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Search: Posts Made By: handspin
Forum: Trading Journals December 28th, 2023, 01:24 AM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
a semi war or opportunistic control of semi...

a semi war or opportunistic control of semi supply chains would be a tipping point as semis are becoming pricier to make

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PCU33443344

...
Forum: Trading Journals December 20th, 2023, 05:03 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
i mean with these p/e levels, the least dirty...

i mean with these p/e levels, the least dirty shirt is still pretty rank

and having the largest nation funneling debt to carry the global economy is not really a diverse strategy

the idea of...
Forum: Trading Journals December 18th, 2023, 11:35 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
a pol might be the favored majority leader, but...

a pol might be the favored majority leader, but makes decisions sometimes to please that majority big lobby influence

a fed might be instead nominated by the pol, but must decide based on the true...
Forum: Trading Journals December 13th, 2023, 03:01 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
the follow through release of VIX from previous...

the follow through release of VIX from previous day drop evident in everything now

carries via JPY are less active, some negative. with DXY drop, exported inflation

strong forex like AUD,...
Forum: Trading Journals December 12th, 2023, 02:35 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
vix pushing toward support, single digits would...

vix pushing toward support, single digits would be interesting, indexes not following

the scenario where dollar levels combat inflation would shade commodities

and scenarios where yields hold...
Forum: Trading Journals December 1st, 2023, 04:49 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
there is the possibility of japanification, where...

there is the possibility of japanification, where once you start this style of yield control stimulus, you cannot really go back

either way the upside for large cap tech, mag7, etc. is less...
Forum: Trading Journals November 29th, 2023, 04:44 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
right, rates dipping does not necessarily push...

right, rates dipping does not necessarily push indexes once risk off takes hold

looking at supports under 2020, possibly extensions to test 2015 areas

might restore the inverse correlation...
Forum: Trading Journals November 14th, 2023, 04:40 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
possible test of mid resistance levels, again...

possible test of mid resistance levels, again correlation off. cpi triggered dxy drop reverting inflation levels
Forum: Trading Journals November 7th, 2023, 01:00 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
the mechanism of bonds inverse to indexes has yet...

the mechanism of bonds inverse to indexes has yet to show
Forum: Trading Journals November 3rd, 2023, 04:11 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
wary of overall index pricing, bit of chasing vs....

wary of overall index pricing, bit of chasing vs. real support, but vix is not bouncing, bonds bid

china rallied behind active gov buying, and possible hike pause/end to suggest returns into...
Forum: Trading Journals October 30th, 2023, 12:53 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
inflation turn would trigger bonds, smalls since...

inflation turn would trigger bonds, smalls since rate sensitive, but not yet near support

energy factor in inflation is also a hint along with real rates, post inflation
Forum: Trading Journals October 25th, 2023, 04:54 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
tbh if china is supporting etfs and japan is the...

tbh if china is supporting etfs and japan is the largest holder of treasuries, then asia would be the place to spur stimulus hopes

both related currencies should also be supportive. and perhaps...
Forum: Trading Journals October 23rd, 2023, 05:21 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
the extrema 2y and 30y both slightly breached...

the extrema 2y and 30y both slightly breached otherwise 5s/10s at support

renewed interest in bonds would increase treasury balance while decreasing money supply
...
Forum: Trading Journals October 20th, 2023, 04:39 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
welp time for bonds

welp time for bonds
Forum: Trading Journals October 16th, 2023, 12:48 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
would sub lulu for lux component aapl, lagging ...

would sub lulu for lux component aapl, lagging

ADBE
AMZN
ANET
AVGO
AXP
BRK/A
CMG
CRM
Forum: Trading Journals October 13th, 2023, 03:24 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
mag 7 dip, bargain calls

mag 7 dip, bargain calls
Forum: Trading Journals October 11th, 2023, 04:00 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
good mkt, mag7 full on

good mkt, mag7 full on
Forum: Trading Journals October 10th, 2023, 03:59 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
seems like small blips cannot overturn the overall

seems like small blips cannot overturn the overall
Forum: Trading Journals October 9th, 2023, 03:59 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
well crude flipped things over. reworked the...

well crude flipped things over. reworked the charts and now though recovered less upside
Forum: Trading Journals October 4th, 2023, 03:28 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
good because energy, gasoline are dropping with...

good because energy, gasoline are dropping with vix, yields paused
Forum: Trading Journals October 2nd, 2023, 04:24 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
some large caps already under for the quarter...

some large caps already under for the quarter causing drag

otherwise magnificent 7 seem alright and correlates well behaved

dollar still pumping with yields again indirectly stimulating...
Forum: Trading Journals September 28th, 2023, 04:19 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
in terms of consumerism, which is linked to...

in terms of consumerism, which is linked to export dependencies

consumer demand might slow or otherwise seek haven in imports vs. strong dollar

if demand is somehow stimulated, the hope is that...
Forum: Trading Journals September 27th, 2023, 01:54 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
unique division between tech/IT and consumer....

unique division between tech/IT and consumer. factoring out consumer influence, market is still ranged

expanding on this:

corpo health is strong, but consumers need help and fed may pivot...
Forum: Trading Journals September 26th, 2023, 10:19 AM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
well let's see if supports successfully test and...

well let's see if supports successfully test and vix finishes a similar test of resistance, otherwise floodgates
Forum: Trading Journals September 15th, 2023, 02:01 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 12,549
Posted By handspin
well well well tech is ripe for picking off...

well well well

tech is ripe for picking off the overgrown tree
Showing results 1 to 25 of 130
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