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Search: Posts Made By: manuel999
Forum: Options April 12th, 2018, 11:22 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
Reminds me of the docu on youtube about Victor...

Reminds me of the docu on youtube about Victor Niederhoffer, who went bust twice with that strategy.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=860Rd2BD74U
Forum: Options April 8th, 2018, 03:38 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
The spread I closed last week I held 83 days. ...

The spread I closed last week I held 83 days.
There were a couple of times in the last month when it was almost there, but then IV spiked again a bit, preventing me from closing.
The last two weeks...
Forum: Options April 6th, 2018, 12:54 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
Yesterday I closed the spread I have opened Jan...

Yesterday I closed the spread I have opened Jan 12.
It had quite a drawdown, but was never really in danger. Thus I see it as a confirmation of Ron's strategy.

Nevertheless, I started with the...
Forum: Commodities March 8th, 2018, 10:24 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,401
Posted By manuel999
Here is an interesting Twitter thread regarding...

Here is an interesting Twitter thread regarding Shale.
https://twitter.com/Big_Orrin/status/971639683200487426

The writer points out that there are differences in quality of OPEC and shale, and...
Forum: Options March 8th, 2018, 04:22 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
Yes, my trading improved when I stopped looking...

Yes, my trading improved when I stopped looking at the $ amount altogether, only looking at the percentages of a trade as a marker how that trade is going. I still see it as a learning experience.
...
Forum: Options March 7th, 2018, 10:37 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
I did about 10k with a 100k account last year,...

I did about 10k with a 100k account last year, with not too much work and not too much experiences.
But it was a fairly uneventful year, and about 40% was via Ron's ES spread which was never in...
Forum: Options March 6th, 2018, 07:56 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,655
Posted By manuel999
According to the Moore Seasonal Patterns report...

According to the Moore Seasonal Patterns report the High for cotton is between Mar-May.
The report only goes to 2008 though.
Did the seasonal pattern in CT change in the last 10 years?
Forum: Options February 22nd, 2018, 11:50 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
I think Ron mentioned somewhere on the thread...

I think Ron mentioned somewhere on the thread that the spread does not work very well when there is a slow decline over several weeks.
The exit strategy then depends on your parameters. E.g. how...
Forum: Options February 22nd, 2018, 11:30 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,655
Posted By manuel999
the multiplier with my broker is 400. That is,...

the multiplier with my broker is 400.
That is, you multiply the premium per option by 400
However, the LEJ8 C128 cost around 2 right now for me.
So I assume Hightower multiplied the option price...
Forum: Options February 19th, 2018, 10:49 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,655
Posted By manuel999
Do you calculate your stop as a percentage of the...

Do you calculate your stop as a percentage of the option price?
The price of Wheat itself is still so far away from 600.

Thanks.
Forum: Options February 19th, 2018, 08:29 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,655
Posted By manuel999
Why did you closed that position already? Is...

Why did you closed that position already?
Is it already clear that supply of Wheat will be bad by the end of the year?
Forum: Options February 7th, 2018, 08:58 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
Thanks. I was not aware of it that works. I send...

Thanks. I was not aware of it that works. I send it directly to the US previously.
My main account with IB, but they refuse to send money to another broker, it seems.
Forum: Options February 7th, 2018, 08:30 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
Do you know when the Margin call calculation is...

Do you know when the Margin call calculation is done? On a continous basis, or by the end of the day?

Yesterday I noticed at Zaner the price of the spread went up and down quickly at times, wide...
Forum: Options February 7th, 2018, 08:03 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
This was a good test of your strategy yesterday ...

This was a good test of your strategy yesterday

I have a EW3J8 P2250(2)/P2000(3) open at Zaners with 4xIM and it was quite under pressure, but with still some room left.
(Since this account is...
Forum: Options February 7th, 2018, 07:56 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
I am just speculating: - I have a ES spread...

I am just speculating:

- I have a ES spread position open at Zaners, an they increased the margin to 100%. Maybe your margin was also increased.
- also by close of the market yesterday it calmed...
Forum: Options February 5th, 2018, 10:50 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,655
Posted By manuel999
Haha, I was already wondering. (I use the ZW...

Haha, I was already wondering.
(I use the ZW for wheat)
Forum: Options February 5th, 2018, 10:26 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,655
Posted By manuel999
Is WZ the Zloty?

Is WZ the Zloty?
Forum: Options February 2nd, 2018, 10:18 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,655
Posted By manuel999
Some time back a negative correlation between...

Some time back a negative correlation between Stock and Bonds was perceived as a given, though?
Forum: Options February 2nd, 2018, 09:38 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,655
Posted By manuel999
I am surprised that almost every future is today...

I am surprised that almost every future is today negative. ES, ZB, GC &c.
Is this by chance, or does is everything is positively correlated now (via the USD)?
Forum: Options February 1st, 2018, 01:42 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
Closed today: EW3 J8 2150 Put(2)/ EW3 J8 1900...

Closed today:
EW3 J8 2150 Put(2)/ EW3 J8 1900 Put(3)
Sold for 3,45 on Jan 3, closed at 1,10

I am planning to sell a new 2-3 Spread tomorrow.
Unless there are good reasons against it?

I have...
Forum: Options January 31st, 2018, 03:59 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,655
Posted By manuel999
True, lot size is very important. For the...

True, lot size is very important.

For the first year of my option trading, I traded the smallest lot possible (1), and only used small deltas, about 2 or 3.
Just to get my feet wet.
For the...
Forum: Options January 30th, 2018, 10:39 AM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,655
Posted By manuel999
Did you do it with stock options or future...

Did you do it with stock options or future options (in case of tastytrade that would be the ETF)?
I find it easier to use future options, since they are less erratic that single stock options....
Forum: Options January 29th, 2018, 04:11 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
I don't think people on this thread think that...

I don't think people on this thread think that selling OTM options is safe, but understand that you get money for taking on risk.
This thread is more about minimizing and dealing with said risk, not...
Forum: Options January 18th, 2018, 08:40 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
In the last years it seems to me you would not...

In the last years it seems to me you would not have had any luck with strangles, since the bias is up.
Also, Calls are usually much cheaper than Puts, thus you would have made little money on the...
Forum: Options January 3rd, 2018, 12:10 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,997,561
Posted By manuel999
Is this the spread you are doing now? Thanks.

Is this the spread you are doing now?

Thanks.
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