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Search: Posts Made By: jokertrader
Forum: Options June 22nd, 2020, 10:03 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
My thought is more along the lines of getting...

My thought is more along the lines of getting $2700 for ATM straddle in Aug but of course BEs are tighter and might need to adjust if sudden moves happen


Sent using the NexusFi mobile app...
Forum: Options June 22nd, 2020, 08:10 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
NG premium looks rich how about a short...

NG premium looks rich how about a short straddle.. of course that’s different from your put spread which is more a bullish play


Sent using the NexusFi mobile app...
Forum: Options April 19th, 2018, 09:30 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Do cycles,waves or patterns factor into entries

I have been looking at MRCI recommendations and trying to combine wi th COT data

Wondering if u have had success combining anything else? Like Elliott waves or wave theory of patterns like higher...
Forum: Options May 30th, 2017, 09:24 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Are u thinking of selling puts on beans ending...

Are u thinking of selling puts on beans ending July or August for a summer weather rally?? Based on Nov contract? Leave the call side open and the sell calls if there is a big rise


Sent from my...
Forum: Options March 29th, 2017, 07:53 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Ron's thread and strategies have opened me to a...

Ron's thread and strategies have opened me to a whole new world so just wanted to thank him and agree with u M on your post...ok now back to the topic on hand... Vol is really low these days......
Forum: Options February 20th, 2017, 12:23 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/ZW*0/all-f...

https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/ZW*0/all-futures#/news/558233/wheat-prices-showing-signs-of-life

Also go to agweb.com
Markets - market rally with chip flory

I think maybe last Thursday...
Forum: Options February 20th, 2017, 08:28 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Heard on market rally with chip flory some...

Heard on market rally with chip flory some traders saying wheat could go a lot higher. So gonna cover my wheat 475/480 CCS soon and not take the risk I'm closer to the money since it's not naked
...
Forum: Options February 12th, 2017, 11:25 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Been thinking of same trade seasonal a favor it...

Been thinking of same trade seasonal a favor it though with a warm winter could see lower prices see last year spring low was lower than fall 2015


Sent from my iPhone using NexusFi mobile app...
Forum: Options January 30th, 2017, 04:26 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Call credits for Lean hogs April

Are we saying that there will be some reverse Mexican tax.. and then the imports into Mexico will fall? and send LH sky rocketing?

Is that why u are out?? thinking of initiating a CCS on LHJ and...
Forum: Options November 22nd, 2016, 05:19 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Strangle on different months

I notice your short side is July SN9.4.. i am assuming since you are thinking of the big crop and the slide that can occur... but if you plan is to close out in early Jan or so.. why July puts? or...
Forum: Options November 21st, 2016, 06:54 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Comments on beans and hogs

I guess are u are still holding your 10.40 calls.. plenty of time
Is there a get out price for beans? or are u seeing correction in Dec.. so u can get out in early Jan

On hogs...with the massive...
Forum: Options November 18th, 2016, 06:21 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Soybeans looks confused range bound

Stuck between higher demand from China and uncertainty on weather and production from Brazil now that our harvest is done.. any thoughts how the crop progress report on Tue will look?

Looked long...
Forum: Options November 15th, 2016, 12:53 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
So to confirm the Jan spread was the one to be in

So the analysis would have shown we want to be in the Jan spread since the Max drawdown/IM increase would have been less since it had 84 DTE when opened

Also the delta increase from about -4.29 to...
Forum: Options November 15th, 2016, 06:17 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Depends on what u are trying? Which expiry? If u...

Depends on what u are trying? Which expiry? If u have enough time and you are looking for a bounce fine then why not do ATM as a spread? If u don't want the short strike ITm at all then u are too...
Forum: Options November 15th, 2016, 06:11 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
ron99 for coffee would u sell outright or employ...

ron99 for coffee would u sell outright or employ the same ratio strategy as ES? Have to check if there is enough premium. I might join you guys but with a straight spread

Sent using the NexusFi...
Forum: Options October 17th, 2016, 03:46 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
live cattle very strange but seasonals point to move up in Nov

Does this match your analysis? Gonna sell puts on a leg down .. since i am hoping for a bounce in Nov.. thoughts?
Forum: Options October 3rd, 2016, 05:12 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Thanks much a pic is worth a thousand words

This makes it clear on 2 aspects
a) why pick puts vs calls especially for ES (even for GC)

b) risk/reward based on historical movement

Thank you
Forum: Options October 3rd, 2016, 04:21 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Selling puts on Live cattle?

Hi wondering why we dont sells puts deep OTM like 5 delta etc like we do with ES? is it because the premium received is JUST NOT worth the risk since there could be large continued moves as compared...
Forum: Options September 24th, 2016, 03:22 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Ok thanks Sent from my iPhone using...

Ok thanks


Sent from my iPhone using NexusFi mobile app (https://siteowners.tapatalk.com/byo/displayAndDownloadByoApp?rid=91652)
Forum: Options September 24th, 2016, 07:53 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
COF report positive for Live Cattle

How does this bode for Live cattle?? Do these trends in cattle continue for days? Am i too late to sell the puts? I could even sell the 101 or 102 both for a short term Oct trade and for a longer...
Forum: Options September 14th, 2016, 11:36 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
how about just selling a lean hog put then

and take it off Oct 1st week?
Forum: Options September 14th, 2016, 11:21 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
Can i ask from a seasonal point when is entry/exit for this

and what would be your stop loss on this

Just trying to understand spreads so sorry for the basic questions
Forum: Options September 7th, 2016, 05:39 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
thanks for the write up. Have you ever considered...

thanks for the write up. Have you ever considered selling a spread closer to the 50 delta and since its Dec options.. just leaving it .. u have much better risk/reward.. and a move say to 105 and u...
Forum: Options September 7th, 2016, 08:28 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
this looks interesting

Just looked at Live cattle and its fallen off the cliff.. not sure why..
my assumption is seasonally Live cattle should rally into the end of the year - still researching if this is correct
...
Forum: Options June 6th, 2016, 04:26 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,619
Posted By jokertrader
How about selling Corn calls?

Corn also reaching extended levels. and getting into a period for seasonal correction
Of course vol is high with WASDE but how about right after

Thought?
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