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Showing results 1 to 25 of 65
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Posts Made By:
bob666s
Forum:
Commodities
December 15th, 2022, 11:21 PM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,274
Posted By
bob666s
Yeah that makes sense, I'll try to add bits of...
Yeah that makes sense, I'll try to add bits of explanations.
Forum:
Commodities
December 15th, 2022, 09:09 PM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,274
Posted By
bob666s
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=32...
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=328458
shorts are looking relatively thin.
Forum:
Commodities
December 15th, 2022, 12:44 AM
Replies:
368
Trading natural gas futures
Views:
89,710
Posted By
bob666s
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=32...
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=328447
implied NG fair value wrt a basket of local hub basis' is at 5.8~/mmbtu
Forum:
Commodities
December 14th, 2022, 10:06 PM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,274
Posted By
bob666s
Implied fair value estimated from a basket of...
Implied fair value estimated from a basket of gasoline, ULSD, and light/heavy/sweet/sour prices. Currently suggests somewhere about $75.
https://i.redd.it/qsctcjp9xy5a1.jpg
Forum:
Commodities
December 14th, 2022, 10:04 PM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,274
Posted By
bob666s
Welcome back to the jungle, haha. All the best...
Welcome back to the jungle, haha. All the best rest of 22!
Forum:
Commodities
December 27th, 2021, 08:17 PM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,274
Posted By
bob666s
quantamental model remains bullish short term ...
quantamental model remains bullish short term
...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
December 5th, 2021, 03:54 PM
Replies:
13
BTC valuation, forecasts
Views:
2,733
Posted By
bob666s
updated average marginal production cost at...
updated average marginal production cost at $35.7K~...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
November 5th, 2021, 09:40 AM
Replies:
13
BTC valuation, forecasts
Views:
2,733
Posted By
bob666s
Latest quantamental ST forecast using Deribit...
Latest quantamental ST forecast using Deribit Option Flows, production rate, difficulty, hashrate, relative values to SPX, Oil, Gas, T. US Bank credit growth, and implied hedge fund exposures:
...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
November 5th, 2021, 09:37 AM
Replies:
13
BTC valuation, forecasts
Views:
2,733
Posted By
bob666s
your feed back is much appreciated!
your feed back is much appreciated!
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
November 3rd, 2021, 02:49 AM
Replies:
13
BTC valuation, forecasts
Views:
2,733
Posted By
bob666s
Model short term outlook based on option flows,...
Model short term outlook based on option flows, Mining stats, and SPX/Oil/Gas relative valuations turned bearish for the first time in a long while.
...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
October 20th, 2021, 02:15 AM
Replies:
13
BTC valuation, forecasts
Views:
2,733
Posted By
bob666s
updated average production cost estimate +...
updated average production cost estimate + forecasts:...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
October 16th, 2021, 02:51 AM
Replies:
13
BTC valuation, forecasts
Views:
2,733
Posted By
bob666s
aggregate price bias based on COT positions ...
aggregate price bias based on COT positions
...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
October 13th, 2021, 11:17 PM
Replies:
19
BTC short term sentiment
Views:
2,388
Posted By
bob666s
CME implied sentiment updates: v21: we're at...
CME implied sentiment updates:
v21: we're at relatively high optimism, with the number at 90percentile...
Forum:
Commodities
October 13th, 2021, 11:15 PM
Replies:
368
Trading natural gas futures
Views:
89,710
Posted By
bob666s
Short term outlook based on COT positions, EIA...
Short term outlook based on COT positions, EIA storage, CPI, is currently fairly bullish into the next month or 2. Though I'm pretty sure we probably didn't need any numbers to be bullish this...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
October 13th, 2021, 03:21 AM
Replies:
19
BTC short term sentiment
Views:
2,388
Posted By
bob666s
estimated otc platform customer sentiment: ...
estimated otc platform customer sentiment: ...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
October 11th, 2021, 09:49 PM
Replies:
19
BTC short term sentiment
Views:
2,388
Posted By
bob666s
CME traders turning relatively optimistic. ...
CME traders turning relatively optimistic.
...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
October 11th, 2021, 01:18 AM
Replies:
13
BTC valuation, forecasts
Views:
2,733
Posted By
bob666s
short term price bias with deribit, bit.com...
short term price bias with deribit, bit.com option oi, flows using multiple regression, bullish.
...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
October 9th, 2021, 01:07 AM
Replies:
13
BTC valuation, forecasts
Views:
2,733
Posted By
bob666s
updated price distribution forechast for the...
updated price distribution forechast for the coming month, using cot cme positions and M2,
...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
October 7th, 2021, 11:49 PM
Replies:
13
BTC valuation, forecasts
Views:
2,733
Posted By
bob666s
Plugged COT position data, cme futures & options,...
Plugged COT position data, cme futures & options, into a MLP neural network fit vs. following month change in BTC. Current average forecast is weakly bullish.
...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
October 6th, 2021, 02:57 AM
Replies:
13
BTC valuation, forecasts
Views:
2,733
Posted By
bob666s
updated production cost current estimates and...
updated production cost current estimates and forecasts.
...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
October 6th, 2021, 12:55 AM
Replies:
19
BTC short term sentiment
Views:
2,388
Posted By
bob666s
Big buy flow on BTC calls in the previous day,...
Big buy flow on BTC calls in the previous day, this is usually bullish but with stocks moving lower, and OTC forward/swap retail longs getting crowded, the rally could slow.
...
Forum:
Commodities
October 5th, 2021, 08:42 PM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,274
Posted By
bob666s
Quantamental model still bullish, though much...
Quantamental model still bullish, though much weaker at +4.
...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
October 4th, 2021, 03:23 AM
Replies:
13
BTC valuation, forecasts
Views:
2,733
Posted By
bob666s
updated average production cost at $35.5K~ ...
updated average production cost at $35.5K~
...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
October 3rd, 2021, 08:24 PM
Replies:
19
BTC short term sentiment
Views:
2,388
Posted By
bob666s
I've begun to estimate implied sentiment at the...
I've begun to estimate implied sentiment at the OTC dealers, too.
...
Forum:
Cryptocurrency
October 1st, 2021, 09:19 PM
Replies:
19
BTC short term sentiment
Views:
2,388
Posted By
bob666s
CME implied sentiment...
CME implied sentiment (https://bastion.substack.com/p/cme-bitcoin-implied-sentiment/comments) update:
It looks like nearly all of the bearish bets built up the previous week had been squeezed in...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 65
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