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Search: Posts Made By: SMCJB
Forum: Commodities April 26th, 2021, 11:59 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
What are you thinking on this?

What are you thinking on this?
Forum: Commodities April 22nd, 2021, 07:35 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
I really should add that what I outlined above...

I really should add that what I outlined above really is best case scenario, and that execution is as crucial as fees. If you give up a tick in slippage getting in and out that eats a lot of your...
Forum: Commodities April 22nd, 2021, 06:54 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
mosalem2003 unfortunately there are very few...

mosalem2003 unfortunately there are very few Futures Butterfly resources that I know of, and the few that you can find are mostly Eurodollar focused. This is the domain of exchange members (more...
Forum: Commodities April 22nd, 2021, 09:57 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
So everybody is on the same page. There are...

So everybody is on the same page.

There are several ways to construct an OPTION BUTTERFLY. An Iron Butterfly is where you Buy (Sell) a Straddle - aka the body - normally at or close to the money -...
Forum: Commodities April 19th, 2021, 05:30 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
I've always enjoyed reading your trades myrrdin

I've always enjoyed reading your trades myrrdin
Forum: Commodities January 19th, 2021, 01:20 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
It's funny that you should say that because I...

It's funny that you should say that because I actually think the opposite for Metals vs Energies. but in this case we are both right since we are talking about different things! You are talking about...
Forum: Commodities January 6th, 2019, 03:06 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
There's a large community of people, with several...

There's a large community of people, with several commercial dedicated website's, that trade seasonal's purely based upon historical patterns with no fundamental factors at all. Of course there are...
Forum: Commodities June 12th, 2018, 10:11 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
Different markets quote spreads in different...

Different markets quote spreads in different ways. Energy markets are all chronological, so it's always first month - second month.
Forum: Commodities February 28th, 2018, 12:55 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
Better System Trader 137 – Profiting from...

Better System Trader 137 – Profiting from persistent market anomalies with Dimitri Speck

137 - Profiting from persistent market anomalies with Dimitri Speck - Better System Trader...
Forum: Commodities February 27th, 2018, 12:18 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
Interesting heraclitus thanks for the...

Interesting heraclitus thanks for the explanation. Regarding...

it would all depend upon correlation. Crude, Heating Oil and Gasoline are all highly correlated, so if one broke a trend then yes...
Forum: Commodities February 26th, 2018, 08:07 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
If your deciding to buy or sell in every month...

If your deciding to buy or sell in every month then that would be 12 parameters right there. You've already looked at all the data, so you probably already have biases now, but what I would do, is...
Forum: Commodities February 26th, 2018, 10:55 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
Are you testing on all your data?

Are you testing on all your data?
Forum: Commodities October 11th, 2017, 05:24 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
So basically the AUD:CAD cross?

So basically the AUD:CAD cross?
Forum: Commodities March 15th, 2017, 10:00 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
CME :- Is Crude Oil Taking Cue from Vegetable...

CME :- Is Crude Oil Taking Cue from Vegetable Oils?

Not a great piece but does talk about the impact Biofuels could be having on both Oil products

Is Crude Oil Taking Cue from Vegetable Oils? -...
Forum: Commodities March 6th, 2017, 10:24 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
If your in a position you either don't like or...

If your in a position you either don't like or don't want, get out. "Trying" to get out, aka waiting for losses to reduce, is a formula for blowing an account up.
Forum: Commodities March 3rd, 2017, 09:41 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
I asked a couple of traders at larger trading...

I asked a couple of traders at larger trading shops, and a couple of OTC brokers what was driving RBOBs drop. Two of the four came back and said RINS.
Forum: Commodities March 2nd, 2017, 01:14 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
I'm hearing that a major factor behind the RBOB...

I'm hearing that a major factor behind the RBOB drop is a significant drop in the prices of RINS or "renewable identification numbers". Not sure exactly how this works but apparently its got...
Forum: Commodities March 2nd, 2017, 09:16 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
A good (and surprisingly easy) read for any...

A good (and surprisingly easy) read for any aspiring energy trader is Petroleum Refining for the Non-Technical Person.
2nd Edition...
Forum: Commodities March 2nd, 2017, 09:12 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
I trade very little RBOB (but I did once work in...

I trade very little RBOB (but I did once work in a Gasoline blending group) and don't know whats happening right now, but let me add a couple of things to the conversation.
First RBOB is a...
Forum: Commodities January 31st, 2017, 04:55 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
"long and short at the same time in two accounts...

"long and short at the same time in two accounts in same market" = No Position
and unless they are sub-accounts...
"long and short at the same time in two accounts in same market" = Lots of Margin...
Forum: Commodities January 31st, 2017, 02:40 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,021
Posted By SMCJB
:unsure:

:unsure:
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