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Search: Posts Made By: SMCJB
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors November 27th, 2022, 10:46 AM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
Tirutrade how do you analyze/pick the Striker...

Tirutrade how do you analyze/pick the Striker systems?
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors November 27th, 2022, 10:43 AM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
Did you read all of this thread and my journal...

Did you read all of this thread and my journal https://nexusfi.com/trading-journals/42824-isystems-journal.html. It is my opinion that picking the right systems to trade is very difficult.
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 25th, 2021, 04:48 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
jharthun have you looked at this thread... ...

jharthun have you looked at this thread...



plus lots lots more
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors April 26th, 2021, 01:11 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
Thank You. Obvious issue with what I was...

Thank You. Obvious issue with what I was proposing is that it doesn't take into consideration how long a system has been tracked vs its total. For example the developer with the highest ratio is GE...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors April 26th, 2021, 12:35 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
Agreed Tirutrade. At one point I created a Random...

Agreed Tirutrade. At one point I created a Random Forest Machine Learning model and feed it all my data and created a variable for Developer. While the results were not good enough to want to...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors April 18th, 2021, 10:10 AM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
Thanks Tirutrade for all the comments and...

Thanks Tirutrade for all the comments and suggestions. Not sure if you saw it but I tried to develop a framework for identifying and trade profitable isystems several years ago. This was a real money...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors April 6th, 2021, 04:25 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
They are all over fit!

They are all over fit!
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors June 11th, 2018, 01:06 AM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
Yes. Me! I had a hypothesis I tested. I was...

Yes. Me! I had a hypothesis I tested. I was wrong. I lost money. I'm hoping to correct that soon.


Yes. Me!
Yes. Me!
Yes. Me!


Skepticism is actually good. Way too many snake all salesmen...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors June 9th, 2018, 10:34 AM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
As always another information packed webinar, my...

As always another information packed webinar, my thanks to you, Stage 5 and Walter Gallwas. The amount and quality of webinars you have here is truly amazing.

Having used/traded the isystems...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors December 21st, 2017, 05:08 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
Thanks Matt. The systems in question were bad and...

Thanks Matt. The systems in question were bad and probably never had subscribers. I only know they are missing because I compared database downloads I have. I was just alerting people that there is...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors December 20th, 2017, 02:44 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
I have recently discovered that some systems do...

I have recently discovered that some systems do get deleted, and don't show in the performance reports anymore. Unfortunately things does bring survivorship-bias into the equation!
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors October 24th, 2017, 12:47 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
For anybody interested, the first phase of my...

For anybody interested, the first phase of my isystems experiment is finished after a $5k loss over the first 2.67 months of live trading.

It appears that how these systems perform in any...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors August 7th, 2017, 10:13 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
I have now opened an isystems account. To avoid...

I have now opened an isystems account. To avoid filling this thread with my results I have created a journal specifically to post my system picking methodology and results at
...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 29th, 2017, 03:20 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
Regarding system performance degradation, and the...

Regarding system performance degradation, and the effect of exchange rates

As is probably apparent isystems is a USD denominated product, and as already mentioned 20% of the systems are FDAX...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 15th, 2017, 05:55 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
Okay some stats for those that might be...

Okay some stats for those that might be interested.

Some Key Metrics

Number of Systems :- 799
Number of Swing Systems :- 328 (41.1%)
Number of IntraDay Systems :- 471 (58.9%)
Number of...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 13th, 2017, 12:06 AM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
82% of the systems that have been tracked live...

82% of the systems that have been tracked live for at least a year and have a positive PnL are equity systems and you know what they say about people who make money in a bull market and think they...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 12th, 2017, 09:31 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
and... ...

and...

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=237780
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 12th, 2017, 09:27 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
Not the best of formats, but usable. So this...

Not the best of formats, but usable.

So this is the 10 Systems I quickly picked. Haven't done any portfolio optimization at all at this point, just constructed a portfolio that trades one lot of...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 12th, 2017, 07:13 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
Turns out that if you plot the R Squared in an...

Turns out that if you plot the R Squared in an excel chart and you set the intercept to zero, then the R Squared is ALWAYS wrong. I found this is out when I did the chart below and it gave me a...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 6th, 2017, 06:19 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
Here's some analysis I did do the other night. I...

Here's some analysis I did do the other night. I filtered to only include systems that have a track record of over a year and are profitable. I think of this as every system that is through it's...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors June 30th, 2017, 10:20 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
Thanks mattz, I'll try and call you this week,...

Thanks mattz, I'll try and call you this week, but it may slip to next week.
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors June 30th, 2017, 07:40 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 36,970
Posted By SMCJB
mattz Stage5 Anthony Is there a way to look at...

mattz Stage5 Anthony
Is there a way to look at the performance data only for when the systems have been tracked or traded live? I've filtered the data to have been tracked for at a least year, but...
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