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Search: Posts Made By: SMCJB
Forum: Commodities November 14th, 2018, 02:31 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=25...

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=258920
Forum: Commodities March 24th, 2015, 10:38 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
Very interesting, Thanks for the link. To be...

Very interesting, Thanks for the link.
To be honest with the way NG and CL have been in the last year I've become for a Crude trader than a NatGas trader and haven't been paying as much attention to...
Forum: Commodities November 21st, 2014, 05:45 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
And the 21st another impressive 29.2c or 6.5%...

And the 21st another impressive 29.2c or 6.5% range.
Monday is penultimate and is options expiration so probably expect more of the same.
Forum: Commodities November 20th, 2014, 03:05 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
ATR's for Natgas this month 20th 25.2c or 5.8% ...

ATR's for Natgas this month
20th 25.2c or 5.8%
19th 31.4c or 7.4%
Average last 3 days (18-20) 25.1c or 5.8%
Average last 5 days (14-20) 23.4c or 5.9%
Average last 10 days (7-20) 21.7c or 4.9%...
Forum: Commodities March 14th, 2014, 09:53 AM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
For those of you that had all the fun/anguish of...

For those of you that had all the fun/anguish of trading March Natural Gas you might be interested to know that yesterday balance of the month (ie Mar 14-31) traded below April for the first time!
...
Forum: Commodities February 28th, 2014, 06:28 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
Wednesday it dropped even lower, and on Thursday...

Wednesday it dropped even lower, and on Thursday cash prices for March (at Henry) dropped yet another 20c lower before finally rallying a little today.

Henry Swing Swap for March settled $6.13 on...
Forum: Commodities February 26th, 2014, 07:56 AM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
There's another 6 hours left off rip roaring...

There's another 6 hours left off rip roaring madness. Already had a 31c range today! Wonder what expiry brings.
Forum: Commodities February 21st, 2014, 04:45 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
Last 4 weeks since we got close to Feb expiry...

Last 4 weeks since we got close to Feb expiry have been the really crazy days.

Congratz, pretty impressive. last 4 days I'm up what i normally make in a month, not nearly as good but still pretty...
Forum: Commodities February 21st, 2014, 08:24 AM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
I would recommend that you not consider the last...

I would recommend that you not consider the last two weeks of NG price action as 'normal'. I think you will find a very very different market in 8 days time once March expires.
Forum: Commodities February 20th, 2014, 09:23 AM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
The report I get is basically that DMR-IFED...

The report I get is basically that DMR-IFED report in excel so its easy to import and sort. Sounds like what you are looking for. They have lots of reports they email out but the one you are probably...
Forum: Commodities February 20th, 2014, 09:17 AM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
Been posting this in the Options thread for...

Been posting this in the Options thread for several months now. Will start posting this here as well as long as this thread is active

EIA Natural Gas Storage Report Expectations 13-Feb-14 for week...
Forum: Commodities February 20th, 2014, 08:19 AM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
I assume you are talking about NG? Natural Gas is...

I assume you are talking about NG? Natural Gas is extremely volatile/choppy/gappy what ever you want to call it. Huge 10% moves day after day. If your looking to 'try out NG' for lack of a better...
Forum: Commodities February 20th, 2014, 07:33 AM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
I'm not sure. I have an ICE subscription and they...

I'm not sure. I have an ICE subscription and they are emailed to me every day. There are a lot of reports available on the website (https://www.theice.com/market_data.jhtml) but I can't seem to find...
Forum: Commodities February 19th, 2014, 06:27 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
Just looking at the latest ICE settlements for...

Just looking at the latest ICE settlements for physical gas at various locations around the country for Balance of February (ie Feb 21-28)

Northeast
Algonquin $23.355 +$3.40
TETCO M3...
Forum: Commodities February 17th, 2014, 04:28 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
Expiration used to be one of the most volatile...

Expiration used to be one of the most volatile days of the month but since they significantly changed the position limits I would have said (never researched this so have no statistical evidence to...
Forum: Commodities February 17th, 2014, 11:31 AM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
I believe position limits for Mar NG come into...

I believe position limits for Mar NG come into effect by open Monday 24th so effectively close Friday 21st.

Tuesday 25th is penultimate, which on top of all the normal options expiring, there are...
Forum: Commodities February 13th, 2014, 12:48 AM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
Well it's been a crazy volatile few weeks. ...

Well it's been a crazy volatile few weeks.

ATR of the Feb NG contract overly the last 4 trading days before expiry was a stunning 10.5% and over the last 6 days a whopping 9.0% (5.8, 6.3, 11,...
Forum: Commodities January 30th, 2014, 01:28 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
CME final volumes for yesterday show a total of...

CME final volumes for yesterday show a total of 394 lots of NG traded open outcry for all months.
Forum: Commodities January 29th, 2014, 04:01 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
That in itself is suspicious!

That in itself is suspicious!
Forum: Commodities January 29th, 2014, 03:17 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
Did you see volume today? Feb traded only 15,000...

Did you see volume today? Feb traded only 15,000 lots. With the new rules positions have to be so small going into expiry that any issue at all can cause a significant price swing. ICE volume was...
Forum: Commodities January 27th, 2014, 12:22 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
CNBC/Reuters:- Hedge funds burned by natural gas...

CNBC/Reuters:- Hedge funds burned by natural gas in 2013 (http://www.cnbc.com/id/101365879)
Forum: Commodities January 26th, 2014, 10:40 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
Natural Gas Forward Price Curve, Last 2 Weeks... ...

Natural Gas Forward Price Curve, Last 2 Weeks...
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=134873
Forum: Commodities January 23rd, 2014, 05:30 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
And this weeks chart... NGG4 on Thursday 23rd...

And this weeks chart...
NGG4 on Thursday 23rd January
5 moves between 2.5% and 5.5% in one day including 3 intra-day moves of 4% or greater.
...
Forum: Commodities January 23rd, 2014, 01:25 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
I assume Gross includes spreads and that Net...

I assume Gross includes spreads and that Net doesnt
Forum: Commodities January 16th, 2014, 08:41 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,339
Posted By SMCJB
As long as I can remember

As long as I can remember
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