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Search: Posts Made By: NoiseTrader716
Forum: Off-Topic October 5th, 2014, 08:33 AM
Replies: 3,181
Views: 440,041
Posted By NoiseTrader716
I'm currently borderline obsessed with...

I'm currently borderline obsessed with iamamiwhoami.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HUSwkbu1IjU

my other current obsession is Rachmaninoff. Hard to top Rachmaninoff's ghost on a piano role...
Forum: Commodities October 4th, 2014, 08:31 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 5,383
Posted By NoiseTrader716
"If you will tell me precisely what it is that a...

"If you will tell me precisely what it is that a machine cannot do, then I can always make a machine which will do just that."
-John von Neumann

No quote applies more to discretionary vs...
Forum: Commodities October 4th, 2014, 08:03 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 4,181
Posted By NoiseTrader716
I am quite fond of:...

I am quite fond of:...
Forum: Traders Hideout October 4th, 2014, 06:47 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 4,850
Posted By NoiseTrader716
Certainly possible to chart based on a date range...

Certainly possible to chart based on a date range with some VBA but I would just install ninja, import the data and be done with it. It would be a good project if you want to learn VBA but if you...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management October 1st, 2014, 06:59 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 2,909
Posted By NoiseTrader716
If the trade is a winner it is "intuition", if...

If the trade is a winner it is "intuition", if the trade doesn't work out so well then it is "impulse".
Forum: Traders Hideout September 27th, 2014, 10:19 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 2,437
Posted By NoiseTrader716
I'm not really getting what the story is? I think...

I'm not really getting what the story is? I think everyone knows Goldman is the top dog and mostly because of its relationships. Of course Paulson becomes Secretary of the Treasury kind of thing.
...
Forum: Commodities September 26th, 2014, 08:54 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 11,164
Posted By NoiseTrader716
My strategy has worked well that past year few...

My strategy has worked well that past year few years.
Buy and hold.
You buy ES and just don't sell it for awhile.

I'm pretty much done with that trade though and just long volatility.
Forum: Off-Topic September 26th, 2014, 08:00 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 4,400
Posted By NoiseTrader716
I wouldn't doubt that at some point in the future...

I wouldn't doubt that at some point in the future we will long for such "tough" times as these right now when the hardest decision is to buy an apple or android.
The plight of the middle class only...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 26th, 2014, 07:42 AM
Replies: 527
Views: 350,089
Posted By NoiseTrader716
I'm currently reading Fixed Income Securities:...

I'm currently reading
Fixed Income Securities: Tools for Today's Markets by Bruce Tuckman
Amazon.com: Fixed Income Securities: Tools for Today's Markets (9780470891698): Bruce Tuckman, Angel...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 25th, 2014, 08:50 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 2,012
Posted By NoiseTrader716
The Ins and Outs of Volatility Trading video

I am just getting into trading vol. This is a really interesting video from a billion dollar volatility fund manager
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oKtPUAmaBJs

Lots of great stuff from...
Forum: Off-Topic September 25th, 2014, 07:46 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 2,365
Posted By NoiseTrader716
Introduction to Data Science on coursera from...

Introduction to Data Science on coursera from University of Washington was incredible.

Markets with friction was interesting but i didn't finish it...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management September 25th, 2014, 07:41 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 3,159
Posted By NoiseTrader716
The whole idea is either meaningless or...

The whole idea is either meaningless or dangerous.
Each trade has a different theoretical distribution and the sum of those trades is not stationary.

If you use that number to bet size you...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 25th, 2014, 07:13 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 6,736
Posted By NoiseTrader716
I view my whole financial life as a business. ...

I view my whole financial life as a business.
Maximize return, minimize spending, always look to grow the business without taking stupid risk.

I think many retail traders use the idea of trading...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 20th, 2014, 06:50 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 16,268
Posted By NoiseTrader716
Actually, I'm not sure that paper above is...

Actually, I'm not sure that paper above is exactly what is being talked about in the video.
This one is for sure though:
Implied Volatility Skews in the Foreign Exchange Market
Empirical Evidence...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 20th, 2014, 02:52 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 6,310
Posted By NoiseTrader716
That Murphy quote is exactly what someone who...

That Murphy quote is exactly what someone who sells chart books would say. Sure, it is better to have a crystal ball than to look at financial information. Only a fool would disagree with that, the...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 20th, 2014, 09:24 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 16,268
Posted By NoiseTrader716
Very cool video. Here is some more on...

Very cool video.

Here is some more on implied skew
http://www.ise.com/assets/files/FX%20Options/ExpiringMonthly_-_Trading_With_or_Against_the_Skew_0410.pdf

Actual code examples though I think...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 20th, 2014, 09:01 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 6,310
Posted By NoiseTrader716
Noise != fundamentals Ducks and PAC 10 are...

Noise != fundamentals

Ducks and PAC 10 are always overrated because of the natural bias of reporters on the west coast.
Forum: Brokers September 17th, 2014, 06:47 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 13,615
Posted By NoiseTrader716
I guess I view things along the lines if you had...

I guess I view things along the lines if you had a database of 10,000 poker hands with the money that exchanged hands on each one, even if you deleted 5000 of the hands you would still have a great...
Forum: Brokers September 16th, 2014, 09:53 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 13,615
Posted By NoiseTrader716
I think those charts above look scarier than they...

I think those charts above look scarier than they are. If you are grabbing data in python and leaving it as a pandas dataframe a NaN isn't going to mess up any kind of backtesting. A missing value...
Forum: Brokers September 16th, 2014, 09:25 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 13,615
Posted By NoiseTrader716
Eat your oatmeal, it is good for you ...

Eat your oatmeal, it is good for you
anaconda/ipython notebook

%matplotlib inline
import Quandl
mpl.rc('figure', figsize=(10, 7))

start = "2007-01-01"
end = "2014-09-01"
token = "YOUR...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 16th, 2014, 09:09 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 3,425
Posted By NoiseTrader716
Sounds like a great idea, what could possibly go...

Sounds like a great idea, what could possibly go wrong!
Forum: Off-Topic September 13th, 2014, 04:31 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 4,653
Posted By NoiseTrader716
Rachel has to be a gimmick account. The...

Rachel has to be a gimmick account.

The amusing thing is I guarantee once solar power becomes cheap and wide spread enough there will be people complaining about some aspect of it and how we need...
Forum: Traders Hideout September 12th, 2014, 06:16 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,951
Posted By NoiseTrader716
jamesico you don't think you are up against...

jamesico you don't think you are up against seasoned traders on ES? That is absurd.
For every factor you listed for bonds it is easy to name one that drives the price of the index.

The big...
Forum: Options September 12th, 2014, 05:51 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 1,634
Posted By NoiseTrader716
exercising would be actually buying the...

exercising would be actually buying the underlying, you are just trading like any other instrument.

Yes, the calls options price can go up because someone wants to pay more for it like any other...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management September 11th, 2014, 07:39 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 1,104
Posted By NoiseTrader716
I would be pretty sure that the idea of expanding...

I would be pretty sure that the idea of expanding risk when playing with the "house money" is something straight from the casinos to make sure you don't leave with the house money.

Of course you...
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