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Search: Posts Made By: Alphachase
Forum: Commodities August 31st, 2015, 09:52 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
EIA improves monthly reporting of crude oil...

EIA improves monthly reporting of crude oil production - Today in Energy - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) (http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=22732)

EIA revised...
Forum: Commodities August 26th, 2015, 05:04 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
If widening meant to be something about -10, I...

If widening meant to be something about -10, I agree on that :) Wide spread is benefiting US refineries (read exports). Then inputs may stay higher for longer time, exports are still strong.
Forum: Commodities August 25th, 2015, 04:25 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
It is not that simple like described in the ZH...

It is not that simple like described in the ZH article. As well they used very basic scenarios that did not assume oil prices fluctuations, flexibility in the military spending, spending cuts...
Forum: Commodities June 16th, 2015, 04:46 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Meanwhile it looks like we got a build in Cush...

Meanwhile it looks like we got a build in Cush stocks again.
Forum: Commodities June 11th, 2015, 12:32 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Demand is certainly higher this year, but if...

Demand is certainly higher this year, but if prices spike it can easily give up.



It wasn't my concern that time b/c of upcoming driving season but now I'm thinking about Sep or Oct as an...
Forum: Commodities June 11th, 2015, 11:03 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Yes, that's right. Imports down, inputs up, draw...

Yes, that's right. Imports down, inputs up, draw in stocks. The question is what happens when demand dries up (e.g. seasonally). Or if crude/gas prices get much higher. If production continue to be...
Forum: Commodities June 11th, 2015, 05:02 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Today's IEA report is bullish. But... ...

Today's IEA report is bullish. But...

https://www.iea.org/oilmarketreport/omrpublic/

UPDATE 1-World oil demand jumps after price slump - IEA | Reuters...
Forum: Commodities June 9th, 2015, 05:24 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Crude may also easily crash either on Thursday or...

Crude may also easily crash either on Thursday or on Friday. Brent front options expire tomorrow and IEA report is coming out in Thursday early morning (and which is usually taken very seriously).
Forum: Commodities June 9th, 2015, 05:08 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Well, I know little about what it was in 1990's....

Well, I know little about what it was in 1990's. I'm "grown up" on technology and while BBG was already a king :)
Forum: Commodities June 9th, 2015, 04:48 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Right, except Cush #. Over past 2 years API was...

Right, except Cush #. Over past 2 years API was very close to EIA on Cush.
Market trades because there is good liquidity on one of the sides. It's an ultra short-term trading.
Forum: Commodities June 9th, 2015, 04:33 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Well said about lazy traders LOL "Smart"...

Well said about lazy traders LOL

"Smart" Algos don't use Reuters feeds AFAIK...

Meanwhile large draw in APIs gestimates (seems to be)

Upd. 6.7M draw, it's huge comparing to anything over...
Forum: Commodities June 9th, 2015, 04:16 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
I don't understand why to read Reuters if...

I don't understand why to read Reuters if everything is available in the STEO?
Forum: Commodities June 9th, 2015, 04:11 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Exactly. ...

Exactly.

http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo/pdf/compare.pdf
Forum: Commodities June 9th, 2015, 03:22 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Below are FREE sources of oil fundamentals and...

Below are FREE sources of oil fundamentals and news:
U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) (http://www.eia.gov)
IEA - International Energy Agency - affordable clean energy for all | iea.org...
Forum: Commodities June 9th, 2015, 01:59 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
I believe there is no "black and white" in...

I believe there is no "black and white" in short-term price action. People are currently awaiting fresh draw in Cush (in today's APIs and EIA report tomorrow). And also some fat but weak short stops...
Forum: Commodities May 15th, 2015, 01:06 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Also available on their website.

Also available on their website.
Forum: Commodities May 14th, 2015, 11:10 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
It looks like a line going downward starting this...

It looks like a line going downward starting this week... :)
Forum: Commodities May 8th, 2015, 03:14 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
I assume 225K barrels per day... :)

I assume 225K barrels per day... :)
Forum: Commodities May 8th, 2015, 01:08 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Also available on their website. Rig count...

Also available on their website.

Rig count close to its bottom?
Forum: Commodities May 6th, 2015, 12:57 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Product exports and domestic consumption were...

Product exports and domestic consumption were also higher, domestic crude production hovered at 9.369M. Drop in crude imports last week caused by PADD V, PADD III and PADD I from what I can see now....
Forum: Commodities May 6th, 2015, 12:01 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Planned and current outages are highest since...

Planned and current outages are highest since mid-April (close to 0.9M BPD), commercial stocks are significantly higher than year ago.
Forum: Commodities May 5th, 2015, 07:17 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Many thanks for that. Yes, EII is storage number....

Many thanks for that. Yes, EII is storage number. I'll check with ICE and TT once get back from vacation.
Forum: Commodities April 30th, 2015, 03:56 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
Another interesting fact regarding rallies in...

Another interesting fact regarding rallies in crude that since recently USO faces heavy redemption every time prices move higher. Can't upload pic now, but will try to do it later.


CME just...
Forum: Commodities April 30th, 2015, 03:45 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
I do apologize for late response and thank you...

I do apologize for late response and thank you for offering help. I was looking for EII and Henry cash (though offtop here, sorry for that), how they traded and did end up yesterday (I was out of the...
Forum: Commodities April 29th, 2015, 06:38 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 614,856
Posted By Alphachase
SMCJB I guess point # 5 is self-fulfilling...

SMCJB
I guess point # 5 is self-fulfilling prophesy; and this is true, they do really sell.

Does anyone here have access to ICE IFED (e.g. thru WebICE)?
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