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Search: Posts Made By: aquarian1
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index March 24th, 2018, 12:37 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
from Anthony Crudele 2 Feb 2108 Yesterday...

from Anthony Crudele
2 Feb 2108

Yesterday on Periscope I spoke about the action I was seeing in the Bond/Treasury Market and the S&P (ES). With yesterdays weakness in the ES we did not see a...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index February 6th, 2018, 03:45 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
US Gvt buys 10% dip as expected on Tuesday

Today US Govt bought up the dip after opening as < 2583 is 10% so with 256.98 in pre-open they bought at open.
(This is in regards to last sentence below.)

clippings from article:

"While CTAs...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index July 27th, 2017, 03:27 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
sell off on quant note?

While nobody knows what catalyzed for the sharp selloff over the last hour, with Citi blaming it on Acrophobia, or fear of heights, saying that "US equities opened at record highs, key levels were...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index July 26th, 2017, 03:46 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
Thanks for the article! Re: In simple...

Thanks for the article!

Re:
In simple terms, would you prefer to buy an asset (strategy) with a 15% return and a
30% Vol (IR = 0.5), or a 5.1% return asset with a 3.4% Vol (IR = 1.5)? Seemingly...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index July 11th, 2017, 06:28 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
Risk parity yet to adjust leverage

The article is primarily B of A report about large sigma moves.
Most of it I don't really understand but the link is at the end for those who are interested.

BTW I'm looking for votes in the July...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index June 4th, 2017, 04:51 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
re:China housing buble

My understanding of what was said:

1. China has a closed capital account giving it control over its domestic credit machine.
2. much of local govt revenues are linked to China's housing bubble...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index June 4th, 2017, 04:48 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
Chinese housing bubble

I have cut and paste what I felt were relevant clips

------------------ clips from two articles :


A far more immediate problem as a result of China's housing bubble may be the acceleration of...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index May 3rd, 2017, 11:28 AM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
Having read Cullen Roche's article I noticed that...

Having read Cullen Roche's article I noticed that he seems unaware to the leverage of the risk parity funds and therefore his analysis appears to be flawed.
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index April 25th, 2017, 03:15 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
Thank you Tellur Ian

Thank you Tellur


Ian
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index April 20th, 2017, 10:22 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
Just as portfolio insurance caused the 1987 rout,...

Just as portfolio insurance caused the 1987 rout, he says, the new danger zone is the half-trillion dollars in risk parity funds. These funds aim to systematically spread risk equally across...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index April 4th, 2017, 04:41 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
Fed balance sheet unwinding

Bloomberg’s Stephen Spratt calculates that the balance sheet’s Treasury holdings longer than 20-years maturity represents a full three years worth of long-bond supply. Not even mentioning all the...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index March 21st, 2017, 07:01 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
action tomorrow Wed 21 March, 2017

Today's downmove went through
2246.50
which had been support.

The o/n session and tomorrow morning early trade will show what is next.
We had a low of 2338.00
and a close of 2342.25
at 10...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index March 21st, 2017, 06:23 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
gaap and adj earnings

The S&P 500 index, closing today at 2,373, hovers near its all-time high. Total market capitalization of the 500 companies in the index exceeds $20 trillion, or 106% of US GDP. In the three-plus...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index March 8th, 2017, 10:25 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22...

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=228901
Stocks Suffer Longest Losing Streak Since The Election As Crude Crashes | Zero Hedge...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index March 8th, 2017, 10:20 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
Simply put, the massively overcrowded hedge fund...

Simply put, the massively overcrowded hedge fund herding into US equities has created a crisis situation. With liquidity levels at record lows, the market will be unable to smoothly absorb any...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index February 21st, 2017, 11:13 AM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
SP

table of % declines in S&P
When A Black Swan Isn&#39;t A Black Swan | Seeking Alpha (http://seekingalpha.com/article/4047667-black-swan-black-swan?source=feed_tag_editors_picks)

a key point of the...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index February 16th, 2017, 10:55 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
BNP love-panic model

In our Love Panic model, we try to identify distress and euphoria in an attempt to predict forward market returns. In order to successfully predict the market we have chosen parameters with good...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index February 15th, 2017, 08:51 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
China

4. Chinese Debt: The Next Financial Crisis

The outstanding loans held by China has topped $28 trillion. That total equals nearly the entire commercial banking systems in both the U.S and Japan...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index February 15th, 2017, 08:08 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
As profiled previously, one of the biggest...

As profiled previously, one of the biggest legends in the hedge fund world, Elliott Management's Paul Singer has cautioned about the risk of “deep underlying complacency” in the face of U.S. stocks...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index February 15th, 2017, 07:57 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
This grind, or melt-up, is so discouraging. ...

This grind, or melt-up, is so discouraging.

I recall about three years ago it did the same thing in Jan&Feb. I remember thinking "how long can this go on?"
And it continued and continued.

It...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index February 12th, 2017, 07:58 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
Jim Rogers

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SoxL5GI9aL4

226995
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index February 6th, 2017, 12:28 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
BY: HANS ALBRECHT, CIM®, FCSI, VICE PRESIDENT,...

BY: HANS ALBRECHT, CIM®, FCSI, VICE PRESIDENT, PORTFOLIO MANAGER AND OPTIONS STRATEGIST, HORIZONS ETFS

In the game of poker, a great way to gain an edge is by effectively reading an opposing...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index February 2nd, 2017, 09:37 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
I should do some original thinking about tipping...

I should do some original thinking about tipping points. Perhaps on the weekend.

I am so tired and overworked.
It seems endless.

Someone in another forum posted about "little money units"...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index January 29th, 2017, 07:19 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
アメリカの山カークPEAK階にLovが床に挑戦Oiether、各地上のx ANS...

アメリカの山カークPEAK階にLovが床に挑戦Oiether、各地上のx ANS RaissisのLDCの足音は、2月のインチをPYT。
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index January 29th, 2017, 05:57 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 18,116
Posted By aquarian1
another thread

Here's another thread
https://nexusfi.com/elite-circle/40923-end-bull-market.html

I did not take it as a personal attack, Jack.
(Yes you are correct I missed your point on the PE article)
I...
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