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Search: Posts Made By: vvhg
Forum: Psychology and Money Management March 11th, 2012, 01:58 AM
Replies: 204
Views: 64,764
Posted By vvhg
The main difficulty I have with kelly is the...

The main difficulty I have with kelly is the limitation to Bernoulli distributions, ie only two possible outcomes. This does not reflect the real world and results in too high bet sizes being...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management March 7th, 2012, 03:54 PM
Replies: 204
Views: 64,764
Posted By vvhg
Lets say it factors in RR, whether the Kelly...

Lets say it factors in RR, whether the Kelly criterion works at all is debatable. Interesting results if you assume b=100 and b=2 at constant p for arguments sake....the practical risk of ruin is...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management January 11th, 2012, 11:57 AM
Replies: 204
Views: 64,764
Posted By vvhg
Now you confused them completely....:sarcastic:...

Now you confused them completely....:sarcastic: Wait and see...

vvhg
Forum: Psychology and Money Management January 11th, 2012, 07:37 AM
Replies: 204
Views: 64,764
Posted By vvhg
But if you find the box, don't open it! You might...

But if you find the box, don't open it! You might half kill the cat...


vvhg
Forum: Psychology and Money Management January 11th, 2012, 04:03 AM
Replies: 204
Views: 64,764
Posted By vvhg
All tosses are .5, and that is not my belief, it...

All tosses are .5, and that is not my belief, it is the very definition of a fair coin toss.
If the last toss was not .5 how could we then calculate the exact probability of the string by .5^n?...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management January 11th, 2012, 02:57 AM
Replies: 204
Views: 64,764
Posted By vvhg
The answer is already in your post: To...

The answer is already in your post:



To arrive at the chance of three heads in a row you multiply .5 three times. If you now want to calculate the chance of 4 heads in a row you just extend the...
Showing results 1 to 6 of 6

What unexpected challenges have you encountered while trading on a "Funded Trader" platform?

 


 
 


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