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Search: Posts Made By: SMCJB
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors May 22nd, 2019, 10:17 AM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
Since Kevin probably won't self-promote himself,...

Since Kevin probably won't self-promote himself, interested readers may like to know that he just did an interview/podcast over at Better System Trader (http://bettersystemtrader.com/) focused on his...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors December 11th, 2017, 08:10 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
0 of 2! Oh well. I agree. Well on the 1st...

0 of 2! Oh well.
I agree. Well on the 1st sentence at least. Lets not hijack Kevin's thread any more.
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors December 11th, 2017, 01:25 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
So your prediction's fundamental assumption is...

So your prediction's fundamental assumption is that history repeats itself.
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors December 11th, 2017, 11:49 AM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
Is identifying a historical statistical bias...

Is identifying a historical statistical bias predicting the future?
Or is assuming that history repeats itself the actual prediction you are making?
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors April 28th, 2017, 09:10 AM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
Ahh okay. Yes I agree you can optimize the...

Ahh okay. Yes I agree you can optimize the walkforward itself, different is/os periods, different start dates etc etc and that would obviously could lead to over fitting, which is why you shouldn't...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors April 27th, 2017, 02:30 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
Walkforward (the way Kevin teaches it) is the...

Walkforward (the way Kevin teaches it) is the bane of my existance, but also probably a life saver. I have so many things that look good at first but never can get past walkforward. That tells me...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors March 20th, 2017, 02:19 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
That's what many/most forex shops do. Take the...

That's what many/most forex shops do. Take the other side of the customer
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors March 19th, 2017, 11:11 AM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
From another thread... No BS is right....

From another thread...


No BS is right. Never seen anybody do anything as open as kevinkdog did here.
My already high opinion of Kevin, was elevated to almost atmospheric levels when I saw this...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors February 13th, 2017, 12:41 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
gumdr0p full disclosure, the numbers I quoted...

gumdr0p full disclosure, the numbers I quoted last month were incorrect. My spreadsheet was incorrectly referencing minimum account balance and not the drawdown, as such the correct ratio's were...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors January 30th, 2017, 01:22 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
I'm a career energy trader, now an individual...

I'm a career energy trader, now an individual proprietary trader. My trading style is very spread, arbitrage and statistical based - and not systematic trading like many here - or what Kevin trades...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors December 7th, 2016, 12:44 AM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
Great question Mabi, I'm only trading a few...

Great question Mabi, I'm only trading a few systems (as a systematic trader) and have found a similar situation with one system dominating prtfolio performance.

Assuming your confident in the...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 26th, 2016, 05:50 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
Hey kevinkdog, some free advertising for you. ...

Hey kevinkdog, some free advertising for you.

:partywave:

Finally got around to watching the video of the "Stratergy Factory - Watch Me Develop a Trading Strategy" webinar that you did last...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 20th, 2016, 11:11 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
Yeah good point.

Yeah good point.
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 20th, 2016, 10:35 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
Now I'm even more interested in who at ATASSN...

Now I'm even more interested in who at ATASSN said that.
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors July 6th, 2016, 05:12 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
Was that Alex, Doron or somebody else? Just...

Was that Alex, Doron or somebody else? Just curious.
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors June 3rd, 2016, 10:14 AM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
rleplae Have you looked at Trading Technologies...

rleplae Have you looked at Trading Technologies XTAPI? I have no personal experience but I gather it's top notch. Not as cheap as NT or Tradestation though.
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors December 12th, 2015, 10:06 AM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
Thanks kevinkdog, As always your insight is...

Thanks kevinkdog,
As always your insight is very interesting and valuable.
Really appreciate the responses.
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors December 11th, 2015, 02:41 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
Thanks Kevin. So given that, another option...

Thanks Kevin.

So given that, another option is to recalibrate on the last 10 years of data, or the entire 12 years of data, without any out of sample data?

Final question would you ever trade 2...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors December 10th, 2015, 12:08 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
Thanks Kevin. It's interesting what you said...

Thanks Kevin.

It's interesting what you said in 2) as that relates to the next part of my question.

When I originally started on this model, I arbitrarily picked the last 11 years (04-14), 10...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors December 9th, 2015, 10:48 AM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
Some advice please Kevin. Let's say I back...

Some advice please Kevin.

Let's say I back tested and tuned a model on 10 years of data 2004-2013. Not that it matters but lets say my instrument isn't something simple like ES, but say an energy...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors October 15th, 2015, 06:16 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
VIX index values for each index... so yes NQ is...

VIX index values for each index... so yes NQ is the most volatile of the products you listed

VXN (~NQ) 18.07
VIX (~ES) 16.05
VXD (~YM) 14.7
TYVIX (~ZN) 4.96
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors October 15th, 2015, 03:19 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
If you rank those products in volatility order...

If you rank those products in volatility order isn't NQ significantly more volatile than the others?
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors May 21st, 2014, 08:20 PM
Replies: 433
Views: 174,734
Posted By SMCJB
You do realize Lightweight that whether you do...

You do realize Lightweight that whether you do this in two seperate accounts or in one account, the risk and trades are identical. You might have a better state of mind, but your trades, and risk are...
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