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Search: Posts Made By: Darthtrader4beta
Forum: Traders Hideout May 9th, 2015, 11:59 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 34,595
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
If you don't like paying US taxes then move. ...

If you don't like paying US taxes then move.

IMO if anyone is doing this I hope you do something wrong and either go to jail or get put out of business by an IRS penalty.

I'm with Charlie...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management May 7th, 2015, 07:23 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,809
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
Obviously, trading drunk or high is not a good...

Obviously, trading drunk or high is not a good idea.

I think people get very carried away with the psychology side though. It quickly starts to sound like religious thinking to me.

It is very...
Forum: Traders Hideout May 6th, 2015, 08:54 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 8,172
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
"Day trading" is just a hold over from 1999 with...

"Day trading" is just a hold over from 1999 with clueless people quitting their jobs and riding the bull for a year. It is a poisoned term.

I don't open and close positions intraday unless I get...
Forum: Platforms and Indicators May 6th, 2015, 08:27 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 21,750
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
damn, SciDB and python in that video looks like...

damn, SciDB and python in that video looks like the sex machine.
Forum: NinjaTrader May 5th, 2015, 07:54 AM
Replies: 295
Views: 134,771
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
I don't see what possible reason there would be...

I don't see what possible reason there would be to render charts with the GPU. What are you going to have the charts ripple like they are under water when a moving average crosses?

Calculations...
Forum: Platforms and Indicators May 3rd, 2015, 03:29 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 21,750
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
Looks pretty cool. If you google TeaFile vs...

Looks pretty cool.
If you google TeaFile vs hdf5 there is a nice discussion on this topic on nuclear phynance and the creator of TeaFile chimes in.

That same thread they mention scidb Paradigm4:...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management April 29th, 2015, 04:36 PM
Replies: 74
Views: 17,851
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
My biggest misconception was that market...

My biggest misconception was that market efficiency and equilibrium means I have a trading win rate of 0% and since I have had winning trades the market being trading can not be efficient.
When...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management April 28th, 2015, 06:49 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 7,981
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
You probably have just not put as much effort...

You probably have just not put as much effort into poker as trading though. I think anyone can be good at poker if they study hard enough. The markets are vastly harder IMO because it would be as if...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management April 26th, 2015, 10:41 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 1,511
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
I agree with most of that for sure. There is...

I agree with most of that for sure.

There is certainly an El Farol Bar problem with trading.
El Farol Bar problem - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index April 26th, 2015, 10:15 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 1,628
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
? http://oi58.tinypic.com/2e2fhqw.jpg

?
http://oi58.tinypic.com/2e2fhqw.jpg
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index April 25th, 2015, 01:39 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 3,590
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
You answered your own question IMO. If you...

You answered your own question IMO.

If you could do this are you going to leave a piece of the arb for me so I can have some or are you going to take it all?
Of course you are not going to leave...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index April 25th, 2015, 01:21 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 14,093
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
Here is a rolling 20 day correlation between the...

Here is a rolling 20 day correlation between the S&P and 10 year returns. Of course there is much noise in market data.
http://oi61.tinypic.com/ye54o.jpg

To me market regimes are basically sets...
Forum: Traders Hideout April 25th, 2015, 09:48 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 3,966
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
Why not just trade ES or NQ in the after market...

Why not just trade ES or NQ in the after market after the Nikkei opens? There is hardly a lack of liquidity and if anything it is nice that it is a bit slower.

Of course you could just trade...
Forum: Traders Hideout April 25th, 2015, 09:24 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 3,048
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
I must have some add block script going because I...

I must have some add block script going because I didn't get anything like that.
Forum: Traders Hideout April 22nd, 2015, 06:36 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 3,048
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
Interview - New Market Wizards page 75

Teach me master!
Awesome 42 min interview with Stan Druckenmiller
Stan Druckenmiller Full Bloomberg TV Interview [TRANSCRIPT] (http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/04/stan-druckenmiller-bloomberg-tv/)
Forum: Traders Hideout April 20th, 2015, 08:15 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 13,614
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
I'm content with good old sharpe ratios. By...

I'm content with good old sharpe ratios. By smoothness of equity curve you mean a low standard dev of returns and that is half the equation.
The big thing though to a sharpe ratio is you can compare...
Forum: Traders Hideout April 20th, 2015, 06:24 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 5,639
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
Consider Greenspan's irrational exuberance...

Consider Greenspan's irrational exuberance comment was on December 5, 1996 so in this first Nasdaq chart people had thought the bull was already overpriced.
http://oi57.tinypic.com/if03ki.jpg

...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management April 19th, 2015, 04:07 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 5,969
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
Increasing your size after loses is exactly...

Increasing your size after loses is exactly opposite of what the Kelly Criterion tells us to do.
I think that is a pretty typical mistake because cutting size after loses is not intuitive, feels...
Forum: Traders Hideout April 19th, 2015, 03:38 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 6,741
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
I think you should first actually define what you...

I think you should first actually define what you mean by great vs merely good.
That reminds me of a Charlie Munger quote that he would rather hire a guy with an IQ of 130 that thinks it is 125...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management April 16th, 2015, 07:19 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 10,646
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
Don't people say the same thing about trend...

Don't people say the same thing about trend trading in a mean reverting regime?
Forum: Traders Hideout April 12th, 2015, 09:36 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 5,216
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
This is just not correct. Most the "tells" and...

This is just not correct.
Most the "tells" and that in poker are complete fiction and things people make up after the fact. University of Alberta has a an incredibly strong heads up no limit bot...
Forum: Off-Topic April 10th, 2015, 07:02 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 1,406
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
No, I still have not taken a shot at live....

No, I still have not taken a shot at live. .10/.05 10nl heads up is my game if I could play it.

Right now, I think if I lost 10 buy ins at 1/2 live I would quit so that is really my bankroll and...
Forum: Traders Hideout April 9th, 2015, 07:49 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 3,515
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
You don't have to become a professional and give...

You don't have to become a professional and give up the stability of a steady pay check.
I love my job but love the challenge and reward of trading. The older I have gotten though the longer the...
Forum: Off-Topic April 9th, 2015, 07:11 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 1,406
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
I feel pretty much locked out of online poker in...

I feel pretty much locked out of online poker in NY.
I haven't been able to get money on a table but haven't tried western union. I think possibly Blackchip poker I could get money on but haven't...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management April 8th, 2015, 09:09 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 7,981
Posted By Darthtrader4beta
Sorry but the idea that markets were less...

Sorry but the idea that markets were less efficient in 2012 than today is completely ludicrous.

It is an almost Malthusian argument that I have read so many times and across so many speculative...
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