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Posts Made By:
kevinkdog
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 9th, 2016, 09:29 AM
Replies:
47
Is trading a skill or is it a problem waiting to be solved.
Views:
23,041
Posted By
kevinkdog
The original question "Is trading a skill or is...
The original question "Is trading a skill or is it a problem waiting to be solved?" is presented as an either/or proposition, and I think the answer is both.
You need skill to know how to solve...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 9th, 2016, 08:16 AM
Replies:
47
Is trading a skill or is it a problem waiting to be solved.
Views:
23,041
Posted By
kevinkdog
OK, that is true. I was confused because I...
OK, that is true. I was confused because I assumed you'd pick the flip correctly, since you knew it was a loaded coin. If you always picked the wrong side, yes your equity curve would be down long...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 8th, 2016, 02:43 PM
Replies:
47
Is trading a skill or is it a problem waiting to be solved.
Views:
23,041
Posted By
kevinkdog
Absolutely not! That coin game has a positive...
Absolutely not! That coin game has a positive expectancy, no matter what you bet:
If you win 1 unit 90% of the time, and lose 1 unit 10% of the time, over the long term you will win 0.8 units per...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 8th, 2016, 01:59 PM
Replies:
47
Is trading a skill or is it a problem waiting to be solved.
Views:
23,041
Posted By
kevinkdog
Risk of ruin. You could have a very profitable...
Risk of ruin. You could have a very profitable strategy, but if you overtrade it, your chances of wiping your account out are huge - in fact, virtually guaranteed.
Let's take an extreme example: ...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 8th, 2016, 01:13 PM
Replies:
47
Is trading a skill or is it a problem waiting to be solved.
Views:
23,041
Posted By
kevinkdog
That's the problem - the equity curve by itself...
That's the problem - the equity curve by itself NEVER tells the whole story. To be meaningful, you really need to understand HOW an equity curve was derived.
For example:
With the curves you...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 8th, 2016, 12:20 PM
Replies:
47
Is trading a skill or is it a problem waiting to be solved.
Views:
23,041
Posted By
kevinkdog
Neither. This is a hypothetical walkforward...
Neither. This is a hypothetical walkforward backtest with an enhanced version of the code I published above. To get this actual curve, the parameters XR and daysback change with time, based on...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 8th, 2016, 10:55 AM
Replies:
47
Is trading a skill or is it a problem waiting to be solved.
Views:
23,041
Posted By
kevinkdog
I'm not sure what the debate is here, because I'm...
I'm not sure what the debate is here, because I'm not sure what there is to debate.
I have over 80 mechanical strategies I am currently trading, although I've also tried thousands that did not...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 8th, 2016, 06:29 AM
Replies:
47
Is trading a skill or is it a problem waiting to be solved.
Views:
23,041
Posted By
kevinkdog
Developing a mechanical trading strategy is a...
Developing a mechanical trading strategy is a skill. It can be taught and it can be learned.
The problem I see is that most retail people who develop trading strategies go about it the wrong way,...
Showing results 1 to 8 of 8
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