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Search: Posts Made By: FreeMktFisherMN
Forum: Traders Hideout December 11th, 2013, 01:26 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,537
Posted By FreeMktFisherMN
just did a sample of doing the martingale setup...

just did a sample of doing the martingale setup with coffee. Say buy 5k worth of JO (coffee ETF) at 1/lb. Hard to say what upside tgt should be before willing to exit, but I'd say 2% at least for...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 9th, 2013, 05:51 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,537
Posted By FreeMktFisherMN
I have no clue whether I'll ever do a trade like...

I have no clue whether I'll ever do a trade like this. Even if I never do, if I wind up in the trading industry, I do know that I believe I'd be using setups at least somewhat in this framework of...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 9th, 2013, 05:39 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,537
Posted By FreeMktFisherMN
Well trading is not a game of certainty (unless...

Well trading is not a game of certainty (unless one has inside info as seen with gold shooting up $40 fractionally before the taper/un-taper FOMC minutes a few months ago), so it's about finding an...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 9th, 2013, 05:19 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,537
Posted By FreeMktFisherMN
Definitely something like natural gas would have...

Definitely something like natural gas would have been rough on someone scaling in long as it fell, just looking at its chart history.

I think fundamentals really do apply here, and it's about...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 9th, 2013, 04:54 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,537
Posted By FreeMktFisherMN
If one had the risk capital, I would think it'd...

If one had the risk capital, I would think it'd be a highly probabilistic from numerous vantage points play to buy a 'sizable' amount of JO, or just KC directly, and look to make 2% or something like...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 9th, 2013, 11:42 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,537
Posted By FreeMktFisherMN
nothing in particular, I guess. I've read some of...

nothing in particular, I guess. I've read some of the threads on here about martingale and it didn't seem like the idea of doing something at least along those lines on something already in an...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 9th, 2013, 09:53 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,537
Posted By FreeMktFisherMN
What you are referring to is what my idea with...

What you are referring to is what my idea with this is premised on. Again, coffee historically has been much lower. But I think commodities have already taken a big beat down overall, so those kinds...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 9th, 2013, 09:45 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,537
Posted By FreeMktFisherMN
Definitely am not oblivious to the reality of say...

Definitely am not oblivious to the reality of say having to have enough capital, etc., to execute this. Probably one way to help even that would be if there were a way to basically be buying a...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 9th, 2013, 09:38 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,537
Posted By FreeMktFisherMN
I should say one can probably integrate some...

I should say one can probably integrate some options such as buying puts into this, too, to protect from major downside, to somewhat alter a pure martingale strategy.
Forum: Traders Hideout December 9th, 2013, 09:36 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,537
Posted By FreeMktFisherMN
I prefaced some of my earlier posts by pointing...

I prefaced some of my earlier posts by pointing out that obviously the martingale is something notorious. But if one has held off say trying to catch the falling knife on something like coffee, and...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 9th, 2013, 09:01 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,537
Posted By FreeMktFisherMN
Basically it's the martingale purely mechanical...

Basically it's the martingale purely mechanical approach, but the entry for getting in and initiating it being when something is already at an 'extreme' such as coffee with its low very low RSI and...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 9th, 2013, 12:14 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,537
Posted By FreeMktFisherMN
This is why I noted that ETFs might be more...

This is why I noted that ETFs might be more suitable for this, as taking heat is not as big a deal as it is on the futures. Coffee has gone down near .40/lb looking at 25 yr chart, so I'm not saying...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 8th, 2013, 07:44 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,537
Posted By FreeMktFisherMN
Integrating Martingale strategy into something already overbought/sold

I have had some tough times with the futures, and especially get ticked off if I get flushed out and then it winds up going soon after to my initial target.

I like the idea of trading many ETFs at...
Showing results 1 to 13 of 13

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