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Search: Posts Made By: tpredictor
Forum: Cryptocurrency October 26th, 2017, 10:11 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
One of my best posts.... explains how to value...

One of my best posts.... explains how to value BTC using basic mathematics and your own intuition

One way to evaluate whether to buy BTC or at what price is you take what you think the low value...
Forum: Cryptocurrency October 10th, 2017, 06:35 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
Okay, let me make it more clear: if a consortium...

Okay, let me make it more clear: if a consortium of random people decide to get behind Bitcoin to back it with some sort of backing and if that backing is more sufficient to not be easily duplicated...
Forum: Cryptocurrency October 10th, 2017, 04:40 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
Here is something interesting... note the...

Here is something interesting... note the following

(1) Bitcoin is limited
(2) It is possible to spin off infinite copies of Bitcoin
(3) Thus theoretically Bitcoin isn't limited at all.
(4)...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 25th, 2017, 10:39 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
If Bitcoin was known to be limited quantity then...

If Bitcoin was known to be limited quantity then what can explain the rise or fall? New use cases. I think that's the consensus analyst thinking. I have also been thinking about whether it would be...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 21st, 2017, 12:02 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
Interesting take... The Bitcoin Bubble and a...

Interesting take...
The Bitcoin Bubble and a Bad Hypothesis | The National Interest (http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/the-bitcoin-bubble-bad-hypothesis-8353)

However, if Bitcoin were truly...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 20th, 2017, 02:16 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
What's wrong with Dimon's argument that Bitcoin...

What's wrong with Dimon's argument that Bitcoin will be regulated and won't be anymore?

* Previous reports from JPMorgan analyst cited that Bitcoin needed to be regulated to continue to grow.
*...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 20th, 2017, 12:36 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
https://www.coindesk.com/bitcoins-parimutuel-probl...

https://www.coindesk.com/bitcoins-parimutuel-problem-shorting-doesnt-pay-today/
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 18th, 2017, 07:46 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
GDAX shows volume and price. But, it is a single...

GDAX shows volume and price. But, it is a single network. I do agree, however, there is significant risk of gaming. Coinbase charges high fees, as well. Well, that's why I like the pure programmed...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 18th, 2017, 07:39 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
I think with the ICO's it is less about fiat and...

I think with the ICO's it is less about fiat and more about whether or not they've created a more efficient way of raising investor capital. In that way, it more closely resembles the stock market of...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 16th, 2017, 10:36 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
There is another way to value Bitcoin. Let's just...

There is another way to value Bitcoin. Let's just assume that there are 4 participants but only 3 that really matter:

1. Miners
2. Holders
3. New holders
4. Traders


Now let us assume the...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 14th, 2017, 01:29 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
JPMorgan Goes In On Bitcoin: Kolanovic Asks "Are...

JPMorgan Goes In On Bitcoin: Kolanovic Asks "Are Cryptocurrencies A Pyramid Scheme?" | Zero Hedge...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 14th, 2017, 11:21 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
The issue of manipulation is a great reason why a...

The issue of manipulation is a great reason why a pure programmed price stream would be so useful.

Here is a measure that would be useful:

Measure the actual dollars that have flowed into and...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 12th, 2017, 11:09 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
I think I finally got it. Let's imagine in the...

I think I finally got it. Let's imagine in the worst case scenario the value of Bitcoin is really zero except as a trading, speculating, and gambling vehicle. The fair value is then a function of the...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 12th, 2017, 02:29 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
Here's another problem, some people think Bitcoin...

Here's another problem, some people think Bitcoin has to increase in value simply because there are a limited number of coins left to mine: that it is scarce. But just because something is scarce...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 12th, 2017, 01:15 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
One problem I have with placing a valuation on...

One problem I have with placing a valuation on Bitcoin is that it even if we can value the network then it doesn't tell us what the price of Bitcoin should be. I think this is relevant. The value of...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 12th, 2017, 08:41 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
Research note: The common wisdom is that...

Research note:

The common wisdom is that China won't crack down on bitcoin exchange but is rather trying to prevent new/scam coin offerings. However, I noticed also that China released a statement...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 4th, 2017, 11:13 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
A bit expanded... Most of the attention of...

A bit expanded...

Most of the attention of the value for bitcoin has been on the blockchain and the network effect. However to expand on my previous thoughts

1. A significant value of bitcoin...
Forum: Cryptocurrency September 3rd, 2017, 09:38 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,947
Posted By tpredictor
How to know when bitcoin has bust and what replaces is

It is unknown whether bitcoin will bust. However, I have been trying to think: how do we know when the bubble has burst and what will happen? I have been thinking a problem with bitcoin is that is...
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