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Search: Posts Made By: ron99
Forum: Commodities January 14th, 2021, 12:31 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
My DCOT charts are here. ...

My DCOT charts are here.
https://public.tableau.com/profile/ron.h8870#!/vizhome/DCOT/Story1

My charts of daily futures settlements since 2006 can be found on this page....
Forum: Commodities January 20th, 2020, 01:31 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
Using Feb 5 to Feb 28, last 10 years 6 winners...

Using Feb 5 to Feb 28, last 10 years 6 winners and 4 losers but 3 of the losers were <$100. Winners all over $1,000.
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=284802
Forum: Commodities January 18th, 2020, 07:01 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
I have Tableau charts available for HO here. ...

I have Tableau charts available for HO here.
https://public.tableau.com/profile/ron.h8870#!/vizhome/SeasonalFuturesHO/2_YearlyLinesAveragebyMonth

You can set starting and ending dates and see how...
Forum: Commodities January 10th, 2020, 04:24 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
I think it is worthwhile. Looks like there...

I think it is worthwhile.

Looks like there might be a rise in prices with cold spell coming but I doubt that cold will last. So that should be time to enter this trade.

Yes it did work in 2014...
Forum: Commodities January 9th, 2020, 10:27 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
I have traded those seasonals off and on using...

I have traded those seasonals off and on using futures. I have also used that data to do options.

I found that if I tried to choose specific trades I did worse than just trading all of them. But...
Forum: Commodities January 8th, 2020, 01:04 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
Thanks. Attached is excel with results of...

Thanks.

Attached is excel with results of 2019 seasonal trades. 49.4% winners. Gross profit $64,967 if you did one contract each and used $4,000 stop loss limit. 2019 had a lot of large winners...
Forum: Commodities January 5th, 2019, 11:06 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
Forex37 Link to post that has spreadsheet. ...

Forex37 Link to post that has spreadsheet.
https://nexusfi.com/commodities-futures-trading/40442-seasonal-trades-4.html#post620480

I used $4,000 stop loss. So you should have Initial Margin plus...
Forum: Commodities January 5th, 2019, 10:25 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
Back on Jan 16, 2017 I posted my list of my...

Back on Jan 16, 2017 I posted my list of my seasonal trades.
https://nexusfi.com/commodities-futures-trading/40442-seasonal-trades-4.html#post620480

Here are the results of those seasonal trades...
Forum: Commodities February 4th, 2018, 06:01 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
You can do a free demo at Seasonalgo with only...

You can do a free demo at Seasonalgo with only one commodity to try it out. I like it better than MRCI because it has more flexibility. It can do more things than MRCI. I used to subscribe to MRCI...
Forum: Commodities March 4th, 2017, 03:28 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
I use $4,000 per contract/spread. If you use...

I use $4,000 per contract/spread. If you use $500, you will exit many trades that eventually become profitable.

Also watch the fundamentals. If they change I exit.
Forum: Commodities March 2nd, 2017, 08:39 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
This is from CME covering the basics. It is just...

This is from CME covering the basics. It is just OK.
Gas Prices Explained - Futures Fundamentals (http://futuresfundamentals.cmegroup.com/see-the-impact/energy-futures/gas-prices-explained/)
Forum: Commodities March 2nd, 2017, 08:27 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
Exited 2/23 at 0.2202 for a $558.60 loss. Reduced...

Exited 2/23 at 0.2202 for a $558.60 loss. Reduced US gasoline demand is causing RB to drop and not follow seasonals.

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=228381
Forum: Commodities February 6th, 2017, 10:22 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
Bought this position back today at 0.2335. Loss...

Bought this position back today at 0.2335. Loss of $46.20. I should have exited on Friday.

Bought one of these spreads at 0.2335 to hold until Feb 24th.
Forum: Commodities January 31st, 2017, 08:21 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
From my own online charts using EIA data. Go here...

From my own online charts using EIA data. Go here https://public.tableau.com/profile/ron.h8870#!/ then click on "Energies-Weekly Data & Weekly Change".

There are other sets of charts that might...
Forum: Commodities January 30th, 2017, 10:15 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
Sold the RBj7z7 today for 0.2324. Will reverse to...

Sold the RBj7z7 today for 0.2324. Will reverse to being long on Friday Feb 3rd.
Forum: Commodities January 28th, 2017, 10:35 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
Here is data for each of those spreads over the...

Here is data for each of those spreads over the last 10 years

RBn-RBz

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=225746

RBj-RBz

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=225747
Forum: Commodities January 27th, 2017, 04:55 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
I'm looking at doing the RBj-RBz spread starting...

I'm looking at doing the RBj-RBz spread starting Feb 4th to Feb 25th. It worked 10 of last 10 years. Has consistent best start and exit dates. Averages +$1,988 per year.
...
Forum: Commodities January 16th, 2017, 01:22 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
Sorry but finally here is my list of seasonals I...

Sorry but finally here is my list of seasonals I picked in attached excel. It has 115 trades.

I have been paper trading and made some actual trades from this list since I made it Sep 1st. Here is...
Forum: Commodities January 16th, 2017, 12:58 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
PLj17? If you entered Dec 23, 2016 it is...

PLj17?

If you entered Dec 23, 2016 it is +$4,570 so far.

Worked 17 of last 20 years but didn't work last year. Big profits 2009-2015. Any idea why it didn't work last year?
...
Forum: Commodities December 23rd, 2016, 09:08 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
Here's a link to the USDA report calendar. All...

Here's a link to the USDA report calendar. All times listed are ET. Click on Calendar view to get future months.
https://www.usda.gov/wps/portal/usda/usdahome?navid=AGENCY_REPORTS
Forum: Commodities December 21st, 2016, 08:47 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
Both of those contracts have not been following...

Both of those contracts have not been following prior seasonal patterns this year.

Seasonally they usually peak in mid Oct. This year they bottomed in mid Oct. They usually go down the first 2...
Forum: Commodities November 23rd, 2016, 11:22 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
The next 2 EIA inventory reports for the last 5...

The next 2 EIA inventory reports for the last 5 years (weeks 47 & 48) have shown a large gain in distillate stocks every year.
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=221985

That leads to...
Forum: Commodities November 20th, 2016, 08:18 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
You should mention which side you are selling and...

You should mention which side you are selling and which side you are buying.
Forum: Commodities September 16th, 2016, 01:59 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
Sold ESz6 today. It usually drops starting the...

Sold ESz6 today. It usually drops starting the morning of the 3rd Friday when futures contract expires (ESu6). Planning on keeping until Oct 3.

Edit Actually I just see that selling at the close...
Forum: Commodities September 16th, 2016, 10:22 AM
Replies: 280
Views: 59,530
Posted By ron99
Here is how HOz-RBz performed the last 15 years...

Here is how HOz-RBz performed the last 15 years from today to Oct 30. 10 out of 15 winners.
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=216771

The performance of this spread from early Aug to...
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