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Showing results 1 to 18 of 18
Search: Posts Made By: Laserdan
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index October 6th, 2010, 05:24 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
From Globex Open @ 1155.75 on 10-6-2010 D to YO...

From Globex Open @ 1155.75 on 10-6-2010
D to YO -0.75 @ 1155 = 90.71%
http://screencast.com/t/QFhnIk3ey (http://screencast.com/t/QFhnIk3ey)
D to YH 4.25 @ 1160 =...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index October 5th, 2010, 11:08 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
From Globex Open @ 1155 on 10-5-2010 D to YO...

From Globex Open @ 1155 on 10-5-2010
D to YO -20.25 @ 1134.75 = 17.86%
http://screencast.com/t/l3CB23Jg (http://screencast.com/t/l3CB23Jg)
D to YH 3.75 @ 1158.75 =...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index October 4th, 2010, 04:38 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
From Globex Open @ 1134.75 on 10-4-2010 D to YO...

From Globex Open @ 1134.75 on 10-4-2010
D to YO 8.5 @ 1143.25 = 47.62%
http://screencast.com/t/OTkzMDhkND (http://screencast.com/t/OTkzMDhkND)
D to YH 9.25 @ 1144...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index October 3rd, 2010, 06:29 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
Stats for ES close on Mon Oct 4 2010

This doesnt say much:

From Globex Open @ 1143.25 on 10-3-2010
D to YO -7.5 @ 1135.75 = 45.45%
http://screencast.com/t/MzgzYTYzOW (http://screencast.com/t/MzgzYTYzOW)
D to YH...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 30th, 2010, 11:51 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
now that YO has been taken out there is a 33%...

now that YO has been taken out there is a 33% chance to take out YL
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 30th, 2010, 04:43 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
New format today...easier on me: From...

New format today...easier on me:

From Globex Open @ 1136 on 9-30-2010
D to YO 5 @ 1141 = 70.27%
http://screencast.com/t/M2E5M2Mw (http://screencast.com/t/M2E5M2Mw)
D to YH 17.5 @ 1153.5 =...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 29th, 2010, 07:26 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
I see your point, and that is the rub with...

I see your point, and that is the rub with working with OHLC daily values...there is no time component. In your example above the Chance to get up to 1146.75 = 57.02%. No matter how far the price...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 29th, 2010, 04:52 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
ES Stats for Close on Thurs Sept 30 2010

From Globex Open @ 1141 on 9-29-2010
Distance to Yesterday Globex Open = .75 Chance to get up to 1141.75 = 100%
http://screencast.com/t/MGQ2ZDYzZj (http://screencast.com/t/MGQ2ZDYzZj)
Distance to...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 29th, 2010, 11:19 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
I could do this with the current data IF the...

I could do this with the current data IF the globex low is not taken out during the premarket and the retest of the Globex Low just so happens to be the Low of the day.

I would just change the Y...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 28th, 2010, 09:52 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
Agreed. The problem is I have access to only...

Agreed. The problem is I have access to only Globex data. Now if someone could provide me with some RTH ES data, say going back 10 or so years, I could duplicate my database in a flash(and possibly...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 28th, 2010, 06:25 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
yes, I should have said "target filled and/or...

yes, I should have said "target filled and/or exceeded" because I measure by what % the pice actually gets to
DATE YH Filled %
09/01/2010 1230%
08/26/2010 260%...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 28th, 2010, 05:53 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
TechSmith | Screencast.com, online video sharing,...

TechSmith | Screencast.com, online video sharing, 2010-09-28_1649 (http://screencast.com/t/NTEzZDlk)
should be read as follows:

Out of all the trading days since sept 97 where
the day before...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 28th, 2010, 04:54 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
ES Stats for close on wed Sept 29, 2010

From Globex Open @ 1141.75 on 9-28-2010
Distance to Yesterday Globex Open = -4 Chance to get down to 1137.75 = 66.67%
http://screencast.com/t/MWFiZjE3NjQ (http://screencast.com/t/MWFiZjE3NjQ)...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 27th, 2010, 11:17 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
example of analysis

this may be right or wrong, but here goes. I can do more detailed analysis, for example:

IF, I reapeat, IF we get up to YO @ 1144, there will be a 97% chance we also take out YL @ 1137 some time...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 27th, 2010, 04:48 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
Stats for 9-28-2010

From Globex Open @ 1138 on 9-27-2010
Distance to Yesterday Low = -1 Chance to get down to 1137 = 86.60%
http://screencast.com/t/NzM2YjA4Y2M (http://screencast.com/t/NzM2YjA4Y2M)
Distance to...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 26th, 2010, 07:22 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
Stats for ES closing on Mon Sept 27

From Globex Open @ 1144 on 9-26-2010
Distance to Yesterday Low = -25.5 Chance to get down to 1118.50 = 5.75%
http://screencast.com/t/MTBkNjZmNjA (http://screencast.com/t/MTBkNjZmNjA)
Distance to...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 24th, 2010, 05:07 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
Well I dont really USE them per say. But I do...

Well I dont really USE them per say. But I do think that they can be useful in certain situations. Like today, YL had an 86% chance of being taken out. But it never did...they are just...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 23rd, 2010, 05:19 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 12,934
Posted By Laserdan
ES Statistics

I am going to start posting statistics for ES. I hope you will find them useful. The open is at 4:30pm EST(6pm on sun) and these stats show the probabilities of a target being hit by the CLOSE...
Showing results 1 to 18 of 18

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