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Search: Posts Made By: blb014
Forum: Options August 1st, 2015, 03:56 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
I have no angle in this discussion to "make up...

I have no angle in this discussion to "make up stuff".

Go look at chart if you don't believe. CL ran up $40 + from Jan 2008 to July. Then CL sold off the gains it had made for the year. And didnt...
Forum: Options August 1st, 2015, 02:08 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
We will have to agree to disagree on this, I have...

We will have to agree to disagree on this, I have no angle in this discussion

1. No comparison. Bear Stern had been in trouble since 2007 so it was no surprise when JP Morgan offer cleared for 1.2...
Forum: Options August 1st, 2015, 12:13 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
You are right there is no holy grail. All...

You are right there is no holy grail.

All three of those situations couldn't have been avoided, I know because I traded through them. If anyone says the contrary, that is hindsight trading.

...
Forum: Options July 27th, 2015, 05:20 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
Unrealized: ($1,000) currently ...

Unrealized: ($1,000) currently

https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/22211435/Capture5.JPG
Forum: Options July 25th, 2015, 09:20 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
Good points especially about vega risk Not...

Good points especially about vega risk

Not all drops in /ES price correlate to a certain percentage increase in vol. and is something broker platforms can not even predict.

Examples already...
Forum: Options July 25th, 2015, 03:24 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
My mentor had traded since the 1970's so that's...

My mentor had traded since the 1970's so that's why I consider myself a beginner. Some might consider themselves advanced and have only traded for 2 years, so I do not pay much attention to that...
Forum: Options July 25th, 2015, 02:08 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
Sosnoff talking about Volatility and the market: ...

Sosnoff talking about Volatility and the market:
...
Forum: Options July 25th, 2015, 01:50 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
Go read my posts in this thread. I have been...

Go read my posts in this thread. I have been trading options since 2006 and haven't been wiped out once.

Risk is not how close your strike price is to the market price.
Forum: Options July 24th, 2015, 08:21 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
:) Not really I'm selling 10-15 contracts at a...

:) Not really I'm selling 10-15 contracts at a time. Some of the quantities posted on here are a lot braver than me! All it takes is a bank failure to send premium skyrocketing.
Forum: Options July 24th, 2015, 02:53 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
Sold to open 10 /ES Oct 1920 put leveraging...

Sold to open 10 /ES Oct 1920 put leveraging 960,000

Don't know how low this pullback is going so I might have to roll down on my two positions (1900 and 1920) but will update.
Forum: Options July 21st, 2015, 11:18 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
Sold to open 15 1900 OCT put leveraging 1.4...

Sold to open 15 1900 OCT put leveraging 1.4 million
Forum: Options July 17th, 2015, 12:23 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
This was posting in the Spoo thread: ...

This was posting in the Spoo thread:

https://nexusfi.com/index-futures-trading/13452-es-s-p-500-futures-contract-sp500-spoo-nalysis-1774.html#post505082

Percentage wise the largest drop but the...
Forum: Options July 17th, 2015, 12:02 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
Trade examples and approach (will post July...

Trade examples and approach (will post July trades at the end of the month):

https://nexusfi.com/options-cfd-trading/12309-selling-options-futures-443.html#post501828
...
Forum: Options July 16th, 2015, 05:48 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
According to this paper not of whole lot of...

According to this paper not of whole lot of pinning action on /ES on expiration days http://www.econ.upf.edu/docs/seminars/jens.pdf

Pinning of individual equities and indices to a actively traded...
Forum: Options July 16th, 2015, 04:19 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
I don't sell puts that far out of the money...

I don't sell puts that far out of the money (around .10 to .20 delta) and not at that quantity or margin used. There are theta time decay graphs for around that delta, I would have to locate one.
...
Forum: Options July 16th, 2015, 02:46 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
I try to shoot for 70 days to expiration for...

I try to shoot for 70 days to expiration for opening a position and 40 days to expiration for closing a position, plus better liquidity. IMO and for my account, 120 day options would have too much...
Forum: Options July 14th, 2015, 03:45 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/22211435/1900%...

https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/22211435/1900%20Aug%20Puts.JPG

Fortunate on timing on this trade. Like Ron, I'm not a believer in timing the market but I do like to sell puts when IV is...
Forum: Options July 13th, 2015, 06:24 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
Bought to close 10 Aug 1900 puts today (and...

Bought to close 10 Aug 1900 puts today (and numerous other positions) for 10.5% return on margin and 15 days held. I will post my account statement at the end of the month
Forum: Options July 13th, 2015, 04:08 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
Great minds think alike: Volatility, the...

Great minds think alike:

Volatility, the confusing noises Bogle points out, is in fact a good thing for our portfolio.
Forum: Options July 13th, 2015, 03:46 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
I wasn't implying that there is correction coming...

I wasn't implying that there is correction coming as seen by response to him a few days ago when he was considering closing his positions early and taking a loss. All I was trying to get across to...
Forum: Options July 13th, 2015, 12:16 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
Thanks for the update, I would suggest scaling...

Thanks for the update, I would suggest scaling back some because there will be much more volatile times (than in the past month) to come in the future
Forum: Options July 9th, 2015, 09:09 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
Volatility is good for the market and trading....

Volatility is good for the market and trading. The US economy is hitting on full cylinders, Greece has been going on for five years, and even though the Shanghai index has fell drastically it is...
Forum: Options July 3rd, 2015, 10:58 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
We all would be rich! I know what you...

We all would be rich!


I know what you meant to say, and I agree completely. With any investment business, real estate and especially options, there is risk involved and it is best to know the...
Forum: Options July 3rd, 2015, 08:37 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
Thanks for modeling the option prices in 07-08...

Thanks for modeling the option prices in 07-08 and just looking at your examples regarding IV:

ex. 1 Jan 2008 - 197.25 point drop in ES
.03 delta put price increase...
Forum: Options July 2nd, 2015, 05:02 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,002,163
Posted By blb014
Probably not anywhere close to yours:) I...

Probably not anywhere close to yours:)

I would probably advocate being more conservative for new traders with smaller accounts. One of the trader mention on here having 20k, said he could sleep...
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