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Search: Posts Made By: traitor786
Forum: Psychology and Money Management January 17th, 2012, 04:58 AM
Replies: 204
Views: 64,080
Posted By traitor786
Sorry for my confusion. I have limited knowledge...

Sorry for my confusion. I have limited knowledge in this and am just looking at logic putting aside all else for now.

I understand this can be frustrating for some one who understands the math....
Forum: Psychology and Money Management January 15th, 2012, 08:27 PM
Replies: 204
Views: 64,080
Posted By traitor786
I understand what you are saying. Any flip has a...

I understand what you are saying. Any flip has a 50 - 50 chance whether it is the first flip or the 10th. It is the laws of gravity airo dynamics and applied force. Nothing to do with math. Its...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management January 11th, 2012, 03:55 AM
Replies: 204
Views: 64,080
Posted By traitor786
yes but the last flip is a single event. even...

yes but the last flip is a single event. even though it is part of the string. I imagine that the falasy would say state that the last flip has in a string has a 50 50 chance. the fact that the we...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management January 10th, 2012, 08:55 PM
Replies: 204
Views: 64,080
Posted By traitor786
Your charts seem to disprove what i think fat...

Your charts seem to disprove what i think fat tails is saying.

From my understanding Fat tails suggests that every toss is independent of the previous one. Yet he says that the odds of having 3...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management January 10th, 2012, 08:31 PM
Replies: 204
Views: 64,080
Posted By traitor786
I use Andrews pitchfork. Many dont like this kind...

I use Andrews pitchfork. Many dont like this kind of stuff but as it is all i have really learnt I love it, Its funny how when ever i see a chart some one posts price seems to just fly all over the...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management January 8th, 2012, 09:04 PM
Replies: 204
Views: 64,080
Posted By traitor786
funny you mention this. i had a similar...

funny you mention this. i had a similar conversation with some one. I believe it is some what similar and if so then it questions your "Gamblers fallacy"

The idea was that the odds of a coin toss...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management January 8th, 2012, 03:33 PM
Replies: 204
Views: 64,080
Posted By traitor786
intresting, I did this once with a deck of cards...

intresting, I did this once with a deck of cards looking at red and black minus the jokers. Essentially a coin toss that quickly averages out to a 50-50.



every time a red card popped out i...
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