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Search: Posts Made By: Fat Tails
Forum: Psychology and Money Management August 31st, 2010, 04:49 AM
Replies: 130
Views: 54,532
Posted By Fat Tails
You made a slightly different assumption, with...

You made a slightly different assumption, with the adjustment to breakeven, which is probably a better idea.

But in my opinion you missed the principal point, which is the correlation not between...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management August 30th, 2010, 03:03 PM
Replies: 130
Views: 54,532
Posted By Fat Tails
The question here is indeed correlation. The...

The question here is indeed correlation. The performance maybe greatly enhanced, if not correlated. I think I showed with my previous post, that scaling-out / drawdown can be led back to the...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management August 30th, 2010, 02:55 PM
Replies: 130
Views: 54,532
Posted By Fat Tails
It is not an easy task to comment on that article...

It is not an easy task to comment on that article

(1) Dean Hoffman presents a trend following system applied to a portfolio with the following key figures:

Net profit $ 673,307, Max. Drawdown...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management August 30th, 2010, 01:54 PM
Replies: 130
Views: 54,532
Posted By Fat Tails
Let me add the document here, so it can be...

Let me add the document here, so it can be discussed.
Forum: Psychology and Money Management July 31st, 2010, 04:24 PM
Replies: 130
Views: 54,532
Posted By Fat Tails
Do you have plans to become the first-ever 100...

Do you have plans to become the first-ever 100 lot crude oil scalper? I think there is a lot of research done on trade execution, a bunch of software companies focussing on trade execution algorithms...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management July 31st, 2010, 04:08 PM
Replies: 130
Views: 54,532
Posted By Fat Tails
Come on. If you have a backtested system with...

Come on. If you have a backtested system with fixed rules, you do have an expectancy for each trade, which is the expected profit per trade of your backtest. You can also backtest a trailing stop. I...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management July 31st, 2010, 03:06 PM
Replies: 130
Views: 54,532
Posted By Fat Tails
It is correct that you reduce your exposure when...

It is correct that you reduce your exposure when scaling out, but you could even further reduce your exposure, if you take the profits on the entire position, and never trade again. This is of course...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management July 29th, 2010, 06:19 PM
Replies: 130
Views: 54,532
Posted By Fat Tails
Absolutely. There is a known human deficiency...

Absolutely. There is a known human deficiency called loss aversion. Has to do something with anchoring. On the profitable side of the trade there is the irresistable pull to lock in profits.

If...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management July 29th, 2010, 01:56 PM
Replies: 130
Views: 54,532
Posted By Fat Tails
Hi Mike, appreciate your answer, but partly...

Hi Mike,
appreciate your answer, but partly disagree with the statement. :fencing:
Let me answer piece by piece. Added some icons, because it is such a dry subject..



You are talking here...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management July 29th, 2010, 07:10 AM
Replies: 130
Views: 54,532
Posted By Fat Tails
Scaling In and Money Management

If you have a backtested setup, which gives you an edge, scaling in or scaling out does not make sense. You just need to follow the rules that you have backtested.

Let us assume that you have...
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What unexpected challenges have you encountered while trading on a "Funded Trader" platform?

 


 
 


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