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Showing results 1 to 25 of 194
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Posts Made By:
ElChacal
Forum:
Commodities
March 24th, 2024, 12:23 AM
Replies:
368
Trading natural gas futures
Views:
89,638
Posted By
ElChacal
It is close to record lows currently. And yes I...
It is close to record lows currently. And yes I would be wary about ever playing the short side even at normal 'year highs'.
Forum:
Commodities
March 23rd, 2024, 10:10 PM
Replies:
368
Trading natural gas futures
Views:
89,638
Posted By
ElChacal
And here is the same plot adding min and max for...
And here is the same plot adding min and max for each month since 1997. Market doesn't give away anything.
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=338544
Forum:
Commodities
March 23rd, 2024, 09:26 PM
Replies:
368
Trading natural gas futures
Views:
89,638
Posted By
ElChacal
Apologies, I plotted from 1997 until Feb-2024....
Apologies, I plotted from 1997 until Feb-2024. Buy in March, sell in December
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=338543
Forum:
Commodities
February 7th, 2024, 01:32 PM
Replies:
368
Trading natural gas futures
Views:
89,638
Posted By
ElChacal
Not in front of computer but I did a graph and...
Not in front of computer but I did a graph and recall that Jan-Mar prices were usually low and would peak by June or August, although counter-intuitive.
Also, gas is one of the few commodities that...
Forum:
Commodities
February 7th, 2024, 11:00 AM
Replies:
368
Trading natural gas futures
Views:
89,638
Posted By
ElChacal
Despite the high inventories. The seasonal curve...
Despite the high inventories. The seasonal curve is looking pretty attractive.
Forum:
Commodities
August 21st, 2019, 11:50 AM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,068
Posted By
ElChacal
$DWT getting lots of attention today and also...
$DWT getting lots of attention today and also yesterday. Seems CL is meeting resistance at this level.
Forum:
Commodities
August 7th, 2019, 03:55 PM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,068
Posted By
ElChacal
Looking green... :popcorn: (As a...
Looking green... :popcorn:
(As a "correlated" bias, ^TNX seems to be following...)
Forum:
Commodities
August 7th, 2019, 12:41 PM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,068
Posted By
ElChacal
It may well be a big dump. Platform shows $202MM...
It may well be a big dump. Platform shows $202MM traded today...
Forum:
Commodities
August 7th, 2019, 10:58 AM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,068
Posted By
ElChacal
UWT call?
Seems like a good place to start a small Long position in Crude Oil. $UWT stock is getting lots of attention today.
Forum:
Commodities
April 11th, 2019, 06:47 PM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,068
Posted By
ElChacal
EIA report ...
EIA report
https://twitter.com/iea/status/1116253325501063168?s=21
Sent using the NexusFi mobile app (https://on.futures.io/app)
Forum:
Commodities
March 21st, 2019, 01:15 AM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,068
Posted By
ElChacal
IMO 2020 will increase all shipping rates but...
IMO 2020 will increase all shipping rates but nobody’s still sure by how much
https://www.ft.com/content/c486bfe6-4b05-11e9-bbc9-6917dce3dc62
Sent using the NexusFi mobile app...
Forum:
Commodities
March 8th, 2019, 01:07 PM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,068
Posted By
ElChacal
A little correlation
So people won't say I make up stuff...
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=263739
Forum:
Commodities
March 8th, 2019, 12:39 PM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,068
Posted By
ElChacal
Falling Crude prices = falling inflation =...
Falling Crude prices = falling inflation = falling yields = good for Treasury futures.
I think Defensive mode is on. Risk off.
Forum:
Treasury Notes and Bonds
February 25th, 2019, 06:16 PM
Replies:
10
Trading the Yield Curve with the NOB
Views:
12,346
Posted By
ElChacal
Here’s the rate of the 10-year note. Different...
Here’s the rate of the 10-year note. Different animal.
263299
Sent using the NexusFi mobile app (https://on.futures.io/app)
Forum:
Treasury Notes and Bonds
February 25th, 2019, 06:14 PM
Replies:
10
Trading the Yield Curve with the NOB
Views:
12,346
Posted By
ElChacal
Here’s how the 2-year rate follows the Fed Funds...
Here’s how the 2-year rate follows the Fed Funds rate. Does not behave the same way with other maturities. Something to keep in mind.
263298
Sent using the NexusFi mobile app...
Forum:
Treasury Notes and Bonds
February 25th, 2019, 02:53 PM
Replies:
10
Trading the Yield Curve with the NOB
Views:
12,346
Posted By
ElChacal
https://twitter.com/4awesometweet/status/110007321...
https://twitter.com/4awesometweet/status/1100073211453104128?s=21
Sent using the NexusFi mobile app (https://on.futures.io/app)
Forum:
Treasury Notes and Bonds
February 21st, 2019, 10:15 AM
Replies:
10
Trading the Yield Curve with the NOB
Views:
12,346
Posted By
ElChacal
Considering how close the Notes yields are to the...
Considering how close the Notes yields are to the Fed Funds rate ~2.5%, I believe treasury notes may be overpriced...
The bill is paying as much as the 5 year... crazy bonds...
Sent using the...
Forum:
Treasury Notes and Bonds
February 20th, 2019, 10:36 AM
Replies:
10
Trading the Yield Curve with the NOB
Views:
12,346
Posted By
ElChacal
TUF? anybody?
Would it be a good time to sell the TUF spread? I mean sell 5-year and buy the 2-year. I am assuming the 5-year yield would need to catch up to the 2 year, right?
Any advice is more than welcome.
...
Forum:
Treasury Notes and Bonds
February 7th, 2019, 02:35 PM
Replies:
465
zb daily
Views:
123,528
Posted By
ElChacal
Good call. What do you normally look at to...
Good call.
What do you normally look at to trade bonds?
Sent using the NexusFi mobile app (https://on.futures.io/app)
Forum:
Commodities
February 5th, 2019, 10:22 PM
Replies:
137
Metals
Views:
32,783
Posted By
ElChacal
I would state that a steepening yield curve is...
I would state that a steepening yield curve is bearish for gold but to me the big question is, is the yield curve steepening or will it continue to flatten?
I honestly don't know as I am still...
Forum:
Commodities
February 2nd, 2019, 01:56 AM
Replies:
137
Metals
Views:
32,783
Posted By
ElChacal
What fundamental service do you use and how much...
What fundamental service do you use and how much is it? I am really interested on knowing if there is any particular service you use or can suggest.
Sent using the NexusFi mobile app...
Forum:
Commodities
January 29th, 2019, 02:40 PM
Replies:
137
Metals
Views:
32,783
Posted By
ElChacal
Right... The government shutdown has us without...
Right... The government shutdown has us without the COTs and I would really need confirmation. But I am noticing a pattern that makes me think it has bottomed out. Again would need the COT report to...
Forum:
Commodities
January 29th, 2019, 09:28 AM
Replies:
137
Metals
Views:
32,783
Posted By
ElChacal
Copper is looking interesting. Unfortunately, I...
Copper is looking interesting. Unfortunately, I have all my funds busy on other trades.
Trading months March, May and July are trading at a premium compared to each subsequent month. Not sure how...
Forum:
Stocks and ETFs
January 26th, 2019, 11:10 AM
Replies:
6
SPY, SPX or /ES?
Views:
3,064
Posted By
ElChacal
Update: I’ve simply been buying calls. They are...
Update: I’ve simply been buying calls. They are much cheaper.
Sent using the NexusFi mobile app (https://on.futures.io/app)
Forum:
Commodities
January 9th, 2019, 10:06 AM
Replies:
2,696
Sticky:
The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Views:
618,068
Posted By
ElChacal
It's interesting how both in futures and options...
It's interesting how both in futures and options you also need to get the contract right besides the trade direction. I think I hopped on too early with my USO Calls but "mid term" I got the...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 194
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