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Search: Posts Made By: Fat Tails
Forum: Traders Hideout April 19th, 2015, 10:58 AM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
I think it is a good example for random lines. :)

I think it is a good example for random lines. :)
Forum: Traders Hideout March 11th, 2015, 01:35 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
gtrader62: Thank you for your serious comment. ...

gtrader62: Thank you for your serious comment.

The discussion on random lines just makes the point that many charts are clustered with lines in a more or less random fashion. There are lots of...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 3rd, 2015, 06:25 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
If you still do not believe that your brain plays...

If you still do not believe that your brain plays tricks on you, please watch this picture for a while.

Traders develop that sort of tunnel vision in front of their screens, don't they?

...
Forum: Traders Hideout February 24th, 2015, 12:42 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
But lines always help to find additional entry...

But lines always help to find additional entry signals....

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=175994
Forum: Traders Hideout February 13th, 2012, 01:22 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
I can make her switch by my imagination. To do...

I can make her switch by my imagination. To do that I focus a point below her feet such that I still notice the rhythm of her movements. Then I imagine that she turns anti-clockwise, and she will.
...
Forum: Traders Hideout November 8th, 2011, 11:46 AM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
An example of Rubin's Vase. Our brain, which...

An example of Rubin's Vase.

Our brain, which is specializing on pattern recognition may discover things that do not exist.


https://nexusfi.com/v/tsvdgz.jpg
Forum: Traders Hideout July 25th, 2011, 06:53 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
The fusiform gyrus is also the part of the brain...

The fusiform gyrus is also the part of the brain used for word recognition. How can you remember such words as prosapagnosiac, but not remember faces ? ;)
Forum: Traders Hideout June 27th, 2011, 06:45 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
Trendlines are exactly the same as other areas of...

Trendlines are exactly the same as other areas of support and resistance. They are meeting points watched by many technical traders and work as self-fulfilling prophecy. They can either hold or...
Forum: Traders Hideout June 24th, 2011, 04:06 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
Random lines are only valid, if you carefully...

Random lines are only valid, if you carefully select them at midnight while watching the Full Moon.
Forum: Traders Hideout May 6th, 2011, 01:20 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
The random line theory is about pattern...

The random line theory is about pattern recognition failure and hindsight bias.

However, in practice some lines do work, not on any scienific grounds but because people use them. Let us have a...
Forum: Traders Hideout April 21st, 2011, 05:19 AM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
As with most articles there is some truth and...

As with most articles there is some truth and some nonsense. The world is not black and white, but gray.


The Truth

(1) Any lines such as random lines, fib lines or floor pivots may look more...
Forum: Traders Hideout April 18th, 2011, 08:51 AM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
Sexy Lines

These are pretty lines. You should careful consider each of them before entering a trade.
Forum: Traders Hideout April 8th, 2011, 03:53 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
Today's Random Lines

TF 30 min chart Support/Resistance. Fibonacci Confluence Zones.
Forum: Traders Hideout March 28th, 2011, 05:38 AM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
I am so annoyed by this f...... Microsoft...

I am so annoyed by this f...... Microsoft Windows. There are some shortcuts, which close your application immediately without saving anything.

One of these shortcuts is Ctrl-W. In German language...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 26th, 2011, 06:15 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
Value has always been relative. Your salary is...

Value has always been relative. Your salary is high, if you earn more than your wife's sister's husband.

Noise is created by smaller time frame traders, as seen by large time frame traders. Larger...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 18th, 2011, 11:41 AM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
You can just use Fibonacci Expansions, even...

You can just use Fibonacci Expansions, even simpler and it would have told you the first target as well. :)


https://nexusfi.com/v/yap8zm.jpg
Forum: Traders Hideout March 7th, 2011, 04:27 AM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
Hindsight Bias and Availability Heuristics

Generating random lines is sort of a childish play. Random lines can not have any edge by definition. However our mind, which was shaped by evolution to identify all sorts of patterns, will conclude...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 15th, 2011, 07:48 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
I remember that when I was flying gliders, I...

I remember that when I was flying gliders, I preferred to turn right when I reached an upcurrent. No particular reason. I knew other guys who did the opposite. So, if you show me the two charts, it...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 13th, 2011, 04:23 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
That's my secret, I won't tell anybody. :biggrin1:

That's my secret, I won't tell anybody. :biggrin1:
Forum: Traders Hideout January 13th, 2011, 03:15 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
Looks good, excellent indicators. :)

Looks good, excellent indicators. :)
Forum: Traders Hideout January 13th, 2011, 02:53 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
A collection of RANDOM lines on a RANDOM day. ...

A collection of RANDOM lines on a RANDOM day.

https://nexusfi.com/v/ecqx3g.jpg
Forum: Traders Hideout January 9th, 2011, 04:43 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
I am bit slow to understand .... Don't know how...

I am bit slow to understand .... Don't know how this relates to random lines?

https://nexusfi.com/v/j5fvb9.jpg
Forum: Traders Hideout January 7th, 2011, 01:46 AM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
I think that this was the intention of Big Mike,...

I think that this was the intention of Big Mike, when he started this thread. Too many lines do not help, a few lines might be useful. The main pivot also is a trendfilter, similar to VWAP or the...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 6th, 2011, 05:18 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
No random lines

Below a chart from ES today. Some questions:

The blue range was know prior to the day, so was R1.

Do you think that in a way the blue range created support and resistance, or do you consider...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 5th, 2011, 08:49 PM
Replies: 367
Views: 231,179
Posted By Fat Tails
If you do not want to use floor pivots, you do...

If you do not want to use floor pivots, you do not need to do so.

If you want to know, whether they provide an edge, you should design a backtest and find out.

From my personal observations...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 41

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