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Search: Posts Made By: record100
Forum: Trading Journals October 7th, 2013, 10:02 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 102,703
Posted By record100
Could be central limit theorem or law of big...

Could be central limit theorem or law of big numbers that explains such behavior
Forum: Trading Journals September 13th, 2013, 08:19 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 102,703
Posted By record100
August 1

August 1
Forum: Trading Journals September 13th, 2013, 06:24 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 102,703
Posted By record100
Also, frequency distribution for the profit. See...

Also, frequency distribution for the profit. See spike, at the location of the stoploss.
Forum: Trading Journals September 13th, 2013, 05:57 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 102,703
Posted By record100
Equity Curve

Is it OK to trade this system in coming months? I am tryinig to argue in favor of yes answer. But beware of possible drawdowns and change in Market conditions. Using approach discussed in this...
Forum: Trading Journals September 10th, 2013, 08:55 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 102,703
Posted By record100
On 5 min chart I am considering trading system...

On 5 min chart I am considering trading system that is profitable over the period of one month. Of course system is tested over much longer period of time, that includes Bear and Bull markets and...
Forum: Trading Journals September 10th, 2013, 08:41 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 102,703
Posted By record100
Taking a Trading System Live

In my opinion, Incubation gives some comfort, mental readiness to go live. This is it . Bad Quality of the system should not unexpectedly be revealed at this stage. I agree this is important step...
Forum: Trading Journals September 10th, 2013, 06:26 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 102,703
Posted By record100
Taking a Trading System Live

Market conditions are changing over time. I have a feeling that requirement of having system that consistently shows profit over the period of 3 years is not valid. What we all looking for is for...
Forum: Trading Journals September 6th, 2013, 12:01 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 102,703
Posted By record100
I am new to Monte Carlo simulations, so please...

I am new to Monte Carlo simulations, so please correct me if I am wrong. For the Monte Carlo simulation, system 5000 times randomly selected 20 trades from the list of 97 trades. On the chart one of...
Forum: Trading Journals September 6th, 2013, 11:53 AM
Replies: 529
Views: 102,703
Posted By record100
Value of Monte Carlo Simulations

Updated chart: mean +x^0.5*stddev
Forum: Trading Journals September 6th, 2013, 11:44 AM
Replies: 529
Views: 102,703
Posted By record100
1. yes, it was small, about $9 2. Randomly...

1. yes, it was small, about $9
2. Randomly selected from the list of 97 actual trades
3. for simtrades i have used function that gives normally distributed value for given mean and stddev
4. need...
Forum: Trading Journals September 6th, 2013, 10:28 AM
Replies: 529
Views: 102,703
Posted By record100
Value of Monte Carlo Simulation?

I am still looking how to incorporate results of Monte Carlo simulation in my trading. To me simplest way forecasting risk is to calculate average trade and standard deviation of the trade. Using...
Showing results 1 to 11 of 11

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