?
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