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Search: Posts Made By: Schnook
Forum: Commodities December 4th, 2023, 12:36 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 21,303
Posted By Schnook
I was watching the DOM as it started going off...

I was watching the DOM as it started going off last night. It started in earnest when the 2100 level broke to the upside, which caused, what looked to me, like a classic Sunday night stop run. After...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index September 15th, 2023, 08:00 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 573
Posted By Schnook
The 20 EMA may be arbitrary, but it's not random....

The 20 EMA may be arbitrary, but it's not random. Certainly the 19 or 21p EMA might also "work" but what I took away from the OP's post was that this moving average was just one part of a bigger...
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds September 11th, 2023, 03:11 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 541
Posted By Schnook
Who trades interest rate futures? ...

Who trades interest rate futures?

Broker/Dealers
Banks
Insurance Companies
Investment Management Companies
Hedge Funds
CTAs
Sovereign Wealth Funds
Corporate Treasury Managers
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index June 20th, 2023, 06:55 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 607
Posted By Schnook
Part 1 here --->...

Part 1 here ---> https://nexusfi.com/psychology-money-management/59540-indicators-waste-time-19.html#post885797
Forum: Traders Hideout February 12th, 2023, 11:52 AM
Replies: 36
Views: 6,446
Posted By Schnook
Wait, what? lol. Check yourself, dude. ...

Wait, what? lol. Check yourself, dude.

Timeframe makes a huge difference in market behavior. The "fractal" notion is cute but demonstrably false. There are very meaningful intraday variables that...
Forum: Traders Hideout February 3rd, 2023, 06:22 AM
Replies: 36
Views: 6,446
Posted By Schnook
My suggestion would be to take a step back....

My suggestion would be to take a step back. Breathe. Don't give up, but stop trading for a bit. Focus your time and energy on observation, study, and research. Also, consider zooming out. Your focus...
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds December 13th, 2022, 01:12 PM
Replies: 43
Views: 33,988
Posted By Schnook
I totally understand and respect bobwest's...

I totally understand and respect bobwest's decision to enforce the "no discord" rule, so not arguing at all, but...

this forum is kinda dead these days, and not very conducive to the chat...
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds November 8th, 2022, 07:04 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 2,433
Posted By Schnook
I'm not a spreader. I've watched the yield curves...

I'm not a spreader. I've watched the yield curves and treasury spreads for years, and have traded treasury futures spreads from time to time as well, but always on longer time frames and for more...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 29th, 2022, 08:08 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,898
Posted By Schnook
Cools81, no one is trying to prove anything here....

Cools81, no one is trying to prove anything here. We're just sharing a bit of information, trying to help eachother learn. Cumulative delta probably isn't useful for most styles of trading, but for a...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 28th, 2022, 08:36 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,898
Posted By Schnook
WoodyFox 's description was spot on. ...

WoodyFox 's description was spot on.





I'll try to answer this but the "exactly" part might be difficult. ;)

In very broad terms, watching the how price and cumulative delta move in...
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds September 16th, 2022, 06:50 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 2,433
Posted By Schnook
SMCJB I generally associate steepeners with...

SMCJB I generally associate steepeners with sell-offs and flatteners with rallies, hence the bias to lean short in a steepener. I guess this is pretty consensus but I don't feel compelled to fight...
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds September 16th, 2022, 06:49 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 2,433
Posted By Schnook
I played around with the micro yield contracts a...

I played around with the micro yield contracts a while back and found them to be costly and inefficient. Poor liquidity, high transaction costs, and monthly rolls just end up taking way too much out...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index July 10th, 2022, 05:49 AM
Replies: 138
Views: 20,281
Posted By Schnook
Thanks for sharing your knowledge and experience...

Thanks for sharing your knowledge and experience here, Glenn. Like others I've found it very informative.

I just found a copy of Hurst here locally and placed the order. Looking forward to...
Forum: Trading Journals July 7th, 2022, 05:30 AM
Replies: 6,135
Views: 1,125,255
Posted By Schnook
In the US, the NBER once defined a recession as...

In the US, the NBER once defined a recession as two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth. This became accepted worldwide as the standard definition of a recession.

Note, however, that...
Forum: Traders Hideout July 6th, 2022, 06:57 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,832
Posted By Schnook
COT reports can be very useful for longer time...

COT reports can be very useful for longer time horizon swing traders. Since the data are published weekly with a few days' lag, any trades premised on the COT data alone will likely take months to...
Forum: Trading Journals July 6th, 2022, 06:06 AM
Replies: 6,135
Views: 1,125,255
Posted By Schnook
GFIs1 - although I'm not posting much I do still...

GFIs1 - although I'm not posting much I do still enjoy and appreciate your journal. You have a disciplined, methodic way of trading and it's great to see you succeed with it. I want to say both...
Forum: Commodities May 17th, 2022, 06:37 AM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,887
Posted By Schnook
In addition to the above suggestions by myrrdin I...

In addition to the above suggestions by myrrdin I would highly recommend signing up for the twice daily market commentaries from Benson Quinn Commodities (wholly owned by ADM)

These guys work with...
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds May 10th, 2022, 06:56 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 3,362
Posted By Schnook
Focus more on what actually trades than what is...

Focus more on what actually trades than what is being displayed in the order book. That is, watch the footprints - the traded bid and offer side volume at each price level - for clues as to near-term...
Forum: Trading Journals April 26th, 2022, 06:22 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 4,336
Posted By Schnook
Hi tradingest I'm not seeing any commissions...

Hi tradingest

I'm not seeing any commissions on your chart. Is that correct?

Greetings from the the other side of the Alps :) Good luck with your strategy.
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds March 24th, 2022, 05:30 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 2,264
Posted By Schnook
The settlement is for $15.7 million and covers an...

The settlement is for $15.7 million and covers an 8 year period?

Wow I bet I could get 3, maybe 4 tenths of a cent outta that. That'll teach 'em.
Forum: Traders Hideout March 20th, 2022, 05:34 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 2,654
Posted By Schnook
Thanks for the clarification. Sounds like it's...

Thanks for the clarification. Sounds like it's not an issue for me but suggests that things could indeed get rather complicated for prop firms in Germany.

Then again, what isn't complicated in...
Forum: Commodities March 20th, 2022, 08:05 AM
Replies: 137
Views: 32,771
Posted By Schnook
In my opinion, the issue with nickel is that the...

In my opinion, the issue with nickel is that the contract is poorly designed with regards to eligible deliverability criteria. As a physical settlement contract the current deliverability criteria...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 20th, 2022, 07:57 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 2,654
Posted By Schnook
Could someone please expand upon this or share...

Could someone please expand upon this or share some resources where I might be able to learn more? My Steuerberater (tax advisor) has never mentioned any such regulations to me. Thanks
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds March 7th, 2022, 07:46 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 8,735
Posted By Schnook
There's been a lot of talk about the recent...

There's been a lot of talk about the recent widening of Eurodollars against SOFR. Some funding stress out there. Also a huge bid for vol.

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=322638...
Forum: Commodities March 7th, 2022, 06:35 PM
Replies: 294
Views: 69,887
Posted By Schnook
With May wheat locked limit up it's very...

With May wheat locked limit up it's very difficult to even guess where this spread ultimately trades, but I kinda want a piece of it. As myrrdin already mentioned, size would have to be small because...
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