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Search: Posts Made By: jokertrader
Forum: Commodities May 21st, 2021, 07:50 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
Thanks I’m wondering if N22/23 is so over valued...

Thanks I’m wondering if N22/23 is so over valued whether u can create a fly/double fly with this as the center to try eliminate directionality but since it’s a 12 month spread the other side would...
Forum: Commodities May 18th, 2021, 10:14 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
Soybean Doublefly closeout First i want to...

Soybean Doublefly closeout

First i want to say i think this trade was more lucky than anything else.. since it turned out to be more directional than expected. The idea was mean reversion but as...
Forum: Commodities May 3rd, 2021, 11:01 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
Just looked at these on IB and could not find the...

Just looked at these on IB and could not find the exchange fly. had to add the legs into the combo and margin was almost double


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Forum: Commodities February 19th, 2018, 08:19 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
Zwn8-kcw8

Seasonal long early March out in June
Thinking of getting in if close to -30

Edit: sorry meant KCN8
Thoughts??
Forum: Commodities January 21st, 2018, 07:31 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
Act to George angell, buying Chicago wheat and...

Act to George angell, buying Chicago wheat and selling Kansas wheat March 1 and liquidating June 1 is the trade the examples from the book real time commodity spreads are all from 70s and 80s .....
Forum: Commodities January 10th, 2018, 05:13 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
Looks like this certainly goes up in July but...

Looks like this certainly goes up in July but many times the rally starts late April to early June...unless u think due to weather move will be early


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Forum: Commodities June 14th, 2017, 03:18 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
Aug strangles were 405/365 and 450/360 ...

Aug strangles were 405/365 and 450/360


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Forum: Commodities June 14th, 2017, 03:18 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
Closed both my August Corn strangles with about...

Closed both my August Corn strangles with about 28% profit still holding the Sept IC with short strikes of 360 and 405


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Forum: Commodities June 12th, 2017, 05:37 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
The hope is just that hope - that it stays in the center for a few weeks

having said that, as a trader

I am willing to and plan to adjust or hedge as required.. and manage as needed

If i dont know how or cannot do it or not willing to do it.. then i should NOT...
Forum: Commodities June 10th, 2017, 11:55 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
Yes good point i am going to cover soon

i hope to hold not too long for the 405 calls.. I hope i can survive 2 weeks. then take it off.. otherwise i might have to go long futures if it starts showing movement or sell more put spreads etc
...
Forum: Commodities June 9th, 2017, 11:55 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
For the corn are u expecting to leave the Sep...

For the corn are u expecting to leave the Sep calls and close out the long future on a summer rally ? Or if we get a rally will u close the whole position out? I have Short Aug strangles 405/365 and...
Forum: Commodities April 3rd, 2017, 07:41 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
soybeans july nov spread any comments

since stocks/usage is pretty high the spread has narrowed and could even go negative..i..e July less than Nov.
if there is a weather concern.. this might rise
am i reading this right?

trying to...
Forum: Commodities December 18th, 2016, 08:15 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
Best site to track actual rainfall vs predictions...

Best site to track actual rainfall vs predictions in South America ?? I think this will be useful to predict movement? Also how much rain is needed for beans? Would be good to know these things to...
Forum: Commodities December 14th, 2016, 07:08 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
Curious how the corn minus bean has fared? Jan...

Curious how the corn minus bean has fared? Jan report prob a mover and we should know about weather as well so what plans to hold or get out - thnx


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Forum: Commodities December 1st, 2016, 07:15 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
what are the movers on this one?

Just trying to learn. So SN7-SX7 to go to 20 from 37.2 means the spread should narrow
This can happen if
a) N - July falls compared to X - Nov
b) Nov rises compares to July
c) or both

So you...
Forum: Commodities November 30th, 2016, 07:19 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 71,813
Posted By jokertrader
Beans close to the famed 10.30 support for Jan...

Beans close to the famed 10.30 support for Jan contract Crush numbers out tomorrow eve we shall see by Friday typically 1 more bearish week until mid Dec for beans


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